Tol-in-Gaurhoth CXIV – The Evil Breath of Morgoth in Dor-lómin, Quarantine Thread - The Barrow-Downs Discussion Forum

Inziladun · 05-17-2020, 10:25 AM

Now Steve's joined in the vote. He, Brinn, and Lottie can't all be evil.

Rikae · 05-17-2020, 10:28 AM

Joining Brinn doesn't mean evil, it means believing Brinn, and not the seer.

Rikae · 05-17-2020, 10:30 AM

But Shasta is dead?

You mean Eonwe? Funny, I mix Eonwe up with *you* all the time!

Rikae · 05-17-2020, 10:30 AM

Gah. You said Steve.

Blurry vision and small screen.

Huinesoron · 05-17-2020, 10:35 AM

++Brinniel

hS

Legate of Amon Lanc · 05-17-2020, 11:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Huinesoron

This is the most fitting description of the whole situation (and the description of my thought processes in every game of Werewolf anyway).

Rikae · 05-17-2020, 10:39 AM

Okay, so:

Scenario 1: Brinn & Eonwe are wolves. Lottie is an ordo. Real seer is still out there and hasn't commented yet. Worst case, is Kath.

Scenario 2: Brinn is the seer, Kath is a wolf, Eonwe is an ordo, who is happy he's been saved Lottie is a wolf who decided to drop the charade and not fake counter-reveal.

Scenario 3: Brinn is the seer, Kath is a wolf, Eonwe and Lottie are both relieved ordos, and Kath's fellow has not weighed in.

Did I get them all?

Brinn's weird "caught in a trap" comments early on and general caution were potentially seerish (why I wanted to give her a protective "cobbler-vote" on day 2) but ... also wolfish, and her claimed dreams don't leave much of a trail.

Prudent to wait.

Galadriel55 · 05-17-2020, 10:43 AM

My favourite part of this is that if Brin's reveal is true, one of the suspected Seers is actually a wolf.

Rikae · 05-17-2020, 10:52 AM

Scenario 4, Brinn's a wolf, Eonwe is innocent - wouldn't happen, right? A wolf Brinn would sit back and let the village lynch Eonwe today.

A Brinn-Eonwe pack might feel out of options and ready for a desperate play. Brinn would have been unlikely to survive more than a day after Eonwe was lynched.

Rikae · 05-17-2020, 10:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Galadriel55

My favourite part of this is that if Brin's reveal is true, one of the suspected Seers is actually a wolf.

Uh ... that's usually the case with people who look seerish, and given the size of he village, kind of inevitable.

Inziladun · 05-17-2020, 10:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rikae

Joining Brinn doesn't mean evil, it means believing Brinn, and not the seer.

It's hard to see an innocent Lottie being so quick to accept it.

Macalaure · 05-17-2020, 10:35 AM

If Brinn is lying and if Loslote is the real seer and if her focus is to buy herself another day, it's a good way to ensure the wolves won't come for her next night.

Galadriel55 · 05-17-2020, 10:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rikae

Joining Brinn doesn't mean evil, it means believing Brinn, and not the seer.

Or going along with Brin for other reasons.

Edit: xed with 2 posts

Macalaure · 05-17-2020, 10:32 AM

So if Brinniel speaks the truth, the last wolf next to Kath is Boro, Rune, or Loslote.

If Brinniel lies, then the last wolf next to her is...

Eonwe? (not if my Lottie idea is correct - if Lottie listed Eonwe on top, so if she knows about him her puzzle would be solved now.)

Loslote? (unlikely, a fake-seer reveal would have been more credible from her - then again, if wolf-Brinniel gets inevitably lynched toMorrow, Loslote still looks good, Brinniel in the reversed case less so.)

Gah, still too many options...

05-17-2020, 10:25 AM	#1
Inziladun Gruesome Spectre Join Date: Dec 2000 Location: Heaven's doorstep Posts: 8,039	Now Steve's joined in the vote. He, Brinn, and Lottie can't all be evil. __________________ Music alone proves the existence of God.

05-17-2020, 10:43 AM	#8
Galadriel55 Blossom of Dwimordene Join Date: Oct 2010 Location: The realm of forgotten words Posts: 10,495	My favourite part of this is that if Brin's reveal is true, one of the suspected Seers is actually a wolf. __________________ You passed from under darkened dome, you enter now the secret land. - Take me to Finrod's fabled home!... ~ Finrod: The Rock Opera

05-17-2020, 10:28 AM	#2
Rikae Mellifluous Maia Join Date: Aug 2006 Location: A glade open to the stars, deep in Nan Elmoth Posts: 3,489	Joining Brinn doesn't mean evil, it means believing Brinn, and not the seer.

05-17-2020, 10:30 AM	#3
Rikae Mellifluous Maia Join Date: Aug 2006 Location: A glade open to the stars, deep in Nan Elmoth Posts: 3,489	But Shasta is dead? You mean Eonwe? Funny, I mix Eonwe up with you all the time!

05-17-2020, 10:35 AM	#5
Huinesoron Overshadowed Eagle Join Date: Nov 2017 Location: The north-west of the Old World, east of the Sea Posts: 3,959	++Brinniel hS

05-17-2020, 10:39 AM	#7
Rikae Mellifluous Maia Join Date: Aug 2006 Location: A glade open to the stars, deep in Nan Elmoth Posts: 3,489	Okay, so: Scenario 1: Brinn & Eonwe are wolves. Lottie is an ordo. Real seer is still out there and hasn't commented yet. Worst case, is Kath. Scenario 2: Brinn is the seer, Kath is a wolf, Eonwe is an ordo, who is happy he's been saved Lottie is a wolf who decided to drop the charade and not fake counter-reveal. Scenario 3: Brinn is the seer, Kath is a wolf, Eonwe and Lottie are both relieved ordos, and Kath's fellow has not weighed in. Did I get them all? Brinn's weird "caught in a trap" comments early on and general caution were potentially seerish (why I wanted to give her a protective "cobbler-vote" on day 2) but ... also wolfish, and her claimed dreams don't leave much of a trail. Prudent to wait.

05-17-2020, 10:52 AM	#9
Rikae Mellifluous Maia Join Date: Aug 2006 Location: A glade open to the stars, deep in Nan Elmoth Posts: 3,489	Scenario 4, Brinn's a wolf, Eonwe is innocent - wouldn't happen, right? A wolf Brinn would sit back and let the village lynch Eonwe today. A Brinn-Eonwe pack might feel out of options and ready for a desperate play. Brinn would have been unlikely to survive more than a day after Eonwe was lynched.

05-17-2020, 10:35 AM	#12
Macalaure Fading Fëanorion Join Date: Mar 2006 Location: into the flood again Posts: 2,911	If Brinn is lying and if Loslote is the real seer and if her focus is to buy herself another day, it's a good way to ensure the wolves won't come for her next night.

05-17-2020, 10:32 AM	#14
Macalaure Fading Fëanorion Join Date: Mar 2006 Location: into the flood again Posts: 2,911	So if Brinniel speaks the truth, the last wolf next to Kath is Boro, Rune, or Loslote. If Brinniel lies, then the last wolf next to her is... Eonwe? (not if my Lottie idea is correct - if Lottie listed Eonwe on top, so if she knows about him her puzzle would be solved now.) Loslote? (unlikely, a fake-seer reveal would have been more credible from her - then again, if wolf-Brinniel gets inevitably lynched toMorrow, Loslote still looks good, Brinniel in the reversed case less so.) Gah, still too many options...