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Old 12-09-2011, 07:58 PM   #1
satansaloser2005
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"Let me tell you what's been going on- No, there's too much, it would take too long. Let me distill it for you."

We have nine villagers remaining. Those villagers are:

Shasta
Bom
Nog
Sally
Galadriel
Greenie
Kitanna
Loslote
Nerwen

Among those villagers are the following:

Three werewolves
One seer
One ranger
One hunter
Two ordos

I think our best option four toDay is, well, the obvious.

Massive reveals, everyone? If so, I'd be happy to start (or rather, finish).
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Last edited by satansaloser2005; 12-09-2011 at 08:00 PM. Reason: Villager listing
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Old 12-09-2011, 08:09 PM   #2
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I don't know, Sally– I'd say we could end up with a nasty mess of competing reveals. There's still four baddies around.
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Old 12-09-2011, 08:16 PM   #3
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Kill me, and I can almost assure you there will only be three.
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Old 12-09-2011, 08:30 PM   #4
Bom Tombadillo
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Aaand that would be you following along with your plan, then?

While the reveals could indeed get messy, I'm inclined to support the plan. Maybe I'm biased, since I've only been in one game with any gifted reveals at all and it turned out well, but . . .
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Old 12-09-2011, 08:31 PM   #5
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Originally Posted by Bom Tombadillo View Post
Aaand that would be you following along with your plan, then?

While the reveals could indeed get messy, I'm inclined to support the plan. Maybe I'm biased, since I've only been in one game with any gifted reveals at all and it turned out well, but . . .
Well, go on then. Be ye ordo or not?
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Old 12-09-2011, 08:36 PM   #6
Bom Tombadillo
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Sheesh, rushing much? My internets spontaneously went out for a second just as I was about to edit my post. I'm an ordo.
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Old 12-09-2011, 08:54 PM   #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by satansaloser2005 View Post
Two ordos
How could I forget about the cobbler? But he still counts innocent in the tally, and we need all the innocents we can get, just to outnumber the wolves.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bom Tombadillo View Post
I'm an ordo.
Right, that goes back to what I said. We all are. The wolves are not going to say "we are the wolves".

Quote:
Originally Posted by sally
Kill me, and I can almost assure you there will only be three.
Nay, dear cupcake, let us not kill anyone for no reason. If you indeed are what you pose to be, we would lose an innocent as well. Why not just eliminate the wolf, and keep the innocent?





Seer and Ranger, I don't think it's a good idea for you to reveal right this moment, whoever you are. Especially Ranger - you're the village's last hope (Estel... how fitting...). Everyone makes blunders, but this Night please do try to make a save. (you would even if I didn't tell you to, so why am I telling you that?)

Edit: xed with Kit
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Old 12-09-2011, 09:06 PM   #8
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Pitch, Day One.

#36.
Is "not convinced of Zil's innocence". Defends G55 against Nogrod, who saw her comments about "Nights" as a possible wolf-slip; points out that he should have kept his thoughts about her giftedness to himself. Finds Zil more suspicious than Lottie. Not worried about Bom; wants to hear more from Kit; finds Shasta and Agan somewhat sneaky and says he will "see" about Shasta; "no read" on Greenie. "sees nothing" pointing to my being a wolf.

Comment: Not a terribly Seerish-looking post, given that the person he most suspects is Zil – but the repeated use of "see" might have been taken as meaning something.


#40.
Mildly defends Zil; dislikes G55's vote, but doesn't find it necessarily wolvish.


#46. Tells Bom his copycat suspicions are themselves suspicious, and wants him to explain why he suspects me. Replying to Zil, who says he "Wants to lynch [Bom] to be on the safe side", says "I have similar feelings about more than one player in this game."


#71.
Admonishes Nog again for his speculations on G55; defends Lottie, is considering voting Nog; also suspects Kit.


#80. Vote-post.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Pitch
Time for me to count my metaphoric sheep.

I'm actually quite inclined to vote Nog, but I haven't yet digested the recent discussion about him wholly, and I'd rather not do it in the heat of the moment. So I'll stick with my earlier suspicion:

++Zil

Forgetting about G55's vote sounds almost unbelievable enough to be true, but it still smells of retconning, and I'm not happy with his pounce on Nerwen in the first place. Let's find out.
General comments: reading through Pitch's posts, there's a general "vibe" there that I think could be taken as "gifted". If we go from the assumption that the wolves thought he was the Seer, it's a bit difficult to know who his supposed "dream" would have been– I'd say either me, G55, Lottie, Kit or Nog, the latter two as baddies. However, in the end he voted for Zil (innocent).

EDIT:X'd with a host.
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Old 12-09-2011, 09:25 PM   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by G55
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kit
Either you're very furry or you're doing exactly as a cobbler should by trying to create mass confusion.
Or you're missing something that at least I consider obvious.
Oh, it's obvious enough what she's claiming to be– I mean, it's gone beyond hinting– but there's a question of why she'd really want to do this now.
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Old 12-09-2011, 09:29 PM   #10
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Oh, it's obvious enough what she's claiming to be– I mean, it's gone beyond hinting– but there's a question of why she'd really want to do this now.
Mostly because I miscounted. I thought there were eight people, not nine, and I submitted my post only to realize that I'd forgotten to count myself. (ETA: Which is to say that I thought toDay was endgame, and that we might have to resort to drastic measures.)

If we have no direction toDay, however, it's an obvious solution, so I likely would have come out with it at some point anyway. Besides, the wolves will not attack me at Night (since they don't know who I've chosen as my target), which will leave us with a weapon for toMorrow. It's worked before. It will work again.

Also, I figured I'd save everyone the trouble of analyzing what little I've posted. Our efforts are best spent figuring out who I should be hunting and who we should be lynching.
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Old 12-09-2011, 09:51 PM   #11
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You know what, sally? I trust you. I am willing to take the risk of believing someone in WW.
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Old 12-09-2011, 09:35 PM   #12
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Quote:
Originally Posted by satansaloser2005 View Post
I should have broken the ordos out on my first post, but I neglected to do so, for which I apologize.

Remaining:
Three werewolves
One seer
One ranger
One hunter
One cobbler
One ordo
But there's 9 players, not 8. There's 2 ordos and 1 cobbler.

Quote:
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General comments: reading through Pitch's posts, there's a general "vibe" there that I think could be taken as "gifted". If we go from the assumption that the wolves thought he was the Seer, it's a bit difficult to know who his supposed "dream" would have been– I'd say either me, G55, Lottie, Kit or Nog, the latter two as baddies. However, in the end he voted for Zil (innocent).
I doubt he could have been thought of dreaming Nog - he chose Agan over him yesterDay, when was the perfect chance to lynch him. And if he dreamed Kit, why did he go for Zil? He only mentions her in one post. Same thing with Lottie (well, twice...). Then, I don't think that your reasoning for you and I on the list is entirely correct. Again, the wolves could have thought that he dreamed either me or you, but really - neither of us participated much, and Pitch wasn't the only one who talked a bit about my vote and your IC post. It's not impossible that the wolves thought him Seer based on that, but there are too many ifs.

And I don't feel the "gifted vibe" you talk about - more like an "innocent who's trying his darn best" vibe.

Moreover, even if you accept that the wolves thought Pitch dreamed of one of the 5 people you mention - it one of the five. It's his suspicion list, not his dream.

In other words, I disagree with you that he was thought to be the Seer. More likely he was killed so that the village would think they thought he's the Seer and would try to find clues in his posts that would lead in the wrong direction.

Edit: xed with Nerwen and Sally
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Old 12-09-2011, 09:38 PM   #13
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See? I did it again. Goodness. I think that's the cue for my bedtime.

We have nine people. Let's lynch a wolf or lynch me. Either one is fine with me.

Good night, children.
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Old 12-09-2011, 10:01 PM   #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Galadriel55 View Post
In other words, I disagree with you that he was thought to be the Seer.
Eh? I didn't actually say I thought that either. I was looking at it as a theory, and seeing if the facts fit, and what, if anything, could be deduced– which is not the same thing.

Quote:
Originally Posted by G55
More likely he was killed so that the village would think they thought he's the Seer and would try to find clues in his posts that would lead in the wrong direction.
True– but the Night-kill still has to be looked at. And then there's the question of why they would do that, instead of actually trying for gifteds. (Wolf in trouble, perhaps?)

But anyway, I still haven't looked at Pitch on Day Two.

EDIT:X'd with G55.
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Old 12-09-2011, 10:16 PM   #15
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Eh? I didn't actually say I thought that either.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nerwen (before)
General comments: reading through Pitch's posts, there's a general "vibe" there that I think could be taken as "gifted". If we go from the assumption that the wolves thought he was the Seer, it's a bit difficult to know who his supposed "dream" would have been...
(underlining mine)

I smell burned dough.



(Am I misunderstanding something here? Do you mean "think" as in "my guess if this theory is true"? In that case, you really ought to be clearer.)




Alright, bedtime for me (rather, way past it). I hope to see some progress in wolf-eliminating when I wake up tomorrow my time.
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Old 12-09-2011, 08:45 PM   #16
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Massive reveals, everyone? If so, I'd be happy to start (or rather, finish).
Judging by this and your
Quote:
Kill me, and I can almost assure you there will only be three.
Either you're very furry or you're doing exactly as a cobbler should by trying to create mass confusion. Because a round of revealings would do just that.
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Old 12-09-2011, 08:55 PM   #17
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“Lynches happen. Every day – don’t they, village?” And now Sally’s voice was stronger as she addressed the group, who one by one heard her words, their vote power still in hand.

The villagers were unsure who to listen to this day, and accusations would soon be flashing in their hands. “Kill the most suspicious,” they all said, advancing.

Sally gave a soft shake of her head. “No,” she corrected. “++Sally.”

It was an odd phrase, and for the moment it brought everyone up short. Besides, what was Sally’s plan this time? Where was the trap? “I don’t think I quite understand that," one of them said.

Sally held her vote still but she was smiling more deeply now. “I’ll be only too delighted to explain.” It was four against the five now. One day left. (There may not even be that. She did not know. He could she know it would work?)

Slowly, carefully, she began to talk....




(And I'm going to make you all wait until my morning for the rest.)
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