Tol-in-Gaurhoth CXV: On the Borders of Mirkwood - Dead Thread

[Huinesoron]

Nilp at #230 seems to be either arguing that you're not the Seer, or that the Wolves couldn't have thought you were the Seer, or that the Wolves were stupid for thinking you were. I'm really not sure where he's aiming with this.

hS

[Huinesoron]

Greenie and Pitch have the same reasoning as me re Nog and Kath. As usual, being agreed with makes me very suspicious.

And Form wandered off down a weird blind alley where you could be the Cobbler and ???somehow??? this speculation is useful. He weirdly doesn't mention the Dead Thread, which is the only place the idea could be of any use.

Also, my memory of the rules discussion is that we touched on no roles being revealed, but never on just the Cobbler not being revealed, which makes this a really odd idea to get.

hS

[Huinesoron]

I would be happy to Mediumize either Rikae or Brinniel today. If you've got a different suggestion, I'm willing to be convinced.

hS

[Huinesoron]

Originally Posted by Nog

I mean, should one go like: "hmmm, who might the wolves have thought is the seer? X seemed to make some seerish comments, but no, I think s/he might be a wolf, so that's not a possible scenario"?????

Um... yes? I feel like 'Why wouldn't the wolves have killed X? Well, maybe X is a wolf!' is pretty logical thinking?

Originally Posted by Lommy

Looking at the tally, the only thing that really stands out to me is that if Form is a wolf, we should look at Nogrod and Kath.

o.O Kath, Nog, if you're not wolves, you should probably look into why so much of the village thinks you are. Counting Team Dead, that's at least five people citing both of you.

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It occurs to me that I should probably be hunting innocents rather than wolves at this point, for Mediumming purposes. Lommy is still looking good here, though I don't have anything specific to point to.

hS

[Loslote]

Originally Posted by Huinesoron

I would be happy to Mediumize either Rikae or Brinniel today. If you've got a different suggestion, I'm willing to be convinced.

hS

Totally with you.

[Loslote]

I like what Greenie's been saying, too. Still catching up with the living, though. In a perfect world, I'd like to Mediumize someone who's going to vote for Kath, Nog, or Form if at all possible, ideally one of Brinn, Rikae, or Greenie.

[Loslote]

I see what you mean about Lommy, too. I'd be okay Mediumizing her as well.

[Loslote]

I would be leaning towards Rikae, Greenie, and Lommy, in that order, but imagine if we Mediumized Brinn first chance we could after last game....

[Huinesoron]

Originally Posted by Loslote

I see what you mean about Lommy, too. I'd be okay Mediumizing her as well.

And having just reread, I'd be generally okay Mediumizing Greenie. I felt like she might have just been rephrasing other people's comments, but on looking back, I think she got in first on the Legate-as-Seer-target idea.

I feel like Nog has attracted more suspicion today than Kath or Form; maybe it would be worth Mediumizing a Kath/Form voter if it looks like the vote might be split between one of them and Nog? That way the wolves might need to show their hand, if there's two of them on the block.

Double-checking the rules, we can wait until the last minute to vote. I'd really rather not - I need sleep - but if things look dicey we can hold off.

Originally Posted by Lottie

I would be leaning towards Rikae, Greenie, and Lommy, in that order, but imagine if we Mediumized Brinn first chance we could after last game...

... Ohhhh, it's so tempting. (Don't say it too loud, though; I'm told that summons Cobbler55 to the thread...)

I'm not going to argue with that order. From Rikae's latest post, they look set to vote Nog at the moment. Greenie looks to be somewhere between Nog and Legate, and Lommy... could do anything.

hS