Tol-in-Gaurhoth LXIII: The Cottage of Lost Play

[Rikae]

I'm not so sure there's anything left to find out/say, unfortunately. I'm not sure what my vote will be either at this point, but it may come down to a whim or a hunch in the moment. What do you want to know from me, that I haven't said already?

[Rikae]

Well, I'm around, and willing to talk - you say you want to hear more. Even if Lalaith doesn't say a thing, if you're innocent, figuring out my role alone would be enough for you. So where are you, Nogrod?

I have a question for you. Why have you been so eager to point out how things you've been doing would be difficult for a wolf to do? It's what's tripping my radar most about you lately.

[Nogrod]

Originally Posted by Rikae

I have a question for you. Why have you been so eager to point out how things you've been doing would be difficult for a wolf to do? It's what's tripping my radar most about you lately.

What else can one do in this situation? I need to make the innocent one of you to trust me because otherwise we lose. That is one way of trying to achieve that goal - making you consider how much probable it is that certain actions I've done are innocent - for that natural reason that they are innocent actions.

Well, huh, there it goes then! *glances at Lalaith's vote* I do hope you Rikae are an innocent now.

[Nogrod]

Okay.

On Day1 the situation was as follows when Lalaith voted:

Fea 2 (wolf)
McCaber 2
Eönwë 1
Nessa 1
Inziladun 1 (wolf)

So to help Fea she should have voted either for McCaber, Nessa or Eönwë.

Now she probably knew it very well that I was suspecting Fea right there and there could be a third vote for her. But voting for McCaber could be too straightforwards - especially if Fea got lynched anyway. So to a wolf-Lalaith that wouldn't have been an option.

So how about Nessa or Eönwë? But even that wouldn't have guaranteed her Fea's live - but someone might look at her as trying to save her bringing more contenders to the front. So a new candidate? That would look good indeed.

It has looked so good I have basically trusted her ever since.

[Nogrod]

Btw. as you say, it's all up to you Rikae.

++ Lalaith

The good thing here is that you haven't jumped on that vote of Lalaith already - which makes me think you might be an innocent (or then you just toy with me here... but why bother if you were a wolf?). But in that case we have a chance indeed.

So anything you need to know or hear. I'll do whatever I can.

[Lalaith]

She stays cool, pretty much disregarding any suspicion directed toward herself,

Well, as the suspicion directed towards me seems to consist of 'oh she's so calm', well what would you like me to do - stick a banana in my ear and run around screaming 'everybody PANIC!!!'.....
My huge problem today has been that I really don't find either of you very guilty.

Nogrod, I accept some of your points against my analysis actually - I concede that if you are a wolf, as I have to conclude you are, you have played brilliantly.
And I do actually have to vote now, this brinkmanship is making me feel dreadfully nervous (so much for calm) and also there's Stuff (not allowed on the thread).
On balance, there is the stuff I mentioned earlier, and also, what Rikae is saying today just strikes more of a chord with me.
I just hope I'm right.
++Nogrod

[Nogrod]

Originally Posted by Rikae

What do you want to know from me, that I haven't said already?

"Well for starters an answer to the question are you a wolf or an innocent would be just fine.

I'm not so sure there's anything left to find out/say, unfortunately. I'm not sure what my vote will be either at this point, but it may come down to a whim or a hunch in the moment.

Sadly you're possibly quite right there.

But I will revisit that Day1 voting once more to see whether my mantra of "Lalaith acted against Fea's best interest so she must be innocent" is as believable I have taken it to be thus far.

I mean that might be a second look well taken at this point. Other than that we can discuss if would all be around soonish. That might help in making one's mind.

The problem sure is that as soon as an innocent gives a wrong vote the wolf will capitulize on it and win. So therefore the carefulness..."

[Rikae]

Originally Posted by Nogrod

"Well for starters an answer to the question are you a wolf or an innocent would be just fine.

I'm an innocent. Does that help?

[Rikae]

And you're right. See? I'm not capitalizing on Lalaith's vote... if you're innocent, so am I.

Bah, it all comes down to me, then.

Talk, people. Somebody make a wolvish slip in the next 45 minutes, OK?

[Rikae]

Nog, you're not voting for Lalaith? I'm certainly not voting for myself, after all.

[Nogrod]

Originally Posted by Rikae

Nog, you're not voting for Lalaith? I'm certainly not voting for myself, after all.

[Rikae]

Ah, whichever of you is the wolf, innocents win. Whichever of you is innocent - well, you can't make an omelet without breaking a few eggs.

I'm not voting.



Maybe this will cheer you up.

(Hey, it's the only way I can be sure of getting home to my family).

[Nogrod]

Interesting indeed.

I think I know now that Lalaith is the last wolf - because you didn't jump on Lalaith's vote. Sadly that is knowledge only from my perspective and you can't share it.

But if you look at what I said of the Day1 voting just a moment ago, it doesn't seem to be that good case on her innocence at all.

And as you say, she has been very careful all the time. I'd like to add she has also been careful not to suspect too many people at the same time but limiting possible retaliations or possible counter-suspicions to a minimum at a time.

Ah, whichever of you is the wolf, innocents win. Whichever of you is innocent - well, you can't make an omelet without breaking a few eggs.

I'm not voting.

That's ingenious indeed!

Sadly it means I have to die.

Well. An interesting ending anyway.