|
 |
|
Visit The *EVEN NEWER* Barrow-Downs Photo Page |
|
|
06-01-2015, 08:13 PM
|
#1 |
|
Scion of The Faithful
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: The brink, where hope and despair are akin. [The Philippines]
Posts: 5,312
 |
++Nilpaurion Felagund
I'm literally sneaking away from my students to post this, so a more substantive post shall come later (and it shall be substantive, I promise.) For now, enjoy!
__________________
フェンリス鴨 (Fenrisu Kamo) The plot, cut, defeated. I intend to copy this sig forever - so far so good...
|
|
|
|
06-01-2015, 08:30 PM
|
#2 |
|
Illusionary Holbytla
Join Date: Dec 2003
Posts: 7,547
|
Ah, old friends! Or rather, those I thought were friends. Apparently I really don't know some of you half as well as I ought to, if you're going to go around murdering people in our freshly restored barrow!
Guess we've got about a 25% chance of nailing a baddie today, so good luck to us... |
|
|
|
|
06-01-2015, 08:32 PM
|
#3 | |
|
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: Skyrim, again.
Posts: 820
|
Quote:
__________________
Werewolves vs. Fishmen. The battle of the century. |
|
|
|
|
|
06-01-2015, 08:48 PM
|
#4 |
|
Wisest of the Noldor
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: ˙˙˙ssɐןƃ ƃuıʞooן ǝɥʇ ɥƃnoɹɥʇ
Posts: 6,694
|
Ah, three posters already!
So which one of you is the wolf?
__________________
"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
|
|
|
|
06-01-2015, 08:52 PM
|
#5 |
|
Illusionary Holbytla
Join Date: Dec 2003
Posts: 7,547
|
Well, like I said, 1 in 4 of us is a wolf, and you make four posters, Nerwen. So you must be right, one of us must be one.
 Nilp clearly thinks it's himself.
|
|
|
|
|
06-01-2015, 09:18 PM
|
#6 |
|
Mellifluous Maia
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: A glade open to the stars, deep in Nan Elmoth
Posts: 3,489
|
Kuru claims someone tried to murder him, yes, but do we have any proof? How do we know this isn't just a plot to get us killing each other off for his sick entertainment?
I think we should find Kuru and have a stern talk about the inappropriateness of kidnapping one's party guests. That's what I think. |
|
|
|
|
06-01-2015, 09:25 PM
|
#7 |
|
Beloved Shadow
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: The Stadium
Posts: 5,971
 |
I'm feeling a bit giddy just posting on the Downs again.
 Would I completely be ruining the mood if I immediately launch into strategy and population/role analysis? 
__________________
the phantom has posted.
This thread is now important. Last edited by the phantom; 06-01-2015 at 09:34 PM. Reason: "be" |
|
|
|
|
06-01-2015, 09:48 PM
|
#8 | |
|
Scion of The Faithful
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: The brink, where hope and despair are akin. [The Philippines]
Posts: 5,312
|
Quote:
Well, after voting for myself, of course.
__________________
フェンリス鴨 (Fenrisu Kamo) The plot, cut, defeated. I intend to copy this sig forever - so far so good...
|
|
|
|
|
|
06-01-2015, 09:50 PM
|
#9 |
|
The Werewolf's Companion
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: The Moon
Posts: 3,021
|
My question is, what sort of creature could cause our host and his pet dragon to hide in fear?
__________________
I have loved the stars too fondly to be fearful of the night. Double Fenris
|
|
|
|
|
06-01-2015, 10:31 PM
|
#10 | |
|
Beloved Shadow
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: The Stadium
Posts: 5,971
|
Quote:
Okay, so the tally is 18-3-3. Let's paint a couple of scenarios... We lynch an innocent the first two days (not unlikely). At night the Wolves do not kill each other (not unlikely). So we would open day three at 12-3-3, meaning that we could successfully lynch a Werewolf FIVE times in a row and still be down to a final day scenario. (these numbers represent the tally at the end of the stated period) D3 12-3-2 N4 10-3-2 D4 10-3-1 N5 8-3-1 D5 8-2-1 N6 6-2-1 D6 6-1-1 N7 4-1-1 D7 4-1-0 N8 3-1-0 Thus on Day 8 there would be one Wolf among 4 villagers, and getting it wrong would equal a Baddie victory. My point is, in such a case we are absolutely depending on one or more of the following things- 1) Ranger successfully protects someone (but NOT one WW from the opposing WW team, as has happened before )2) Hunter kills a WW 3) WW team A kills WW team B I think #3 is the most intriguing aspect of this contest. The Baddies definitely don't want to lose the double kill each night (see my chart above for how quickly it diminishes our population), BUT they can't allow the opposing pack to equal or outweigh them, so really I think the WWs will be just as interested in lynching accurately as the rest of us. Lynching the opposition is the way to go, because it buys goodwill and they don't have to waste night kills on offing the other pack- hunting for Gifteds instead. (let's break this up, it's getting long)
__________________
the phantom has posted.
This thread is now important. |
|
|
|
|
 |
|
|
|
|
Hybrid Mode
