T-I-G LXVII: The Rangers of the North - The Fell Winter

[Feanor of the Peredhil]

Gruesome.

[Boromir88]

That's freaky, I was telling Val, Mac was my #1 suspect because of his responses towards Rune. Well...there goes my Day 2 opening post.

[Valier]

Wow indeed
Guess you were way off Boro
I must say also that I was quite surprised at Rune being a wolf.
The wolves had the first might to make a plan and I'm sure it was a good one.

Rune hates being a wolf and always seems to get killed early if he is one I believe.
So I am sure he planned to try and take control by insisting he be the captain. Do you think the wolves planned to be all loud or do you think they are all going to play different roles in the village? Hmmmm I'm going to look at the people who were against Rune being captain because I am sure there is at least one wolf in there if not two.

[Feanor of the Peredhil]

I'm probably wrong because this is gut instinct instead of logical conclusion, but I'd really like to lynch Valier today. Something about her posts seems really synthetic.

[Valier]

synthetic how? I'm just as baffled as everyone else at Day 1 events.
I understand that Rune kinda put me into the spotlight early on, but I figured he was just being Rune, but now I think he may have been trying to frame me a bit...(bugger)

[Roa_Aoife]

Originally Posted by Valier

Hmmmm I'm going to look at the people who were against Rune being captain because I am sure there is at least one wolf in there if not two.

Do you really think they would risk it if they thought he could win captain?

[Valier]

I find when I was a wolf the best plan was to have a wolf in each category, ie: one that goes againt his fellow wolves, one that follows their leads, one thats loud, one thats quiet etc... you know, don't put all your eggs in one basket.

If the wolves already knew what Rune was planning, I am sure they would have planned to have one wolf at least be against him and accuse him of wolfishness to make themselves look good.

[Legate of Amon Lanc]

Originally Posted by Roa_Aoife

Ah, I see the narration answered my question to Legate as for who he picked. Why those two?

Quite simple, for several reasons, one of them was kind of "ruling out" method, which was probably one of the main points, and those two were ones which I would have considered at the same time a) innocent-ish enough to talk to, b) interesting enough to wish to talk to them more and see them interact also in private, and all of that. That's basically it.

Originally Posted by Valier

I find when I was a wolf the best plan was to have a wolf in each category, ie: one that goes againt his fellow wolves, one that follows their leads, one thats loud, one thats quiet etc... you know, don't put all your eggs in one basket.

If the wolves already knew what Rune was planning, I am sure they would have planned to have one wolf at least be against him and accuse him of wolfishness to make themselves look good.

This makes sense, but let's not forget that such approach would assume also one basket among the supporters. The rest could have been basically quite random.

[Feanor of the Peredhil]

Originally Posted by Valier

I find when I was a wolf the best plan was to have a wolf in each category, ie: one that goes againt his fellow wolves, one that follows their leads, one thats loud, one thats quiet etc... you know, don't put all your eggs in one basket.

On the contrary, I find that the best tactic for wolves is to behave exactly like they'd normally behave. A quiet player remains quiet, a brazen player remains brazen. If declaring that he wanted to be Captain because it would be fun and he likes attention seemed out of character for Rune, do you really think he'd have been voted in?

[Roa_Aoife]

Originally Posted by Feanor of the Peredhil

On the contrary, I find that the best tactic for wolves is to behave exactly like they'd normally behave. A quiet player remains quiet, a brazen player remains brazen. If declaring that he wanted to be Captain because it would be fun and he likes attention seemed out of character for Rune, do you really think he'd have been voted in?

Again, true, but they still want to try for the situation that gives them the best advantage.

[Roa_Aoife]

Hakon, if you were alive, I’d kiss you. I have to say, I laughed out loud when I saw the results of Day 1. On the one hand- yay, for the Master Hunter, you really saved us. On the other hand, we all managed to lynch a gifted and vote a wolf into the captaincy.
Anyways, now we have a lot to analyze. Based on yesterday, the people who defended Rune and the people who lynched Hakon are in my sights. “But Roa,” you say, “do you really think the wolves would try to defend each other? Isn’t that rather obvious?”
Why, yes, it is, and so is a wolf outright declaring that we should make him captain. And if they thought they had a shot at captaincy, they surely would try for it. Would they risk their potential captain by trying to lynch him? I really don’t think so. They may not have voted him for captain directly, but they probably played down his suspicious behavior. Then again, they may have gambled and voted for him. After all, there was no way they could know Hakon was the Master Hunter. So anyone who voted for Hakon, especially after Rune started gaining in the votes, is also suspicious.
At this point, Boromir is still high on my list. And people who voted for Hakon.
My analysis is starting with those three. Legate, if you could please tell us who you picked as BG, and why?
Also, I want to vote for a new captain today. With Nogrod’s clarification of the rules, I feel even more strongly that we should change captains regularly. Merely deciding a tie is not nearly as powerful as canceling the lynch or changing the lynchee to someone else with one less vote. Keeping that power out of everyone’s hands is better for the village than risking the wolves’ getting it. Imagine if Rune had had that power? Not that I don’t trust you, Legate (I don’t), but I call for a captain vote.

[Roa_Aoife]

Ah, I see the narration answered my question to Legate as for who he picked. Why those two?