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Visit The *EVEN NEWER* Barrow-Downs Photo Page |
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#1 | |
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Wisest of the Noldor
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Okay... I had to go and do some stuff.
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I'd sort of come to think quite well of Boro, mainly because he tried to quash the "let's all agree to kill Lottie" thing– if she's innocent, as seems likely, that's a free kill for the wolves. But then a Borowolf might think supporting her would pay off in the long run. On the other hand, I can't say I trust Nogrod either... though his frustration at finding Mac dead looks fairly genuine...
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
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#2 |
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Wisest of the Noldor
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I really need to go back and read through everything. I've just been so flat-out the last few Days that I've been lazy and relied more on other people's analyses, which isn't a good thing.
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
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#3 | |||||||||
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Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: In a far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 8,093
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Loslote you being a known innocent does not mean thta you don't need to reason your votes or use your brains.
![]() Okayaie, I'm less annoyed now, I'm not convinced Nogrod is a wolf but I won't be surprised at all if he turns out to be one. Here's a fair point by Nerwen: Quote:
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You can lynch me if you want to. However, I don't think that's smart. That's one more innocent lynch, and although we can still afford that, it would be stupid. Especially as I really think you will get nothing out of my death (except maybe suspicion for Brinn, but that would serve her right ). And I'd like to echo what Boro said about this being a sort of crucial Day, so I'd prefer lynching a wolf toDay. Quote:
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Well seriously no, but you can be sure that you will be dead for me for a week, if you only gallantly step to my aid only because you're a wolf who thinks he will have a mighty good "I told you so" Day after I'm dead...Quote:
PS. for Nogrod - you diss me for suggesting you are a wolf because there would be so much wolf-on-wolf, yet you suspect me of all people. That's quite contradictory. If you claim wolves would shy away from massive amounts of wolf-on-wolvery, why are you jumping on a person who tried to get Mnemo lynched for two Days in a row and who voted second asnd third, both times at the sort of "get the bandwagon rolling" point? PPS. I checked the vote count for Day2. Quote:
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Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
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#4 | ||||
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Reflection of Darkness
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Polishing the stars. Well, somebody has to do it; they're looking a little bit dull.
Posts: 2,983
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If I'm somehow wrong about Lommy, I don't think that necessarily means Nogrod is guilty. At this stage, I don't really see why a wolfish Nogrod who has been under not much scrutiny himself would want to build this huge case against an innocent who could probably still get lynched without it. Quote:
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Nolite te bastardes carborundorum |
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#5 | |||
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Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: In a far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 8,093
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PS. Totally unrelatedly, Brinn, I like your sig.
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Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
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#6 | |
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Flame of the Ainulindalë
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Read this!
Reading through the thread I was quite amazed of the fast and easy "Lommy-wagon" - even if people suspecting her had suspected her earlier as well. But it looked really bad.
Which brought me to this: Quote:
Lottie called her role as the "Birthday dreamer" Now please veterans help me out (Lommy & Boro I think have played long enough) or those who have read the really old games... But wasn't a "birthday dreamer" a person who got to dream of someone on a certain pre-given Night (like Night 3 or 4) - and then got the role of the one s/he dreamt?!!! That is the birthday -part of it: as a present that person may take the new role (I don't remember whether it was compulsory to take that role or whether there was a choice involved). Enedwaith... Feel free to suspect me that I'm trying to out our only "known innocent", but I'm pretty serious. It is a real concern to me at least now that I remembered the nature of that role, as it had been. Not only because it would mean we have actually three wolves left and not just two, but also that one of them might lie down in front of us trusted by everyone. If I was a wolf and the stuff I say was just my trick on you, please consider would I then try to voice this concern this openly? I know some of you jump on me saying: he's trying to speak against Lottie once more and she must be innocent. But I have felt the whole Lottie-thing being odd all the time. Was it Wilwa who said that what an anticlimax to have a once dreaming seer as the secret role... I agree. And looking at what she does doesn't make me think of her any more innocentish. A birthday dreamer - old-school way - would be a neutralish role in the beginning as that person could dream of anyone; gifted or wolf or ordo... Why did they sacrifice Pitchie then? A good question... Maybe there was a ruling that if she found a wolf he should be revealed as not to make the game too uneven (already four wolves in the beginning and then this to put people off the track even more)? I'm not sure about this... well how could I be? But consider, especially you who are familiar with the "Birthday dreamer". Okay, now to make myself a dinner... just had to vent this out.
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Upon the hearth the fire is red Beneath the roof there is a bed; But not yet weary are our feet... |
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#7 | |
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Wisest of the Noldor
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![]() I have no idea whether what Nog's saying here is right– this was all before my time– but that would change everything. Anyone know?
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
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#8 |
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Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
Posts: 2,832
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See, I almost buy that theory... until the part about there being a rule about having to out the dreamt wolf. That part seems farfetched to me.
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
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#9 |
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Animated Skeleton
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The role Nog is describing does seem very awkward, yes. The point where it all falls apart for me is pretty basic: If that were the role, why would she ever reveal that she was a Birthday Dreamer when she could as easily claim to be a regular old Seer, and just hadn't found a wolf yet? She and most everyone else were already pretty confident about Pitch by that point, it would more or less be a done deal.
I understand that she'd have become suspicious after that and around Day 7 or 8 it would be hard for her to claim that she hadn't found a new wolf yet, but it would be better than telling us she was a Birthday Dreamer, which would imply to us that if she was right, she would be a new wolf herself. I think the role works just like she told us it does. Well, barring some wicked reverse psychology and assuming that no one could look up the role. Edit: Crossed with Boro |
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#10 | |
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Laconic Loreman
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I'm just familiar with it, because I remember being a wolf, and getting super happy and confident that we killed the seer early (I think Day 2 or 3). But there was also the mythomaniac role, who had picked the seer, assuming seer duties and I was ousted as a wolf.
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Fenris Penguin
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#11 | ||
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Wisest of the Noldor
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I'll say what I was going to before this "Evil!Birthday dreamer" theory came up.
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).But the thing is, this is all a glaring contrast to the way Boro acted yesterDay. Boro, I know you said this: Quote:
EDIT:X'd since Shasta. EDIT2:Word left out; added comment.
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. Last edited by Nerwen; 12-10-2009 at 11:06 AM. |
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#12 | ||||
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Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: In a far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 8,093
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Replying and reading at the same time...
Nogrod, that is a scary theory, especially as it kind of makes sense! Because then Lottie could've revealed the Day before and just tell half of her role... and then she really would've had to give us a dream (and maybe she wasn't allowed to pm with her fellows yet?) so she saw no other option as telling the trust that she dreamt of Pitchie (also that was quite an ingenious way of earning out trust). If I may say without being jumped on, that really explains her single-minded and unreasoned voting against me Day after Day - very easy for a wolf, an innocent would maybe think more. Aiee... I'm tempted to buy this theory but I probably shouldn't, at least right away. Hmmm... I need to think more. Quote:
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It might be presumptuous to say, but I wouldn't have been so sure if I had been right: I've never been as sure of anyone's guilt before or after that (that is, without universally acknowledged heavy evidence). I won't be wanting any apologies (it's just a game), except maybe for stating that there are good reasons to suspect me because I simply can't see any.Quote:
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I mean, this is really puzzling. I don't simply get where is all the suspicion against me coming from. I can't see anything wolvish I would've done, (nor why people don't see my points about why it's unlikely I'm a wolf). If you lynch me toDay, I advice to look at the suspicion bandwagon against me very carefully: I'm pretty sure you will find one if not two wolves there. Anyway back to Lottie birthday dreamer issue - I think it would actually be quite likely Legate used the original role. And as for people changing behaviour towards Lottie after the Nigth she dreamt, that could mean nothing, because it could mean they didn't get to PM or even know her role yet then... ..am I really believeing in this guilty birthday dreamer thingy? Oh my. I'll be off for a while and think about it and other stuff, like for example who are our remaining wolves... (speaking of which Nogrod is playing quite a game with all this birthday dreamer stuff if he's a wolf...) |
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#13 | ||
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Reflection of Darkness
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Polishing the stars. Well, somebody has to do it; they're looking a little bit dull.
Posts: 2,983
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Nogrod makes an interesting point about Lottie's role, though I wouldn't be too quick to jump on her just because of what the role might've involved in the past. For one thing, the birthday dreamer role hasn't been used for a long time, before Legate's time too I think. His version of birthday dreamer could possibly be different than what it originally was. I just don't understand why she would reveal if this was so; maybe she didn't know the role already existed? I don't have time to figure this out, so I'll think about it more toMorrow when I actually have time. I have class now, so I must vote now since I won't be back. No surprises here: ++Lommy
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Nolite te bastardes carborundorum |
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#14 |
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Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
Posts: 2,832
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Plus the fact that the game started... on Legate's birthday.
![]() In any case, I'm just back from a final and am reading. Right now I'm still thinking that one of Nog and Lommy is a wolf, and that Boro and Bes have done complete 180s on Lottie which strikes me as odd. Where I stand - I would be willing to lynch Lommy, Nog, and to a lesser extent Sally today. A note - Nerwen is far below my radar this game. If there's anyone not playing like they usually do, it's my queen. Edit: X'ed with Nog. Remember where absolutes get you, Nog? (Hint: Roa wasn't a wolf.)
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
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#15 | ||
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Laconic Loreman
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When you realize you were wrong about your top suspect, and you put a lot of effort towards that one suspect, you realize that you have no idea about anyone still living besides a few vague feelings. My certainess about believing I was on the "right trail" took a big hit.And I still just did not like the way today was shaping up with the direction being driven on Nog and Lommy. Yesterday, and the day before, there was still a lot of things going on, and action, besides my hard-headed crusade against wilwa. Quote:
Especially since, I think Lottie has changed her behavior from her revealed days as a believed seer, to her last 2 days as an assumed innocent.
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Fenris Penguin
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#16 | |
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Laconic Loreman
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Hold your horses, I'm busy just like you.
If you want a quick summary.Basically, I don't like how the focus has been narrowed down to 2 people today. That is handing the wolves a situation they can control. I wanted to start putting pressure on the people I haven't been spending a great deal of time on, plus those who have been easing by, not getting involved in all these battles that keep happening every day. So, those who have been playing a clean, safe game so far. I include you in here (along with Bes and Brinn...and to a lesser extent sally). As far as specific things against you. Your votes so far are questionable. Your Day 1 looked reasonable enough, but Mnemo said in #108 that a vote for you would be "too easy" especially considering your vote for Mac. And in #120 Pitch said that your vote looked based on a hunch and that it was understandable. That's 2 wolves defending a vote that I don't see was all that bad. The early first votes are usually the safest (but of course do to any time constraints it is understandable), but no one really finds early Day 1 votes suspicious. So, I wonder what 2-wolves are doing defending you for it? Plus your vote for yourself. You didn't want to be mod-fired, that's good and it doesn't point to either innocence or wolvery. But the fact that it was for yourself, it looks not only safe, but a move to make people think you're innocent since you did vote for yourself. Now, I'm not familiar with you as a wolf yet, but from the reputation it sounds like you are a tough one to follow. And that vote explains it...you vote because you do not want to be mod-fired, thus you did not want "die." Yet you vote for yourself which suggests you do? The vote itself is safe, and typically when innocents vote for themself it's out of frustration...but your self-vote wasn't out of frustration which makes it look like you were doing it to look innocent, and that gets me suspicioius. Quote:
I'm not familiar with the "birthday-dreamer" but what you are describing sounds like the Mythomaniac, who chose a person and then could assume their role. And I don't suspect you for pointing this out, it's something I didn't think about. My reasons for adamantly defending Lottie were, because every part of her reveal matched up. Also, yesterday, if she did only get one dream then the wolves may deem other people larger threats, and risk keeping a known innocent around. That is why I was trying to push that we accept her story, however I also wanted to challenge her to be a real pain-in-the-@** to the wolves, and either try to make them kill her or regret they didn't. Her behavior today and yesterday is a lot different than the days she revealed and then gave us Pitch. Now they did sacrifice a wolf, but think of the benefit for pulling off a stunt like that if you and wilwa are correct about the secret-role. What do we then make of Bes? Because now the whole Lottie saying "I only dreamed of Pitch, because he said I should dream of Bes" looks too fabricated and clean.
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Fenris Penguin
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