WWLXX: At the Prison of Ice - The Barrow-Downs Discussion Forum

Nogrod · 12-03-2009, 04:02 PM

Well, wolves can vote wolves, even in tight situations and innocents can vote innocents. But I'm leaning towards agreeing with Eomer's approach. At least I think it's pretty safe to take it as our first guideline for toDay's search.

So can we read from the votings?

Nienna's votes look the worst as she has tried to save Mnemo two Days in a row. The only thing that bothers me there is why she voted for Lommy and not Lottie yesterDay (she could have made it 5-5)? Maybe she thought it would have been too obvious... but not taking sides at that point between the two only real candidates would look bad anyway...

Sally brought Lottie back to offer some real competiton (but helped by Inzil who was innocent). So that's a bit trickier one to assess.

Mnemo's quite early vote for Pitch yesterDay (as there were some suspicions going his way) makes me think Pitch a bit more innocent than not. It's not conclusive by any means but would make sense.

Overall I tend to think that Mnemo voters look better. Especially good would be Lommy who really was seriously lynching Mnemo both Days and Greenie who has also voted for her twice. Mac and Pitch look rather good as well as they gave Mnemo fourth and fifth vote yesterDay (while the closest contender was at two votes).

Nerwen's vote is the first to Mnemo and a bit more safe to place if she were in cahoots with her, but looking at her strong suspicions on her I tend to think her more on the good side.

Eomer is a bit harder one to call. He has actually voted Mnemo twice but on Day2 his vote had no real meaning anymore and on D1, even if he was putting Mnemo in the lead giving her the second vote, I wouldn't call it definitively innocent (loads of votes still to come at that point and only giving the second one). What makes me be a bit cautious here is the fact that on D1 he said he was "gambling with" his vote and now he portrays himself as the "definitive innocent"... Or then it's just vanity?

Anyway. Based on that I would say that to me the six:
Lommy
Greenie
Mac
Pitch
Nerwen
Eomer
appear quite good. Although I would be a bit surprised if there was no wolf in there.

And after repeating that Nienna looks pretty bad indeed, that leaves me still with eight people of whom one or two ar wolves - okay could be three but I just don't believe it, at least yet. So we have quite a work to do anyway.

EDIT: X'd with quite much everyone after Eomer's first post...

Eomer of the Rohirrim · 12-03-2009, 04:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nogrod

What makes me be a bit cautious here is the fact that on D1 he said he was "gambling with" his vote and now he portrays himself as the "definitive innocent"... Or then it's just vanity?

Ok, I'll change it to say that, to all of you, I should appear as probably innocent.

To me, of course, I am definitely innocent.

Remember the early days, when some of us would reference ourselves in lists as: definitely innocent, impeccably honest and true, and pretty darn handsome too, if I may say so; so handsome, in fact, that were he a wolf, he would have been murdered a long time ago by a pack of envious lupine males.

These days are not over.

12-03-2009, 04:02 PM	#1
Nogrod Flame of the Ainulindalë Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: Wearing rat's coat, crowskin, crossed staves in a field behaving as the wind behaves Posts: 9,308	Well, wolves can vote wolves, even in tight situations and innocents can vote innocents. But I'm leaning towards agreeing with Eomer's approach. At least I think it's pretty safe to take it as our first guideline for toDay's search. So can we read from the votings? Nienna's votes look the worst as she has tried to save Mnemo two Days in a row. The only thing that bothers me there is why she voted for Lommy and not Lottie yesterDay (she could have made it 5-5)? Maybe she thought it would have been too obvious... but not taking sides at that point between the two only real candidates would look bad anyway... Sally brought Lottie back to offer some real competiton (but helped by Inzil who was innocent). So that's a bit trickier one to assess. Mnemo's quite early vote for Pitch yesterDay (as there were some suspicions going his way) makes me think Pitch a bit more innocent than not. It's not conclusive by any means but would make sense. Overall I tend to think that Mnemo voters look better. Especially good would be Lommy who really was seriously lynching Mnemo both Days and Greenie who has also voted for her twice. Mac and Pitch look rather good as well as they gave Mnemo fourth and fifth vote yesterDay (while the closest contender was at two votes). Nerwen's vote is the first to Mnemo and a bit more safe to place if she were in cahoots with her, but looking at her strong suspicions on her I tend to think her more on the good side. Eomer is a bit harder one to call. He has actually voted Mnemo twice but on Day2 his vote had no real meaning anymore and on D1, even if he was putting Mnemo in the lead giving her the second vote, I wouldn't call it definitively innocent (loads of votes still to come at that point and only giving the second one). What makes me be a bit cautious here is the fact that on D1 he said he was "gambling with" his vote and now he portrays himself as the "definitive innocent"... Or then it's just vanity? Anyway. Based on that I would say that to me the six: Lommy Greenie Mac Pitch Nerwen Eomer appear quite good. Although I would be a bit surprised if there was no wolf in there. And after repeating that Nienna looks pretty bad indeed, that leaves me still with eight people of whom one or two ar wolves - okay could be three but I just don't believe it, at least yet. So we have quite a work to do anyway. EDIT: X'd with quite much everyone after Eomer's first post... __________________ Upon the hearth the fire is red Beneath the roof there is a bed; But not yet weary are our feet...