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Old 09-22-2009, 01:51 PM   #1
Thinlómien
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Fea - seems okay this far, I can sympathise about the retrackies
Nienna - seems quite the same as last game when she was helpful and innocent
Inzil - not giving any kind of vibes
Sally - seems more like her innocent than guilty self, but I have a funny feeling about a thing or two she does so I'll keep an eye on her to see whether it's random or indicates guilt...
Hakon - innocent enough, I'm not sure a wolf would boast of making a good leader
Macalaure - quite quiet - maybe because he's afraid I'll catch him if he posts more? anyway, seems ok this far
Kath - her usual self ergo unreadable
Loslote - not enough material to form a proper picture of
Valier - seems quite innocent and I want her to make it until Day2 at least becauseI haven't played with her for ages and I like her!
Greenie - no idea
Nerwen - seems relatively trustworthy for herself
Roa - what I said about Valier + what I said about Kath + we should definitely not start by killing the one who's been creating the most discussion
Lommy - me (surprise )
Boro - actually, I'm slightly suspicious of him. Not because everybody else is, but because of the way he reacts to pressure. However, to be honest, I wouldn't want to vote him toDay, because I've been boasting of having a failsafe bororadar so it would be quite a wound to my ego if I voted him on vague suspicions on Day1 and he turned out innocent. (Yes, you can call me stupid now, but at least I'm honest! )
Legate - seems rather innocent, but I know better than to trust him. (Do I?)
Gwath - seems ok
Brinn - no idea
Rune - a bit weird, but I have the gut-feeling that he's innocent - unless he's the cobbler and making a mess deliberately, but it feels more like an innocent Rune making mess accidentally

That's like one vague suspect I don't want to vote and 16 no ideas or innocents out of 17. Wonderful.

I hope someone does something very suspicious in the next two hours or I get a brilliant idea.


edit: xed with everybody from Sally onwards
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Old 09-22-2009, 01:58 PM   #2
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++Roa for Captain

Because I just realised that I had mostly been considering Legate innocent for saying he thought Nienna is either innocent or wolf and that he could well have been thinking she kind of looks like a wolf and kind of doesn't even if he was a wolf.

Besides I've trusted Roa's judgement since she killed me-wolf as a hunter.

I'm letting Greenie have the internet now. I'll be back!

PS. Nogrod! What if the same person is elected to be both Captain and Night Guard? Will the Night Guard title just pass on to the person with the third most NG votes?


edit: xed with Valier
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Old 09-22-2009, 02:03 PM   #3
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++Valier for Night Guard

Because
1) then she won't die too early to ruining her first game in ages
2) then she can put her good hunches for even better use if she converses about them with some other villager during the Night
3) if she's a wolf I can see her making slips or revealing moves more in private than public discussions

And now that those two votes are out of my way, I can dedicate the rest of my evening to wolf-hunting (after I've handed this to Greenie, that is).
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Last edited by Thinlómien; 09-22-2009 at 02:04 PM. Reason: changed an erroneous preposition, xed with Loslote and Modly Ranger
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Old 09-22-2009, 02:06 PM   #4
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Okay, won't be on again before deadline, so

++ Nienna

for the reasons I gave above.
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Last edited by Loslote; 09-22-2009 at 02:07 PM. Reason: xed with Legate
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Old 09-22-2009, 02:22 PM   #5
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The nightguards basically work as village-elected ranger protections, so I think it would make most sense to vote for two people who are likely to be killed during the first night. This means we can rule out Loslote, Valier, and Roa, since they're either new or haven't played in a long time, so it wouldn't be very nice for them to be killed right away. Although there are exceptions, the most common Night2-kills are either trailless (most likely), or with the intention to get rid of a dangerous opponent early. The latter is very difficult to predict for us, without knowledge of the wolves' identity, but the former we have a bit of a chance. Villagers who are mostly unhelpful shouldn't be protected, though - why protect someone who has a fair chance of becoming a problem to us? People who appear trailless to us (though, admittedly, other people might look trailless to the wolves), but are helpful (or promise to become helpful later) should be our guards.

On Day1, I would suggest a similar strategy for the captain, with the most suspicious individuals excepted. We don’t necessarily need the most innocent or most helpful or most talkative person in this role (not yet at any rate). Just someone who knows what he’s doing.

Candidates, in my opinion, are: Inzil, Kath, Gwath, Brinn, and Fea. (Nienna and Sally belong in there, too, but I find them suspicious.)

I'm tending towards Kath for captain, Brinn for guard.

Wolves:
I have barely an idea. My only real opinion of anyone is that Rune is neither wolf nor gifted. A wolf wouldn’t be so obvious, a gifted not so eager to be something special. Cobbler or ordo.
This is the reason, why Sally’s bandwaggon vote on Roa’s vote for him looks suspicious to me. Nienna’s vote looks as bad, and she did several things that make my radar ping badly, but by now I know from experience that that’s what she does when she’s innocent. So Sally ranks higher right now.


I don’t understand why it’s a problem if the same person is captain and lynched. The captain has the power to cancel the lynch, doesn’t he? Problem solved. But if the mod rules it otherwise, ok.
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Old 09-22-2009, 02:27 PM   #6
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Captaincy:
Boro -> Rune
Sally -> Legate
Greenie -> Legate
Nerwen -> Roa
Valier -> Rune
Loslote -> Rune
Roa -> Legate
Rune-> Rune
Fea-> Roa
Iniz->Rune(5)
Nienna->Legate (4)
Lommy-> Roa(3)

NG:
Boro -> Inzil
Sally -> Valier
Inzil -> Boro
Roa -> Brinn
Nerwen -> Kath
Loslote -> Boro (2)
Rune -> Valier
Valier-> Roa
Fea-> Nienna
Nienna-> Roa(2)
Lommy-> Valier (3)

Lynch:
Rune-> Legate
Roa-> Rune
Nerwen-> Boro
Fea-> Hakon
Sally-> Rune
Nienna-> Rune (3)
Loslote-> Nienna


Mac, nice to see you. Keep in mind that the cobbler has the power to stop nightly activities, so even if Rune is a cobbler and not a wolf, it's better to get rid of him. It's definitely not a good idea for him to be captain in that case.
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Old 09-22-2009, 02:31 PM   #7
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Also, don't make a night guard, people. I'm too easy to lynch for the wolves to waste a kill on me. Put in someone who's trailless, like Brinn or Kath. Boro doesn't look likely to die either. If he's innocent, then he looks too suspicious to kill. Think about it.
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Old 09-22-2009, 02:33 PM   #8
Macalaure
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Roa_Aoife View Post
Mac, nice to see you. Keep in mind that the cobbler has the power to stop nightly activities, so even if Rune is a cobbler and not a wolf, it's better to get rid of him. It's definitely not a good idea for him to be captain in that case.
I haven't played with him in a long time, so I wouldn't vote for him on Day1 just because there's a chance he's the cobbler. I absolutely do not endorse him for captaincy either, though.
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