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#11 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: CT/NY
Posts: 681
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Analysis Part 2 of 3: Hakon
For the sake of my own sanity, I'm going to skip the meaningless banter posts from the first few pages.
#20 Wants to know why morm said lynch phantom first in the admin thread. #25 Actually attempts analysis on Day 1. ![]() #35 Agrees with phantom's points (bear kill wolves, gifteds leave clues, psuedo-deadline) thinks phantom is probably gifted #132 Contemplates importance of the surveys #137 Reeeally wants to look at surveys. *insert lots of posts about the surveys and bantering with Rikae and a case of mistaken identity here* Really started getting on a lot of people's nerves (especially Rikae's) with the whole survey business. Could he have been distracting from something else? Such as a slip he had made previously that I missed? Maybe. /end mini-analysis #170 "I still think the bear can kill at least one person we are suspicious of." Thinks the bear will help the village *insert morm vote for Hakon* #178 Admits is very arrogant. What can he hope to gain from this, Mira wonders. Still thinks the village can convince the bear to do its bidding. *insert Rikae getting really annoyed and threatening to vote Hakon out of sheer irritation* #182 "If we figure out who the bear is, the bear will either end up lynched or a wolf will kill it. So if we figure it out then during the night phase the bear can kill a possible cobbler or wolf since the second the next day phase starts the bear will most likely by lynched or the bear will die int he night phase because a wolf kills it." Makes what I (and apparently Nerwen) think is a completely useless statement. #184 Still harping on the bear. #189 Says this topic is causing an unnecessary argument and we should focus on the wolves. *insert morm retracting vote for Hakon and locking in vote for Hakon* *insert somehow getting back on the topic of surveys which I thought we had already dealt with* #237 "For players I trust I think I had said Mac and Shasta. For players I distrust I think I had said Nessa and Inziladun." #263 Thinks Rikae's optimism about lynching a wolf Day 1 is because it happened in the past 2 games. #268 Feels people need to vote Fea or Hakon will die. #273 Responds to Rikae's analysis of mod-choosing of the roles about trusting and not trusting certain people and the likelihood of having feared or distrusted people as the seer. "As for the wolves one is probably a feared, one is a distrusted person and the final one a trusted person." *insert sally not wanting to discuss surveys* *insert Rikae saying Hakon is a safe vote, easy lynch, and probably innocent* #278 Doesn't like morm's vote for him. Cites last game as reason why he shouldn't by lynched. #288 Agrees with Brinn that morm voted Hakon because of Hakon's comment about morm fearing phantom. #296 Likes the idea of voting Fea. #303 Wants Rikae to take Inzil off her suspicious list on the grounds that he has been around and contributing unlike some other people. If he wasn't a known ordo I would suggest he was trying to protect a fellow wolf. Boro, when the cobbler is killed is his role revealed as such or as an ordo? #315 Suspicion list: 1. morm - nothing but a gut feeling 2. sally - might be cobbler 3. phantom - "He actually seems very innocent it just that he is very active and suggesting good ideas. In in my opinion that is the best way to hide being a wolf." 4. Rikae - might be bear #322 Thinks the bear is someone who talked about the bear a lot, such as Rikae. #350 Would like to know why Pitchwife finds Nessa the most cunning of the newbies. #387 Doesn't like autumne's wagon-vote for him. #394 Thinks Shasta makes a good point about Pitchwife #463 Votes Pitchwife to save himself. ~~~~~ The one solid connection I've found between the two dead that I've analyzed so far is that Rikae had a lot of interaction with both of them. This could be nothing or she could be evil. Hakon thought she might be the bear, but I seriously doubt that a Rikaebear would make such an obvious kill choice. The bear is probably someone who was annoyed by Hakon and his speculation about the bear role (or in general).
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Rise and rise again until lambs become lions. Last edited by Mirandir; 08-14-2009 at 11:02 PM. Reason: x-ed since my last post |
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