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Old 05-10-2020, 05:47 PM   #11
Eönwë
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Join Date: Dec 2007
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Eönwë is a guest of Elrond in Rivendell.Eönwë is a guest of Elrond in Rivendell.Eönwë is a guest of Elrond in Rivendell.
So if my count is correct, we have 14 left in the village - 4 Infectors, 8 innocents, 1 Lalaith, and 1 seer. A ratio of 10 Good: 4 Bad.

I think that means we have 3 Days (I see Boro said 4 earlier). The worst case scenario:
  • ToDay: We quarantine a Good. 9 good: 4 bad.
  • ToNight: Infectors infect a Good. 8 good: 4 bad.
  • ToMorrow: We quarantine a Good. 7 good: 4 bad.
  • ToMorrow Night: Infectors infect a Good. 6 good: 4 bad.
  • OverMorrow (does anyone ever use that term in this game? this seems like a useful way to reference it): We quarantine a Good. 5 good: 4 bad.
  • OverMorrow Night: Infectors infect a Good. 4 good: 4 bad. Infectors win.

So we actually have toDay, toMorrow, and the Day after toMorrow to catch the Infectors.


It's unlikely that it'll go that badly for us, especially since we still have the Seer, but it is important because it means that we're definitely in the mid-game now, which (at least, based on my previous games) means that we're more likely to see more complex plays from the wolves - maybe more wolf-on-wolf (since now when one dies they'll have had a lot of Days to implicate others), maybe more bluffs, more aggression, etc. So just something to watch out for.


edit: x-ed since my last post.
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