WW XXXX - The scouring of the Shire, vol.2

[Thinlómien]

The only people Valier mentioned were The Might and morm.

As to The Might, she only disagreed with his tactic about lynching the quiet, so that is hardly going to lead us anywhere.

Morm then... this is more complicated... Valier said she's getting a "weird vibe" from him, which sounds like a seerish comment.

Originally Posted by Val

This time he is very quiet and unopinionated which is odd for him. Since he has not posted a reason why, I tend to believe that he has some hair up his sleeve.

On the other hand, here she reasons her opinion like any villager with no extra insight. Although, I think - and the wolves could have thought that way too - that a seer would have said this as well as an ordo, since unrevealed seers need to reason their votes as much as other people.

Originally Posted by Val

Right now I am leaning towards Morm....not that I have a good reason...just well a feeling. Sometimes my feelings lead me astray, but I find when in doubt it is best to listen to them.

Here she both talks about feelings in a manner that could be interpreted as seerish and underlines she has no good reason to suspect morm, which could be seen as a way of trying to make her seem not like a seer who had dreamed of him. On the other hand, it looks like she was plainly talking about gut-feelings (which probably was true as she was an ordo...).

Basically, you can read those quotes in either way. If the wolves assumed Valier to be the seer (like I think they did) one can read her posts the way that she had probably dreamed of morm or the way that even if she had been the seer it would have been just a normal suspicion.

If I try to imagine her as the seer, it sounds more like she had dreamt of morm than that she hadn't, but on the other hand, why would she as the seer suspected morm-wolf that loudly? So her being killed as the seer doesn't necessarily point at morm being a wolf. I mean, the wolves might have killed her even if morm was an innocent. Certainly the wolves knew, though, that Valier's death would point at morm.

I think I'm slightly confused with my own logic and not sure that I make sense at all, but I think that the combination of that "I am sure my feelings eventually will lead us to at least one of our furry friends" -comment and morm's guilt would be a very good reason for the wolves to try to get rid of Valier and thus I suspect morm.

I mean, that comment of Valier's wasn't a foolproof seer hint. It didn't occur to me that she might be the seer and it seems it didn't occur to our ranger either. But it did occur to the wolves. Why? Because they're sharper and more avid to catch seer hint than I and the ranger? Maybe. Because one of them was supected by Valier so that it really looked like she was the seer? I think that would be a better and more waterproof explanation.

I'm far from confident of morm's guilt, but he has taken the place of my top suspect, thanks to Valier's death.

EDIT: xed with everybody