Tol-in-Gaurhoth XLVII: Dueling Wizards Werewolf II - The Barrow-Downs Discussion Forum

Lalaith · 06-07-2008, 03:14 AM

When I try to post, I am being forced to reply to Diamond´s last post. Technological weirdness. I´ve cut the quote, hope the post comes up ok.

I´ve continued to think about this order of wolves created business.
Here´s what I´ve come up with.
a. The EW wants to create new wolves, but at the same time she is trying to find the GW. So after Night One, when she creates her basic team, her picks are likely to be players she thinks might be the GW.
b. We know she hasn't found the GW yet because we have four wolves.
c. However, given a choice of candidates, she is also probably scrying people less likely to get lynched the next day. Because if a GW is lynched, she is revealed, the EW finds out anyway. And if her new wolf is lynched, well, she loses a wolf.

So bearing that in mind, I will go through the thread and list of players to see if I can come up with likely turned wolves.

Cailín · 06-07-2008, 03:23 AM

Well, that was pretty easy. I know you'll be offended by this, phantom, but I can just dismiss your post. By your standards it's pretty lame.

Eomer is here, occasionally whispering, more often typing, and he does not find you especially innocent. And yeah, he usually does. I like to keep you around because you're a good poster and an interesting villager, but it kind of hurts that you don't see me the same way.

One thing you pointed out: because of what you and Nogrod clarified on Day 2, I was fully aware I could vote on the hour exactly. At that time, with all the panic-posting, I needed a minute to really get my thoughts together. Yeah, it was obvious I had to vote for Aganzir but at the time I double-checked.

Besides, if I could take an extra second to tease Brinniel with one of these --

-- then I say it was worth it.

Well, I've defended myself. I didn't think it was difficult and I don't want to do anymore of it today. I want to assess other villagers later on.

06-07-2008, 03:14 AM	#1
Lalaith Blithe Spirit Join Date: Jan 2003 Posts: 2,779	When I try to post, I am being forced to reply to Diamond´s last post. Technological weirdness. I´ve cut the quote, hope the post comes up ok. I´ve continued to think about this order of wolves created business. Here´s what I´ve come up with. a. The EW wants to create new wolves, but at the same time she is trying to find the GW. So after Night One, when she creates her basic team, her picks are likely to be players she thinks might be the GW. b. We know she hasn't found the GW yet because we have four wolves. c. However, given a choice of candidates, she is also probably scrying people less likely to get lynched the next day. Because if a GW is lynched, she is revealed, the EW finds out anyway. And if her new wolf is lynched, well, she loses a wolf. So bearing that in mind, I will go through the thread and list of players to see if I can come up with likely turned wolves. __________________ Out went the candle, and we were left darkling

06-07-2008, 03:23 AM	#2
Cailín Ghost Prince of Cardolan Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Lurking in the shadows. Posts: 711	Well, that was pretty easy. I know you'll be offended by this, phantom, but I can just dismiss your post. By your standards it's pretty lame. Eomer is here, occasionally whispering, more often typing, and he does not find you especially innocent. And yeah, he usually does. I like to keep you around because you're a good poster and an interesting villager, but it kind of hurts that you don't see me the same way. One thing you pointed out: because of what you and Nogrod clarified on Day 2, I was fully aware I could vote on the hour exactly. At that time, with all the panic-posting, I needed a minute to really get my thoughts together. Yeah, it was obvious I had to vote for Aganzir but at the time I double-checked. Besides, if I could take an extra second to tease Brinniel with one of these -- -- then I say it was worth it. Well, I've defended myself. I didn't think it was difficult and I don't want to do anymore of it today. I want to assess other villagers later on.