Visit The *EVEN NEWER* Barrow-Downs Photo Page |
12-03-2007, 08:55 PM | #321 | |
Maundering Mage
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Texas
Posts: 4,646
|
Quote:
I don't like it! As soon as I bring up some, what I feel valid, points against Menel he changes his mind but for no real reason.
__________________
“I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo. "So do I," said Gandalf, "and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us.” |
|
12-03-2007, 09:19 PM | #322 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: The bottom of the ocean, discussing philosophy with a giant squid
Posts: 2,254
|
The reason I changed my mind was because I found the links between you and Green to not have as much of a basis as I thought they did. I also have not declared you innocent. That depends upon tomorrow morning's analysis of your posts.
__________________
I ♣ baby seals. |
12-03-2007, 10:29 PM | #323 |
Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
Posts: 2,832
|
Bah.
Of the following pairs, I feel about 75% sure that one of each is a wolf. Mormegil and.... ugh, this is what I get for not taking notes. >< Volo's there somewhere, and I think Brinniel might be. Haha, I'm not very good at this. Oh! The other was Lommy. So it's: Mormegil or Lommy and Volo or Brinniel Of these, I'm leaning more towards Mormegil and Volo. I'm really not great at explaining, though, as has been mentioned by Brinniel and Menel. I am trying though. The last run of our play was tonight, so I should have some more time to read things. |
12-03-2007, 10:57 PM | #324 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: In hospitals, call rooms and (rarely) my apartment.
Posts: 1,538
|
Well, once again I have to vote early as I am not sure I'll be back before the deadline.
I think there's no doubt that Sally is the most suspicious-looking character right now. It's great that the village has been discussing other possibilities, but since I have to cast what I believe it's the first vote, I'll go after the biggest suspect on my list ++Satansaloser2005 I've already had to eat my two feet 'cos of Rikae's innocense, but if I'm wrong on this one then I'll have to eat my hat!
__________________
I prepared Explosive Runes this morning. |
12-04-2007, 12:21 AM | #325 |
The Sweetest Spoiler
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: from beneath you it giggles incessantly
Posts: 5,789
|
I'd recommend ketchup. Especially if you have a leather hat. Now a furry one would be hard. The fuzz might tickle your throat on the way down. And that's Sally to you, Farael.
Okay now onto acutal matters at hand. Interesting pairings, Shasta. I'll look into them in a bit and see how they work out. I still have a bit of a thing for Morm. One of those things that I can't explain, but I just feel him to be wolvish. Could be the sleep-deprivation, could be instincts, I don't know. I just feel him as a wolf. But voting him both the last two days seems to be unproductive, so I'm just going to change course and look at everyone else more in-depth. I started this post about an hour ago and then I had to run to Walmart, so I have no idea what's been posted since then. Therefore I'm leaving my post here and I'll just make another one once I've caught up. EDIT in advance: X'd with everything since Farael's vote
__________________
"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
|
12-04-2007, 01:17 AM | #326 |
The Sweetest Spoiler
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: from beneath you it giggles incessantly
Posts: 5,789
|
Um okay, it was an hour and a half, and no one posted. But I'll make a new post anyway. Quick analysis on everyone (sorry I need to finish, or rather start, my term paper that's due tomorrow that's one reason I'm so skittish). Cut and dried, simple, to the point-ish. There's been so much stuff I need to go through that I'll be posting in class tomorrow, so expect me to vote later in the "day", barring a sudden change of plans like yesterday.
Here's my commentary. For those of you lovely hecklers who wondered what the heck I've been doing, notice that some of the content is based off their responses to my odd posts. I didn't go crazy for nothing, don't worry. Lommy: Assumed the wolves went after Val because they thought she was the seer. i can see her logic, but it seems like she put it forward a little too soon, a little too quickly, and made slightly too big a deal out of it. leaning toward innocent but that could change easily. Agan: just don't know. get back to her eventually. Meneltarmacil: have additional commentary on Menel's potential role in the game, but we'll go with the general label of "think they're innocent". in fact, i'm almost positive. if i'm wrong may the wolves kill me, give me a bath in barbeque sauce, and put me to bed with an apple in my mouth. Volo: says at some point that the wolves most likely would try to frame Morm with the killing of Val. one of those "if volo's a wolf, morm is too" kind of things. other than that I base my hunch off a lot of the other posts here. in short, volo takes off on a one-post suspicion of me because of how I have suspected Morm (also my general disposition throughout the game, but I believe it to be more about Morm) and seems overall too protective of him. Mac: no. flipping. idea. i don't know if i'm on something or if he just has no appearance either way, but either way I can't get a read on the guy. Might: still think Might's innocent. don't quote me on that though. during the great discussion about me, posts requesting that we broaden our scope of investigation, aka pay attention to more people. in my experience the wolves would be perfectly happy to see all the attention on me, although i could see it going either way. Morm: I've covered this. nuf said. not leaning towards guilty, but rather tripping over it. Fea: eeks. I don't know. One post strikes me as ordo, the next as wolf, and so on (you know what I mean.) I can't make up my mind. Brinn: keep wanting to compare her to the last game. blast. need to read over her posts again and form a harder opinion. get back to you on her, but for now leaning innocent. just read a little more, and she also seems to be for the idea of not concentrating too much on lil old me, but focusing on finding other potential furry foes. thus leaning innocent, but on the fence somewhat Sally: that's me. nuf said. Farael: in post 180, wanted us to look at everyone, not just morm. fine and dandy, especially since I THINK that's the day we beat the tar out of Greenie (correct me if I'm wrong), but managed (not on her own though) to turn the discussion away from morm. and to me, but that was my own doing. Oh I remember now! Not to be defensive but....look at post 284. Says hes' voting me unless the seer tells him to do otherwise. First of all, go ahead and vote me. No problem there, just so I cover the whole post. Second of all, the seer's not going to come out and say "oh she's innocent" or "oh she's a wolf," unless I am the seer myself, which isn't likely and even if I was I wouldn't say that. So pretty much you're going to kill me no matter what. Again, I'm willing to make the sacrifice. Prefer not to, but if necessary I'll go for it. Third of all, takes my discussion of Morm and I and completely disregards it. Fair enough as I would not want myself tied to Morm if I was a wolf, but I (even being a bit of a newbie to this particular type of play) would not make it quite so public that I wanted nothing to do with him. To be honest, that was more of a setup for the tie between Volo and Morm, alas the post that never was. To summarize, if Morm does die and is a wolf, Farael wants to make sure that I look bad right along with him. Kath: kath's not really said a ton, so I'm leaving her be for now. Not that she hasn't said anything interesting, but I'm not looking at her exclusively. leaning guilty, but more worried about other potential wolves at the moment. Shasta: interesting posts, some stuff to talk about, but I'm not leaning either way. Kuru: another leaning slightly guilty category not because of the contents of his posts, just because I could see me doing a lot of the same things if I was a wolf. Okay it's 1:30am almost and I have to be at work before 8am. Still need to write a ten page paper and try to fit sleep into there somewhere. So this is where I leave you for now.
__________________
"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
Last edited by satansaloser2005; 12-04-2007 at 01:43 AM. Reason: dern bolding. and it's late so fixing my many errors |
12-04-2007, 01:44 AM | #327 |
The Sweetest Spoiler
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: from beneath you it giggles incessantly
Posts: 5,789
|
Quick summary, then. If I had to vote for three people, they would be:
Morm Farael Volo in that order.
__________________
"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
|
12-04-2007, 02:22 AM | #328 |
Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
Posts: 2,832
|
I'm voting a bit early as well.
I'm in complete agreement that Morm needs to be lynched, and soon. I, for one, am not willing to take the chance that this whole situation about Morm is a double-, triple-, or whatever-number-we're-on-now bluff. Besides, even if he does turn out to be innocent (which I'm seriously doubting at the moment), we can't afford to waste another day hemming and hawing about it. This will be the third now, and it seems to me that we're doing nothing by narrowly focusing on Morm other than letting the other wolves slip past. I will say, though, off-topic, that I hope the Drop is the last wolf we kill. Water's my favorite. <3 ++ Mormegil |
12-04-2007, 02:32 AM | #329 | ||||
Reflection of Darkness
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Polishing the stars. Well, somebody has to do it; they're looking a little bit dull.
Posts: 2,983
|
Okay, I said I'd look over the Green voters and I did. Who looks most suspicious based only on their vote for A Little Green:
Aganzir: Earlier on she does talk about Green: Quote:
Volo: He does suspect Green earlier in the Day, but includes two other suspects in that post: Quote:
Mac: He does list Green as slightly suspicious early on, but doesn't seriously consider her until the bandwagon's rolling. His vote for her is very safe. Still, I hesitate to suspect Mac because so far his words seem very genuine and I simply don't get any wolfish vibes from him. So in spite of his vote, he still seems innocentish to me. Might: He doesn't really seem to even mention Green until the end of the Day when he's debating his vote. Quote:
EDIT: X-ed with Shasta
__________________
Nolite te bastardes carborundorum |
||||
12-04-2007, 03:09 AM | #330 | ||||||||||
Reflection of Darkness
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Polishing the stars. Well, somebody has to do it; they're looking a little bit dull.
Posts: 2,983
|
A closer look at Menel (who along with Volo, is a top suspect):
Some quotes that grabbed my attention starting at the end of yesterDay and going into toDay: His thoughts on Volo: Quote:
Again, I don't like his post in #238 where he debates between morm and Green, and then chooses morm. Still could be a wolf save. I won't quote that post since I already did earlier. Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
I must say, you're just looking furrier and furrier to me, Menel.
__________________
Nolite te bastardes carborundorum |
||||||||||
12-04-2007, 03:14 AM | #331 | |||||
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: In hospitals, call rooms and (rarely) my apartment.
Posts: 1,538
|
Quote:
What's going on... an ordo realizing that she was hurting the village, or a wolf scared that people are ready to call her bluff? Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
Look, if you truly are a newbie who thinks that people will take her for her word on this game I apologise... but it takes less than a full game to learn that, unless proven an ordo beyond doubt no-one trusts what other people claim, unless they support their claims. And most often, the way to prove someone an ordo (or a wolf) is to lynch them. But of course, I'm not saying "let's lynch her and see if she was saying the truth"... you've been acting in a disruptive manner for the last two days and added nothing of essence up until your last post. And even then, it was an "analysis" post that says a lot with little substance. Ok, so now we know, briefly, what you think of others... but I'd much rather see you come up with a good analysis of ONE suspect than a blurb about fifteen of us. So in conclusion, since only three of the "villagers" want to disrupt the village and muddle discussion, while the rest of us wants to work with what little we've got to find us another wolf, I believe that your behaviour fits more with the wolves than the hobbits.
__________________
I prepared Explosive Runes this morning. |
|||||
12-04-2007, 03:18 AM | #332 |
The Sweetest Spoiler
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: from beneath you it giggles incessantly
Posts: 5,789
|
Not that it has anything to do with....well with anything, but what time is it there Brinn? It's like 3:30am here and I was wondering who else would be crazy enough to be up at this hour besides me.
EDIT: x'd with Farael
__________________
"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
Last edited by satansaloser2005; 12-10-2007 at 07:21 PM. Reason: it's been several days but i just realized i spelled "hour" as "our" and it was driving me insane! |
12-04-2007, 03:19 AM | #333 | |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: In hospitals, call rooms and (rarely) my apartment.
Posts: 1,538
|
Quote:
Sorry, I just wanted to say that before going to bed, otherwise Brinniel's post is fine by me. Something to chew on for tomorrow (RL... and prolly game-wise as well).
__________________
I prepared Explosive Runes this morning. |
|
12-04-2007, 03:20 AM | #334 | |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: In hospitals, call rooms and (rarely) my apartment.
Posts: 1,538
|
Quote:
[/sillyness] night y'all
__________________
I prepared Explosive Runes this morning. |
|
12-04-2007, 03:30 AM | #335 | |
The Sweetest Spoiler
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: from beneath you it giggles incessantly
Posts: 5,789
|
Quote:
Farael, I'm not making those points to defend myself, but rather to show how you are indeed acting quite hairy yourself. Note how I didnt' defend myself, I in fact quite gave you permission to lynch me if that's what you feel will most benefit you personally, I just left all possibilities open for consideration. Yet again, a case of words quite twisted. And to be honest I've played quite a lot of mafia (aka mainstream werewolf) over the years and realize that people aren't to be taken for their word. That's why A: I don't bother to defend myself, unless it is in the realm of clarification or unless I did something truly stupid or obvious, which fortunately hasn't happened to me yet, and B: I make all my posts under the assumption that I am an ordo, at least when I am such. Hypothetically speaking (I will give consideration to this if only momentarily)if I do in fact turn out to be a wolf, you will be able to see quite a lot from my posts based on the connotations I will leave behind about other players. Hypotheticals aren't normally worth my time, but to be fair and balanced I like to inlcude them occasionally. Lastly, you seem quite a bit defensive yourself. Notice all, if you will, that the part of my post he found most disturbing was the part in which I discuss his own actions in the game? Nervous are we, perhaps, that you've left a bit too much of a trail, light and easy to misinterpret it may be? Thank you for your post, Farael, as I think you've helped me clean up my suspect list a little bit. You are now tied with Morm for first place in the hairy villager competition.
__________________
"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
Last edited by satansaloser2005; 12-04-2007 at 03:32 AM. Reason: crud i forgot to bold again. |
|
12-04-2007, 03:31 AM | #336 | |
The Sweetest Spoiler
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: from beneath you it giggles incessantly
Posts: 5,789
|
Quote:
hehe niiiiice. I think we need to go to bed. If only I could figure out how to write my blasted paper in my sleep
__________________
"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
|
|
12-04-2007, 03:37 AM | #337 | ||
Reflection of Darkness
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Polishing the stars. Well, somebody has to do it; they're looking a little bit dull.
Posts: 2,983
|
Quote:
Quote:
__________________
Nolite te bastardes carborundorum |
||
12-04-2007, 03:40 AM | #338 |
The Sweetest Spoiler
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: from beneath you it giggles incessantly
Posts: 5,789
|
If I was mean, I would sarcastically turn that comment into an admission of guilt werewolf-wise, but it's late and I'm too lazy. Besides, I've had my fun of stirring up havoc and getting everyone wondering what the heck I'm doing anyway. Hey since you don't sleep you wanna finish my Shakespeare homework for me? I need like 6 more pages on the antic disposition by 7:30am central time when I go to work.
__________________
"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
|
12-04-2007, 03:54 AM | #339 | |||
Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: In a far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 8,093
|
I will elaborate on why I believe those three are wolves in a few hours, when I have more time. However, I'd like to make a few short comments.
About every single post by Sally seems very wolvish to me. She does not seem innocent at all and she doesn't even deny being a wolf! I think we should lynch her toDay, but like someone said, let's not concentrate only on her today. Fea's post #277 seemed a bit too elaborate coming from an innocent's mouth (or keyboard), especially as she posted just 20 minutes after the deadline. Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
I think I should read through Legate's posts but it qould be quite a massive operation so I'm not very enthusiastic about it. I think it's odd (and somewhat worrysome) how little we've talked about his death. I mean, wolf kills are a huge part of any evidence we can get so we really shouldn't disregard them. And unless my opinion changes greatly during toDay, I'm ready to risk a Sally+morm double lynch. EDIT: xed with the early birds Brinn and Sally...
__________________
Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
|
|||
12-04-2007, 04:14 AM | #340 |
The Sweetest Spoiler
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: from beneath you it giggles incessantly
Posts: 5,789
|
Early birds? I believe you mean late birds, love. I need to respond to the last few posts, but right now I feel a nap coming on for at least a few minutes. Maybe if I get a chance before I head to work I'll post, it depends on how things are going paper-wise.
And again, I've had my fun and stirred the debate which I wanted stirred. May not make sense now, but it will. So lynch me if you must. Everyone knows there's nothing I can do to prove that I'm an ordo, so why even try? You'll just have to take my word for it, much like the last game, where I made quips and cracks to get reactions, and got them mind you, and got lynched towards the end of the game, only to be revealed as an innocent. Yay for me for having skills to look suspicious. If nothing else, provided that I survive day rounds I can be pretty sure that the wolves won't kill me during the night. I'm too juicy to not have stick around. Thoughts....trailing....off....need....sleep....ge tting mental pictures of the werewolves playing soccer with Yorick's skull....weird....*zonks*
__________________
"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
|
12-04-2007, 04:43 AM | #341 |
Reflection of Darkness
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Polishing the stars. Well, somebody has to do it; they're looking a little bit dull.
Posts: 2,983
|
Okay, admittingly I've been waiting up the last several hours to take a shower, but for some stupid reason I still have no hot water, so it looks like I'm going to have to give up and turn in for now.
Just wanted to maked some final input before I go with another innocent/suspicious list: Leaning Innocent Mac Kath Mormegil Neutral Farael Lommy Fea Kuru Shasta Slightly Suspicious Aganzir Sally Very Suspicious Menel Volo At this point, it looks like I'll probably be voting Menel or Volo unless something comes up that makes me change my mind. Sally is very very confusing...perhaps she's off the wall from lack of sleep, I don't know. But I still think that if she is a wolf, it's a very risky game she's playing here. I'd rather not lynch her toDay though; I'm just too uncertain about her right now and more confident about my other suspects. I'll be back to read more posts later in the morning, though I can't guarantee I'll have time to post before class. But I will promise you I will return to vote before deadline.
__________________
Nolite te bastardes carborundorum |
12-04-2007, 05:28 AM | #342 | |||
Woman of Secret Shadow
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: in hollow halls beneath the fells
Posts: 4,511
|
Quote:
** Quote:
Quote:
I think I'm going to take a look at Legate now - at least to see how he mentioned and was mentioned by people. A complete analysis of his posts would take more time than I have at the moment.
__________________
He bit me, and I was not gentle. |
|||
12-04-2007, 05:37 AM | #343 | |
Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: In a far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 8,093
|
That was supposed to be sardonic and mean comment, you know...
Quote:
I just had boooooring physics lesson and the time we weren't watching the Pink Panther (which was sadly about 90% of the lesson), I was thinking about ww, mostly Legate and his death. Now - without going through his posts - I think he might have been believed to be the seer. All in all, I have a bad feeling I keep aiding the wolves unintentionally. I mean, I was the first one to highlight Valier's seerishly comment that was probably the cause of her death and now I have an uncanny feeling Legate's death might have something to do with my observations as well. (Maybe I should stop talking at all...) I mean, I did raise the issue of he trusting me through the whole game. So maybe he might have been thought to be the seer who had dreamt of me on Night1...? I think that if someone looked through his posts, there might be found other people the wolves might have believed him to have dreamed of. Now, I'm well aware this argument sounds pretty futile without Legate's words about anyone else than me myself (sounds suspiciously convenient, I know) to back up my argument. But I thought I'd mention that as a possibility. If I have time, I'd be very interested to have a look if this hypothesis of mine holds water at all, but for a while, I think I'm going to concentrate on presenting my case on why I think Greenie, Sally, morm and Fea were the original wolf square (for they surely can't be called a triangle, right? ) ... EDIT: xed with Aganzeer
__________________
Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
|
|
12-04-2007, 06:32 AM | #344 |
The Sweetest Spoiler
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: from beneath you it giggles incessantly
Posts: 5,789
|
Physics? Oh that must have been why I took a nap. I felt your pain.
I need to post basically just to get a bit of wits about me so I can continue writing. Apparently either people aren't understanding my posts or not liking them or something, I don't know. They make sense to me, but then again that's because i wrote them. I'll go with plain English then. I'm not going to relook up all my evidence because some of it's been talked about repeatedly and some of it in light of recent posts doesn't matter. My suspicion list: basically the same but I added Brinn. Here's why. I still think Morm to be a wolf. I know, I'm stubborn, but it's a gut thing. He strikes me as fuzzy. Thus in my sleepy logic the ones trying to help him are either in cahoots with him or just believe him. Either way she's added just based on that. Definitely not enough to vote her or anything, just something to consider if/when Morm is revealed as a wolf. Again, I have my one hunch and can't let go of it, which isn't wrong in itself because surprisingly I'm normally right, but the problem is that Brinn isn't necessarily guilty or innocent based on that one action;' I'm just reminding myself to check into her again later. And yeah I know I'm playing kind of on the edge this game. It's finals week next week and all so I have enough stuff on my plate. Makes it hard to put 2+2 and get 4 and then write it in a sensical fashion. So I figured I'd give the "let all heck break loose and see who says something interesting" approach. It's quite interesting actually, because I do this almost every game I play in and have never gotten reactions quite like this before. I'll have to change it up and adapt a little to better suit this particular board, but for now I'll have to use my sarcasm theory to find the hairy little beasts until my actual brain comes back
__________________
"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
Last edited by satansaloser2005; 12-04-2007 at 06:46 AM. |
12-04-2007, 06:58 AM | #345 |
Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: In a far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 8,093
|
The post I'm writing will be megalomaniac... couldn't finish it now so I have to finish it later which doesn't mean soon...
__________________
Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
|
12-04-2007, 07:04 AM | #346 | |
The Sweetest Spoiler
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: from beneath you it giggles incessantly
Posts: 5,789
|
Quote:
Oh yes and for those of you from the last game, I had had that strange dream regarding the game? Well I had one whilst I napped this "morning". It was quite amusing when I woke up and realized that I wasn't really on my computer, then had to check the game to make sure that I had indeed been dreaming. Quite fun indeed. Alrighty, back to paper land, and then leaving for work in half an hour. I'll be able to post a couple hours before deadline so if you have questions for me or if I need to respond to something be patient, and I'll be back online as soon as I can.
__________________
"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
Last edited by satansaloser2005; 12-04-2007 at 07:21 AM. |
|
12-04-2007, 07:22 AM | #347 |
Maundering Mage
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Texas
Posts: 4,646
|
DUH! It just hit me why Green attached herself to me. *hits himself for being so dim-witted* She knew she was a wolf and knew I am innocent, but it looked highly probable when she kept asking why I seem guilty that I would be lynched. What a better way to look good, though it does backfire occasionally, than to question why the main lynch suspect is well...the main lynch suspect when you know him to be innocent.
Shasta I don't think you guilty at the time just a bit lazy in your analysis. You are allowing the wolves to influence you friend and for that I feel sorry for you.
__________________
“I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo. "So do I," said Gandalf, "and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us.” |
12-04-2007, 07:30 AM | #348 |
Maundering Mage
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Texas
Posts: 4,646
|
Brinn, this is another common tactic for wolves. They lay the pressure and make a phony case against somebody and about midday they pull out of it changing their mind so when I am lynched and proved to be innocent they can put on a false show of sadness and say something like "while I felt him guilty the more I looked and thought about it the less I felt like he was. I feel so bad". It's a good attempt at helping them look innocent. They start the bandwagon and let misguided innocents (shasta and others) do the work for them.
__________________
“I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo. "So do I," said Gandalf, "and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us.” |
12-04-2007, 07:36 AM | #349 |
Woman of Secret Shadow
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: in hollow halls beneath the fells
Posts: 4,511
|
Day 1
Legate found (more or less) suspicious: mormegil The Might Nerwen Kuru Legate found (more or less) innocent: Menel Brinniel Lommy Was considered suspicious by: Volo Rikae Was considered innocent by: Aganzir Lommy Mac Day 2 Legate found (more or less) suspicious: sally Greenie Aganzir Kath Kuru Menel morm The Might Legate found (more or less) innocent: Farael Lommy Volo Fea (the only one on his Yellow zone I include, as she's the only one he clearly considered innocentish) Was considered suspicious by: morm (based on the thought Legate didn't vote) Mac The Might Was considered innocent by: Lommy Volo Brinniel Aganzir ** If Legate was killed because of being considered the seer, it would point at Lommy's innocence. But on the other hand, a Lommy-wolf could well pick someone who thought she was innocent and say the next day "I guess the wolves thought he was the seer who had dreamt of me." I'm not willing to lynch Lommy only because of such a two-sided thing, but it doesn't make me feel much better about her. Even after spending quite a lot of time with this, I have no idea who the ones responsible for Legate's death are. I have my suspicions about werewolves, but not about Legate's killers and their motives. I'm too tired (at the moment) and too bad at guessing why somebody died (always). However, after all the things posted while my absence, I feel slightly better about Menel, and that's enough not to vote him toDay. Brinniel's worrying me more. I wouldn't like risking a double lynch. After either sally or morm is dead (and that seems to happen toDay anyway), it's easier to analyse their intentions. Sally doesn't look as wolfish as she did previously. That doesn't make me suspect her less though. She's clearly realised she'll be lynched if she goes on behaving like she did, and that's a good reason to change tactics.
__________________
He bit me, and I was not gentle. |
12-04-2007, 08:12 AM | #350 |
La Belle Dame sans Merci
|
I have to vote really early again. Sorry; last week of classes and I'm swamped, plus I didn't sleep last night.
++Sally I feel like the regression back into 'normalcy' was more like a flinch. I still don't know what to think of her earlier "Am I a wolf? Am I not a wolf? Lalala." It's gutsy/stupid for a wolf and irresponsible/stupid for an innocent. Either way, not the sort of likely action I'm comfortable keeping around. I wish I had time to stick around and analyze/watch/etcetera. But I'm not really sure of my suspicions right now. I'm comfortable lynching Sal and hoping she's lupine. Even if she's not, I'd say the village is probably better off without the chaos (I know, this coming from me!).
__________________
peace
|
12-04-2007, 09:07 AM | #351 | |
Silver in My Silent Heart
|
I can't see any effort in that post what so ever. At that point the only use of such Wolf is to cause confusion. It may have been a wolf-on-wolf but just as equally it might have been a wolf-on-innocent (Except that I know that it was wolf-on-innocent.).
I'm not saying that they look Innocent because they voted for Lily. Sure thing Wolves vote Wolves, but I just suspected the other players more. I nearly totally, because they are pretty impossible to organise in advance, because it needs the whole village's co-operation. Though if I there is a chance of lynching both morm and Sally, I'd take it. Quote:
Farael looks much more Innocent to me now that I've gone through his posts. He has talked general sense as well as accusing in a way that doesn't look Wolf-like in the least - I'm referring to his suspicion about Lommy. It generates genuinly and seems to fall back genuinly. About Menel I can't form a clear idea. He at the same time stays with the flow and tosses in wild conspiracy theories. I don't like either of these a lot. He does manage to make his words look more Innocent than Wolf. Innocent: Lommy Farael Aganzir Innocentish: Might Fea Kuru Unsure: Menel Mac Brinn Kath Shasta Wolf: Sally morm |
|
12-04-2007, 09:41 AM | #352 |
Maundering Mage
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Texas
Posts: 4,646
|
This is great! As I think Volo is a wolf this helps clarify that Menel is too. It's the approach I've spoken about where Volo gets done giving his list of suspects and finds fault in many...mostly innocents...but has to include at least one wolf in his talk but he finds him suspicious but probably innocent...classic werewolf tactic and it's a mess up in my mind.
__________________
“I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo. "So do I," said Gandalf, "and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us.” |
12-04-2007, 10:25 AM | #353 |
Fading Fëanorion
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: into the flood again
Posts: 2,911
|
I'm back, but I have to vote in a little more than an hour. I'll try to make the best of it.
|
12-04-2007, 10:26 AM | #354 |
Everlasting Whiteness
|
I'll warn you now that I'm going to have to vote early again. Why is it that the second a game of werewolf starts I suddenly have a hundred more things to do?
My suspicion of Menel is rising by the second. His sudden switch from morm when popular opinion started to change a bit and no explanation. He says it's forthcoming because he hasn't analysed his posts yet, but there must be a reason for this change in opinion. The other sudden change has come from Sally, and that's also pretty alarming. I can't decide whether it's wolvish or not though. If we had a Cobbler I would say that was what she was. I might keep judgement back on her for now, especially since Menel looks a chunk more suspicious right now. And I want to say again, no double lynching! Lommy I'm looking right at you here. We have the numbers at the moment. The wolves can only kill one a Night. If we start killing two a Day we're far more likely to help them than help us. |
12-04-2007, 10:28 AM | #355 | |||
Regal Dwarven Shade
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: A Remote Dwarven Hold
Posts: 3,589
|
Morm your initially stated reason for voting against Volo was…
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
And you’ve been talking an awful lot about what wolves “would” do and wolf tactics. Here’s another wolf tactic: To talk about targets rather vaguely to look helpful but do nothing to get yourself put in the forefront of the action. And you seem to be doing a good job of staying out of the forefront of the action. Why do you think Volo is guilty? For the moment I’m willing to give Volo the benefit of the doubt because a known wolf voted against him. Doesn’t mean he’s innocent, but I think he’s not as high on the threat list as you seem (for reasons you can’t seem to clearly articulate) to insist that he is. But I'm open to persuasion. And I think Sally is still odd.
__________________
...finding a path that cannot be found, walking a road that cannot be seen, climbing a ladder that was never placed, or reading a paragraph that has no... |
|||
12-04-2007, 10:49 AM | #356 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: The bottom of the ocean, discussing philosophy with a giant squid
Posts: 2,254
|
Okay, my analysis of momegil:
Post 22: Tosses out random accusations against Volo, Might, Mac, Kath, and Fea. Especially suspicious of Volo. Post 60: Criticizes Lommy for wanting to keep helpful, interesting people alive. Calls for the lynching of Fea on Day 1 because "she generally only causes problems the later it goes." Post 74: Criticizes Kuruharan for not realizing Nerwen was joking. Post 95: Votes for Valier, saying she's too interested in keeping herself aliv to be innocent. Uneasy about Lommy for contradicting herself. Defends his comment about lynching Fea, saying it's "on principle." Says Rikae and Mac are innocent. Post 119: Agrees with Volo about Valier looking "desperate." Post 125: Criticizes me after I voted for him. His first point about me misunderstanding his Valier vote is reasonable, but the other points seem suspicious. Mainly, his criticism of my sarcastic joke looks like he's trying to read too much into me, and the last part about "What if I'm innocent?" suggests he wants me to make a comment similar to those that got my ancestors lynched. Post 128: Criticizes Lommy for comments regarding her vote. Post 133: Continues to attack Lommy for the same reason as before. Agrees with Kuruharan about looking at her carefully. Day 1 impression: I don't like this. He starts the Day with an ill-founded suspicion of Volo that intensifies as the day goes on. He votes for an innocent because her posts seem to be directed at keeping her alive (what's wrong with wanting to stay alive?), actually agrees with Volo the guy who appeared to be Mr. Suspicious, about her, and then goes after me with two of his three statements very suspicious-looking. Not good at all. His position on Lommy is understandable, but considering that he builds up suspicion about her before the comment that really got him going, he could have been looking for an excuse. Post 145: States that Lommy is a wolf and that she killed Valier to frame him. Also mentions that he could have pulled off a bluff like that. Mentions that the voting will come down to either him or Lommy. Suggests that the wolves probably didn't talk much about Valier on Day 1. Post 175: Continues to lay suspicion on Lommy, claiming that she "came on to the scene seemingly screaming that Morm must be guilty!" Looking at what Lommy actually said, this seems like exaggeration to me. Thinks Farael looks good for not suspecting him. Backs off a little on Lommy after Farael criticizes him. Lists people who didn't vote for Nerwen, then says that out of these, Sally, Fea, and I are most likely to be wolves. Suspects Legate for not voting. Post 215: Still suspects Fea, but not as much as before. Repeats his claim that Lommy is trying to frame him. "Goes with his gut," and votes for Volo. Day 2 impression: I still don't like it. He really seems worried that few people beileve him about Lommy, and he continues to suspect Fea and Volo for little reason. I'm thinking that he may have been bluffing in an attempt to get rid of Lommy, but is now worried because it's not working the way he planned. As for Volo and Fea, he's been claiming suspicion of Volo and a desire to lynch Fea since Day 1, and giving only instinct (Volo) and "principle" (Fea) as reasons. Looking worse and worse now. Post 308: Says that Brinn makes sense to him and agrees with her on Volo and me. Still maintains suspicion of Lommy. Suspects Kuru for going after him based on Green's defense of him. Post 309: Accuses me of being lazy, denies ever agreeing with Green. Asks me to tell him when he agreed withGreen despite the fact that I've already mentioned specific points. Post 311: Doesn't want a double lynch, but uses the opportunity to reiterate his suspicion of me and Volo. Post 314: After I answer his request for quotes, he calls my reasoning "specious," but does acknowledge that he and Green had "similar suspects for similar reasons." However, earlier he claimed that he and [B]Green never agreed on anything! Post 316: Says that Green mentioned suspicion of Lommy and Volo but never brought any hard evidence against them. Suspects a wolf-on-wolf, and accuses Volo again. Fails to mention that he's been doing the same thing to Volo, as the only "evidence" he's given against Volo has been gut reactions and bad feelings. Post 318: Observes that Legate was supicious of him, then uses this to claim the wolves are setting him up. Accuses Kuru and me of being wolves and working out a plan to bring him down. Post 321: Accuses me of flip-flopping. True, my suspicions were not as sure as they had been, which is why I decided to go back and read all his posts. Post 347: Says Green agreed with him in order to help get him lynched. Post 348: Agrees with Brinn that my flip-flopping makes me look wolfish. Post 352: Says that Volo's statement that I'm probably innocent makes us both look like wolves. Okay, I think this helps clarifies things. Mormegil is a wolf. He suspected both Fea and Volo without any evidence against either, probably tried to make Lommy look like a wolf without success, and then went to accusing me because I attacked him, while bringing his unfounded ("gut feelings" are not hard evidence) accusations of Volo with him (oddly enough, he sees Green making accusations against Volo with no evidence, yet he sees none of that in himself. The only evidence he gives against Volo comes extremely late, and only shows that Volo doesn't think I'm a wolf. He also tried to hide behind Brinniel, probably a misguided innocent, and come up with conspiracy theories about how the wolves have been trying to frame him the whole time. Plus, his denial that he ever agreed with Green despite my mention of specific points on which they agreed is telling. I think I've made things pretty clear. ++mormegil EDIT: cross-posted with a few people, notably Kuruharan
__________________
I ♣ baby seals. |
12-04-2007, 10:58 AM | #357 |
Reflection of Darkness
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Polishing the stars. Well, somebody has to do it; they're looking a little bit dull.
Posts: 2,983
|
I still don't see why so many people are confident both morm and Sally are wolves. Surely there is a manipulative wolf among that group somewhere.
Anyways, I'm totally against a double lynching. Perhaps one of them is a wolf, but I don't think I've ever heard of two wolves being the lynchees of a double lynching. And if both of them are then I'll have to join Farael in a clothes eating party and eat my socks (because they're so much tastier than hats ). When it comes down to it, I'll do what I can to prevent a double lynching from happening. If there is a double lynching and at least one of them is innocent (and especially if both), I would take a close look at those who were for a double lynching come toMorrow. It looks like we're going that route so far... we need to keep a close tab of the vote tallies toDay to prevent confusion: Farael: ++Sally (Sally 1) Shasta: ++morm (Sally 1, morm 1) Fea: ++Sally (Sally 2, morm 1) Menel: ++morm (Sally 2, morm 2) (A tie already, ugh)
__________________
Nolite te bastardes carborundorum |
12-04-2007, 11:07 AM | #358 |
Everlasting Whiteness
|
Right, voting time. I'm not convinced of morm's wolvishness. It felt forced yesterDay and now it seems that everyone is running with it just for the sake of it. I'm not too sure about Sally either, though I can certainly see the arguments for her, so:
++MENEL As he is my current top suspect for his flip flopping ways. While I am used to this from Lommy I am not used to them from him. I know I'm adding another lynchee here and leaving it at a tie, but I think I'm voting early enough that future votes will be able to avoid causing a double lynch.
__________________
“If more of us valued food and cheer and song above hoarded gold, it would be a merrier world.” |
12-04-2007, 11:16 AM | #359 |
Fading Fëanorion
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: into the flood again
Posts: 2,911
|
I only had a quick read-through. Basing on that:
Innocent(-ish) Lommy (because I find her interaction with Lily innocent and because I trust an innocent Legate) Kuru (because he simply didn't do anything that would make me suspicious) Brinniel (I'm not sure about her, but I can't find anything against her) Menel (he isn't always right, but he feels genuine to me, so no alarms) mormegil (honestly, I don't really see what you find suspicious about him, apart from being paranoid to be framed by the wolves, which I think is silly. But then, I'm almost willing to lynch him out of curiousity : his role will shed light on the roles of many others) Somewhere in the middle Sally (I can neither imagine a wolf nor an innocent to act like this, but my gut says innocent today. She deserves to be lynched for unhelpfulness , but that doesn't help us either) Fea (I felt her to be innocent so far, but that feeling is waning. Can't put my finger on it, though) Farael (is after Sally too much. Could be scapegoating, could be just him´. If she is evil, he's probably innocent) Aganzir (I'm not satisfied with the read I can get of her, which is little to none) Kath (same comment as above) Shasta (Shasta?) Suspicious(-ish) Volo (felt fishy since day one. His interaction with Lily is suspicious) The Might (suspicious interaction with Lily. First copied Rikae, now copied Fea. Overall fishiness) The two also act too friendly towards each other. PS: I've seen an all-ordo quadruple lynching once, so: --double lynchings |
12-04-2007, 11:17 AM | #360 |
Regal Dwarven Shade
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: A Remote Dwarven Hold
Posts: 3,589
|
Here are the people who have spoken favorably of a double lynch or at some point said they were willing to risk it...
The Might post 298 Menel post 301 Lommy post 339 Everyone else has at least expressed reservations or outright opposition to the idea... And yet somehow we keep drifting down that road...and now have a third candidate.
__________________
...finding a path that cannot be found, walking a road that cannot be seen, climbing a ladder that was never placed, or reading a paragraph that has no... |
|
|