Mandos Thread: DEAD ONLY! - WW LXXXVI - The Barrow-Downs Discussion Forum

Nogrod · 02-04-2011, 07:56 PM

*Enter a reasonable villager who rallies the other to vote for Boro!*

Just a daydream I'm afraid.

Okay, looking back it could as well be Boro, Ang and Sally (thus the suggestion of getting rid of Greenie and defending Sally mildly).

Elron might be the real hunter then, just to inexperienced to be drawn in with the example of a senior? Exactly the thing the wolves wished to know.

Okay. Let's see.

Boro -> tp
Glirdy -> Boro
Greenie -> Sally

So those who have till votes are:

Ang (I say a wolf)
phantom (cobbler clearly in agreement with Ang)

These two can give two votes to anyone they see fit and will probably vote in concerto, esecially if needed.

That leaves us

Elron - a game changer? Sadly no I think.
Sally - could se something but hardly the one to go against the overall mood (and could be the third wolf anyway - thus voting with Ang & tp?).

Which leaves Nerwen to fight for us, unless she is the last wolf (Ang suggesting tp lynching her would talk for her innocense though).

So the chance of there being a real contest toDay with the voting - and thus us having a chance to play a role there is pretty thin. It would require both Nerwen being a goodie and having time and energy and eye to this and launching a major attack there - compelling enough for the other innocents to follow.

Wait, it might be there is only Elron as an innocent with a vote left besides Nerwen. If they both voted for Boro he would gather 3 votes.

Hey, that would mean that if Boro is a wolf (1 vote), Sally is a wolf (1 vote) and as tp is the cobbler (1 vote) now friends with Ang, they'd need to pick someone else!

And what Ang said would support that! He was looking for new suspects like Nerwen or Greenie as they'd hate to lose one of those already having votes?

Together Ang, Sally & tp could give 3 votes to someone thus tying it up with Boro/Sally, if Nerwen and Elron both voted for one of them. Great! Our extravote could make a difference there!

Well, now how likely is that?

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fea

The thing is, I've spent literally the entire game trusting Ang and Boro. And if I'm that intensely wrong, it'll be the first time I've misread either of them that problematically. I mean, I've never been wrong about either of them. So I'm inclined to keep trusting them.

Now you both Fea and Mith can't be cobblers... there's only one unknown cobbler left.

Aganzir · 02-04-2011, 08:01 PM

Nah. I think it's more likely Angu is telling the truth. My wolves are Nerwen and Greenie (who have kept a nice distance to each other, just look at their posts they're so conveniently 'hullo I'm a wolf and this is my fellow, I'm not really suspecting her but I want to take a look at her some day, whoops I'm so busy it will have to wait, well never mind!'), and probably Boro.

I think phantom is a cobbler who has pegged Boro as a wolf and is now trying to make the innocents believe he's the seer.

But if both he and Nog are cobblers, where's the real seer?

Aganzir · 02-04-2011, 08:02 PM

Whoops well now there's stuff going on.

Nogrod · 02-04-2011, 08:04 PM

IF ANG IS NOT A WOLF I WILL EAT A HAT IN A LIVESTREAM PERFORMACE IN THE INTERNET!

That is so bad!

And looking at how Elron goes we might forget her helping us as she is just stargazing there...

*headdesk*

That's it then.

The ranger is our only hope fr one more Day - unless she gets lynched toDay.

02-04-2011, 08:01 PM	#2
Aganzir Woman of Secret Shadow Join Date: Oct 2006 Location: in hollow halls beneath the fells Posts: 4,511	Nah. I think it's more likely Angu is telling the truth. My wolves are Nerwen and Greenie (who have kept a nice distance to each other, just look at their posts they're so conveniently 'hullo I'm a wolf and this is my fellow, I'm not really suspecting her but I want to take a look at her some day, whoops I'm so busy it will have to wait, well never mind!'), and probably Boro. I think phantom is a cobbler who has pegged Boro as a wolf and is now trying to make the innocents believe he's the seer. But if both he and Nog are cobblers, where's the real seer? __________________ He bit me, and I was not gentle.

02-04-2011, 08:02 PM	#3
Aganzir Woman of Secret Shadow Join Date: Oct 2006 Location: in hollow halls beneath the fells Posts: 4,511	Whoops well now there's stuff going on. __________________ He bit me, and I was not gentle.

02-04-2011, 08:04 PM	#4
Nogrod Flame of the Ainulindalë Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: Wearing rat's coat, crowskin, crossed staves in a field behaving as the wind behaves Posts: 9,308	IF ANG IS NOT A WOLF I WILL EAT A HAT IN A LIVESTREAM PERFORMACE IN THE INTERNET! That is so bad! And looking at how Elron goes we might forget her helping us as she is just stargazing there... headdesk That's it then. The ranger is our only hope fr one more Day - unless she gets lynched toDay. __________________ Upon the hearth the fire is red Beneath the roof there is a bed; But not yet weary are our feet...