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#1 |
Auspicious Wraith
Join Date: May 2002
Location: The Netherlands
Posts: 4,859
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Well, Brinn, Werewolf can be a simple game. I have reasons for finding the Mnemo voters probably innocent, for now at least. After a few days we can examine more theories but for now, when we still have so many people alive in this expedition, I'm not going to complicate things.
Aye, they could have voted wolf-on-wolf, but I won't bother seriously entertaining that possibility - because I have four other villagers in my sight who are, to my mind, obviously more suspicious. Or should I say susp-ice-ous? Yes, yes I should.
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Los Ingobernables de Harlond |
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#2 |
Fading Fëanorion
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: into the flood again
Posts: 2,911
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My problem right now is that evidence and feeling arr quite far apart for me right now.
By evidence: Good: Eomer, Lommy, Green Quite good: Lottie (after reveal), Pitch, Nerwen Unsure: Boro, Morsul, Brinn, Nogrod (ranked him a bit too low in my list above, I guess) Quite bad: Bes, Wilwa Bad: Nienna, Sally, Shasta By feeling: Good: Boro, Lottie, Nerwen, Green Quite good: Eomer, Pitch, Sally, Shasta Unsure: Morsul, Nienna, Bes, Wilwa Quite bad: Brinn, Nogrod, Lommy Bad: ./. My feeling is undeservedly bad on Brinn, Nogrod, and esp. Lommy, and undeservedly good on Nienna, Shasta, and Sally, all those that are really bad by evidence (Boro, too, but I'm not so worried about him). I have to try and figure this out toDay. No time right now, but a few hours before the deadline I will be there most of the time. |
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#3 | |
The Sweetest Spoiler
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: from beneath you it giggles incessantly
Posts: 5,789
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"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
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#4 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
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I just wanted to let everyone know I'll be gone from now until about an hour before deadline.
Make good choices.
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Puddle! Puddle! |
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#5 |
The Sweetest Spoiler
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: from beneath you it giggles incessantly
Posts: 5,789
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Will do, precious. Have a good day.
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"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
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#6 | ||||||||||||
The Sweetest Spoiler
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: from beneath you it giggles incessantly
Posts: 5,789
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Nada. Quote:
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![]() All in all I’m very confused by Lottie and very concerned. The trouble with this is that the more I look at Lottie the worse she looks to me, and yet there’s people I’m more worried about. Gah, I hate being so torn; this is why I voted for her yesterday, because she looks completely strange and rather guilty and obviously those are the types I automatically suspect. (Wow, that sentence got away from me.) Moral of the story is that yes, I want to lynch her, because I think she’s got insane amounts of guilt and fur, but I will agree with the others who stated it that, on the off chance she’s telling the truth, I’ll save her until toMorrow and worry about others. But Lottie, don’t think you’re off the hook. *A note: Sorry for the lack of bolding and stuff. I've really got to get a move on, but if I've the chance I'll be going back and fixing the formatting when I get to the office. In advance, as always, no actual content will be changed. Just an fyi.
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"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
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#7 | |
Fluttering Enchantment
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![]() Quote:
![]() About Lottie's reveal, I'm not really sure about it. First, a 1 dream seer, and on Night 4, doesn't really seem like that great of a secret role (no offense to Mr. Mod if it really is the secret role). Second, she wasn't yet in that much danger of being lynched, so I think that decision was a little rushed. And the Ranger thing isn't guaranteed, what if the Ranger protected Lottie last Night, or we lynch the Ranger today by accident? She's not guaranteed safety. I'm not saying I completely don't believe her, but the whole thing just seems a bit weird. But I suppose there's nothing more to do then to just wait it out. So.....I don't really feel all that suspicious of anyone, which I hate and it always seems to be the same way with me every game. ![]() Now don't jump on me if I come back in an hour or two *suddenly* suspecting someone. ![]() edit: x'ed with Nog and Sally x3
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Comme une étoile amarante Comme un papillon de nuit C'est la lumière qui m'attire La flamme qui m'éblouit Fenris Muffin
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#8 |
The Sweetest Spoiler
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: from beneath you it giggles incessantly
Posts: 5,789
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A list in order:
Lottie Lommie (?) Nerwen Shasta, you should be well aware of this list, because you're really close to it. Nienna too but not so much based on a few observations I've made, so I'll back off of her for a bit and look at others.
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"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
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#9 |
Wisest of the Noldor
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My apologies for lack of participation toDay– I've been working to a deadline.
I'll need to vote shortly and won't have time to do any proper analyses, so I'll just be picking someone who looks generally suspicious. I haven't read the latest posts yet– back soon.
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
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#10 | |
Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: In a far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 8,093
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Shasta & Brinn and a point against each of them (nothing brilliant though)
Shasta - I don't like it that he can't be around much and he uses all the energy he has to defend himself against random accusations instead of finding a wolf.
Brinn - this just struck me as a very lupine thing to say: Quote:
edit: xed with Niennax2 and Sally
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Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
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#11 | |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
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Edit: x-ed with Mac
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Puddle! Puddle! |
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#12 | |||
Laconic Loreman
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Now up and continuing...
Shasta Day 1- #171 doesn't see anything on Mnemo and Mac, votes Inzil. Day 2- #220 defends Day 1 vote saying he wasn't "sure" about Mac and Mnemo's innocence, but Inzil looked the least innocent of the three. #234 doesn't trust Nerwen, her vote could have been to kill Mac, or to save Inzil or possibly Mnemo. #354 votes Nerwen (1/1), confirms what Nienna said about his Day 1 vote. Quote:
Then his Day 2 vote is suspicious, not in wilwa's way, but by adding in another name to the pot a Shasta-wolf could have been hoping Mnemo would have gotten lost in the mix of names. Shasta looks highly suspicious, but I'm not willing to rule out being a misled innocent just yet. Bes Day 1- #42 notes Roa and Mnemo's point about lynching people on Day 1. And that was the only time I noticed Bes say something to Mnemo. Possibly a wolf trying to keep at a distance, but that's weak paranoid speculation on my part. Based on interaction with Mnemo, he looks ok. Nerwen Day 1- Nada, intended to vote Mac. Day 2- #268 Mnemo suddenly looks sinister (I believe referring to #263) #277 still not liking Mnemo #293 thinks sally hacked into Mnemo's account #293 debates Mnemo or Lottie #301 votes Mnemo (1/7) but expresses uncertainty about it. First to vote for Mnemo, which could be a wolf-on-wolf spot, but like Greenie everything matches up with Nerwen. She was the first to notice Mnemo was very different than from Day 1. It appeared to take Nerwen (and several others) by surprise. Even though everyone could see it (shouldn't say everyone, because I chose to ignore it completely), why would another wolf draw attention to it? I have no reservations about assuming Nerwen innocent. Lommy Day 1- #58 a list and Mnemo is quite "eye-brow raising" #95 suspects Mnemo a bit #151 could vote for Nienna or Mnemo #157 doesn't want to be the 3rd straight vote for Mnemo, because that would start a band-wagon and doesn't think Mnemo deserves it. #163 Nienna would be a throw away, so Nog or Mnemo... #168 votes Mnemo (3/3) Day 2- #273 Mnemo is odd and leaning towards guilty #328 Mnemo and sally both raising eye-brows. Mnemo slightly more #350 would be least sorry to lynch Mnemo #362 votes Mnemo (and breaks the massive tie of 1-vote getters) Voted for Mnemo twice which makes her look very innocent. Also the placement of her 2-votes don't make sense for being wolf-on-wolf. Unless if for Day 2 Mnemo was planning to go sacrificial, but even then it doesn't make sense considering #328 where Lommy makes the astute point: Quote:
![]() One more thing for you Lommy, don't take offense, it's further attempt to offer help. From Day 1, from #157 Quote:
For a normal person, I would be scratching my head at that silly line of reasoning, and seriously consider it for looking wolf-on-wolf. But, you are not normal, ![]() Edit: crossed with Mac
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Fenris Penguin
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#13 | |||
Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: In a far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 8,093
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I wish I had time to reread all for myself, but that's not case due to my bad timing (again).
![]() Loslote confuses me, mostly because when I saw her list post I was screaming "GUILTY!" to my screen and in the next post she claims to have the secret role. ![]() Quote:
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Morsul's self-vote is weird, but I guess it makes sense by his logic. And it makes me feel good about him: I think a wolf would be more paranoid and careful and thus not vote himself but cast a random vote. Quote:
![]() And here comes a quick list about my current feelings Innocent Greenie Morsul Loslote (?) Probably innocent Pitch Nog Boro More innocent than guilty Nerwen Eomer Bes More guilty than innocent Brinn Mac Wilwa Probably guilty Sally Nienna Shasta Guilty At least two of the previous cathegory and one from either there or somewhere else... Ha! It goes 3-3-3-3-3! Nice. I'll be back later and I can elaborate on stuff then.
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Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
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#14 | |
The Werewolf's Companion
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: The Moon
Posts: 3,021
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I have loved the stars too fondly to be fearful of the night. Double Fenris
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