WW LXXV: It's Always Tea Time Here

[Aganzir]

Originally Posted by Thinlómien

Would Brinn look any better if her last-minute vote had been for Legate? No

It's not really her vote that made me suspicious of her but the fact that everybody else whose role I don't know suspected Legate. I mean, it made more sense for the wolf pack to try to stay alive yesterday, the both of them, and Brinn and Legate treated each other in a way convenient for two wolves.

Originally Posted by Lommy

But would a Nerwolf have expressed suspicion of fellow Legate so early on during the Day? Not sure...

I doubt it, but my argument lies entirely on the fact that I think neither of the wolves wanted to get lynched yesterday, even to make the other look better. Of course I might be wrong and they might have had a different approach, but my logic tells me Brinn looks worse than Nerwen.

Originally Posted by Brinniel

I think I'd actually rather be blamed for a village loss than get off-ed thanks to a wolf who though I insisted all along was evil, manages to convince the entire village that I'm the wolf.

If it's of any comfort to you, Nerwen hasn't convinced me. I reached the conclusion on my own, based on your actions. And if we lynch you today and you are innocent, you can take my word that I'll try to lynch Nerwen tomorrow (unless Shasta suddenly jumps up and cries "I'm a wolf!").

Haha poor Shasta!

[Aganzir]

I read through Legate's posts from both the day before he was turned and the days after that but they didn't really help me... Ie they didn't scream "Lookie lookie she's my fellow!!!!"

++Brinniel

It's either she or Nerwen (or Shasta but in that case I'll be angry with him) and I think we have better chances with Brinn.

Leaving soonish. Night bunnies (hopefully just in RL ).

[Brinniel]

You know what's frustrating is this reminds me perfectly of Nogrod's game from late 2007 where Agan set up this huge case against me, which resulted in the entire village blindly following. At the time, I was in fact screaming to the village, "You are falling into a trap. This is what the wolves want." But no one listened, and we lost.

With Nerwen driving this late bandwagon, that's what concerns me most about her. Though since it isn't actually the last Day like it was in the other game (when a double lynch occurred), it could be quite easy for a wolf to tag along in a bandwagon, and be able to survive due to there being more "obvious" suspects around. Which is why I'm also worried about Aganzir. Lynch me now, and I could see Nerwen very well getting lynched toMorrow, but if I'm wrong about her, then we've lost the game. I'm feeling quite certain it has to be one of these two. And if it's you, Shasta, then well, you probably deserve that win.

I guess what personally makes it so devastating about me getting lynched is that I know from previous games the village has lost every time they've decided to lynch me as an innocent. So right now, I'm not very optimistic about winning. Which is a shame, since we were so close.

[Brinniel]

Btw, I will be around for another half hour because my teacher basically excused us from class (again). Once again, I find myself wasting time here rather than doing more important schoolwork. All the things I have done for this village...and look how you repay me. Right now I really hope I'm right about Nerwen mainly because when this game is over I want you all to be able to hang your heads in shame and apologise to me profusely. I also realise if I'm wrong about her, I'll probably be eating my own words.

[Thinlómien]

Ugh. I'd really have preferred to die earlier - I had wonderful track record, I could honestly say I suspected all the wolves but now I'm totally lost. I so wish we could have three lynches... Brinn's latest posts look rather innocent, but I know she'd be able to write all that as a wolf. I'm increasingly worried about Agan, she seems so easy and confident. Quite honestly, I wouldn't be surprised if she actually was our last wolf... And it's getting late here and I should vote... grh. Given that Legate is in the same apartment, I could ask him to give the name of his fellow for having spent most of his game as an innocent he would probably mentally be on our side after his death. Seriously though, I guess I just have to vote. For the first time in this game, I'm happy I won't be around when the actual decision about the lynch (ie majority of the votes) is being made...

[Thinlómien]

It makes sense Brinn is the last wolf because she wasn't at Legate's throat and for her it would've been beneficial to keep Lottie alive.

It makes sense Nerwen is the last wolf because she really seriously has been thinking too much from the wolf pow - all the explanations of Night kills and now this who could be the Unicorn stuff.

It makes sense Agan is the last wolf because then there hasn't been a huge scale wolf-on-wolf massacre and because she seems so carefree now.

AARGH.

[Thinlómien]

Lottie and Shasta, are you around? Who do you suspect?

I also realised Agan could be simply carefree because Lottie and I are known innocents, it's pretty obvious Shasta is innocent and there are two Days, just enough to lynch the unknowns from her pow...

I'm trying to comfort myself by maths: there is a 66,66666666666666666666666666666666666666666666666 66666666666666666666666666666666666666666666666666 66666666666666666666666666666666666666666666666666 66...% chance we win this game...


edit: xed with Lottie

[Loslote]

Originally Posted by Nerwen

Lottie, you seem to be hinting here that you know something the rest of us don't about Brinniel, and that it proves, or at least suggests, her innocence.

This:

Originally Posted by Thinlómien

I agree with whoever said that toDay the unicorn should come out - so, here I am, I give up.

Proves me wrong.

Originally Posted by Aganzir

What I thought when reading those posts was that Lottie had a reason to believe Brinn was the unicorn... Or wanted to make somebody else believe so.

I did indeed.

Originally Posted by Nerwen

I just realized, she probably picked Brinn as the Unicorn by elimination. Think about it– it couldn't be Shasta because he thought it was Morsul, it couldn't be you because you were urging the unicorn to reveal, it couldn't be me because I'm too reluctant to die, and clearly it couldn't possibly be Lommy.

Actually, I thought she was the Uni ever since Morsul's death. She was very much against killing the Uni just 'cause, and seemed sure that he was no wolf/Uni. I thought that indicated that she was the Uni herself. Also, toDay she had thought a lot about the Uni and looked at both sides...anyway. I was wrong.

And now that I'm not waiting for the reveal, she does looks suspicious.

[Brinniel]

Originally Posted by Lommy

I'm increasingly worried about Agan, she seems so easy and confident. Quite honestly, I wouldn't be surprised if she actually was our last wolf... And it's getting late here and I should vote... grh.

I've become increasingly worried about her too and while Nerwen remains my top suspect, it's been itching at me that I could very well be wrong. I hate being wrong, which is why I want Nerwen to be the wolf, but if we end up losing because Nerwen and I are stuck on some innocent-on-innocent bickering and allow the real wolf to slide easily to victory, then that's really going to burn come end-game. While I'd say Nerwen remains my first choice, I'd be satisfied with lynching Aganzir too...and I'd definitely rather see her lynched over myself.

I have to run to a meeting now, but I should be back in a little over an hour.

[Brinniel]

Originally Posted by Shasta

Also, Lommy, if that's really supposed to be a comma then you're awfully confident.

Commas are decimals in Europe.

And those odds will be much smaller if you lynch me.