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Old 04-21-2009, 10:21 AM   #1
Shastanis Althreduin
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Lari, you're wrong. Form's dream of Greenie would have been for Night 5; even though he was killed, he knew that would happen, so he transmitted his dream to one of his known innocents. It's just lucky for us he happened to hit on a baddie.

This, however, presents a quandary. Given so far that the only three people left with all their bonus votes are Gwath, Greenie, and I... And given that all bonus votes used so far have counted... Since it's not Greenie, I think it's a pretty fair assumption that either Gwath or I is Pippin and thus our bonus votes are useless. I'm not sure we're going to be able to lynch Greenie even knowing she's a baddie.
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Old 04-21-2009, 10:49 AM   #2
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Shastanis Althreduin View Post

Since it's not Greenie, I think it's a pretty fair assumption that either Gwath or I is Pippin and thus our bonus votes are useless.
I wish this had occurred to me before - I think I'll use at least one bonus vote toDay and we'll see whether I'm Pippin or not.
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Old 04-21-2009, 10:52 AM   #3
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Haha.
Wouldn't that be nice.

"My bonus votes are probably most likely useless, so it doesn't matter that I'm dumping ten votes on this innocent here."
*innocent lynched due to bonus vote usage*
"Oh well, whups. Didn't know, sorry."
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Old 04-21-2009, 11:06 AM   #4
Nilpaurion Felagund
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Green is evil, huh? Hmm, this changes a lot of plans, I think.

EVIL
Green

UNKNOWN
Gwath
Izzy
Lari
Nilp
Shasta

GOOD
Fea
Kent

DAY 5: Green is lynched. 5-2
NIGHT 6: Fea is killed. 4-2
DAY 6: We stumble around, having a 60% chance of lynching an innocent, therefore losing the game.

No offence Formendeadcil, but this was not a good time to get a Wolf. (In terms of strategy, that is.)

Would it be possible for the five unknowns to analyse at least two of your unknown comrades? Get some analytical thinking done?
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Old 04-21-2009, 11:08 AM   #5
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How do you know either you or Shasta are possibly the Pippin, huh, Gwath? You haven't even used your bonus votes yet.

Oh dear oh dear oh dear . . .
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Old 04-21-2009, 11:12 AM   #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nilpaurion Felagund View Post
How do you know either you or Shasta are possibly the Pippin, huh, Gwath? You haven't even used your bonus votes yet.

Oh dear oh dear oh dear . . .
Shasta pointed out that only three people could possibly be Pippin: he, myself, and Green, because everyone else has used some of their bonus votes and wed know if they...no, darn, that's not true. Maybe Pippin already used some bonus votes, but got outvoted, so we wouldn't whether his/her bonus votes worked or not. Dang never mind.
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Old 04-21-2009, 11:13 AM   #7
Shastanis Althreduin
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Day 1:

Nilp - Sally (Sally1)
Kuru - Agan (Sally1, Agan1)
Fea - Agan (Sally1, Agan2)
Nienna - Nog (Sally1, Agan2, Nog1)
Agan - Kuru(1) (Sally1, Agan2, Nog1, Kuru2)
Kent - Kuru (Sally1, Agan2, Nog1, Kuru3)
Firefoot Kuru (Sally1, Agan2, Nog1, Kuru4)
Form - Nilp (Sally1, Agan2, Nog1, Kuru4, Nilp1)
Nog - Nienna, Kuru (Sally1, Agan2, Nog1, Kuru5, Nilp1, Nienna1)
Gwath - Nienna (Sally1, Agan2, Nog1, Kuru5, Nilp1, Nienna2)
Sally - Nienna (sally1, Agan2, Nog1, Kuru5, Nilp1, Nienna3)
Izzy - Nienna (Sally1, Agan2, Nog1, Kuru5, Nilp1, Nienna4)
Brinn - Nienna (Sally1, Agan2, Nog1, Kuru5, Nilp1, Nienna5)

Nienna lynched. What this tells us about Pippin - Nothing.

Day 2:

Greenie - Nog (Nog1)
Fea - Nog(4) (Nog6)
Shasta - Form (Nog6, Form1)
Form - Greenie (Nog6, Form1, Greenie1)
Lari - Kent (Nog6, Form1, Greenie1, Kent1)
Firefoot - Nog (Nog7, Form1, Greenie1, Kent1)
Kent - Kuru(5) (Nog7, Form1, Greenie1, Kent1, Kuru6)
Izzy - Sally(2) (Nog7, Form1, Greenie1, Kent1, Kuru6, Sally3)
Kuru - Kent(4) (Nog7, Form1, Greenie1, Kent6, Kuru6, Sally3)
Nilp - Kuru(4) (Nog7, Form1, Greenie1, Kent6, Kuru11, Sally3)
Brinn - Sally (Nog7, Form1, Greenie1, Kent6, Kuru11, Sally4)
Nog - Sally(4) (Nog7, Form1, Greenie1, Kent6, Kuru11, Sally9)

Kuru lynched. What this tells us about Pippin - It's not Nilp (bonus voted for Kuru) and it's not Kent (bonus voted for Kuru).

Day 3:

Kent - Brinn(1) (Brinn2)
Sally - Kent (Brinn2, Kent1)
Greenie - Nog (Brinn2, Kent1, Nog1)
Fea - Nog (Brinn2, Kent1, Nog2)
Shasta - Gwath (Brinn2, Kent1, Nog2, Gwath1)
Gwath - Sally (Brinn2, Kent1, Nog2, Gwath1, Sally1)
Form - Brinn(3) (Brinn6, Kent1, Nog2, Gwath1, Sally1)
Lari - Nog(3) (Brinn6, Kent1, Nog6, Gwath1, Sally1)
Kuru - Brinn(6) (Brinn13, Kent1, Nog6, Gwath1, Sally1)
Izzy - Sally (Brinn13, Kent1, Nog6, Gwath1, Sally2)
Brinn - Nog(10) (Brinn13, Kent1, Nog17, Gwath1, Sally2)

Nog lynched. What this tells us about Pippin - Nothing.

Day 4:

Nilp - Sally(4) (Sally5)
Greenie - Sally (Sally6)
Kent - Nilp(2) (Sally6, Nilp3)
Lari - Kent(2) (Sally6, Nilp3, Kent3)
Sally - Kent (Sally6, Nilp3, Kent4)
Fea - Sally (Sally7, Nilp3, Kent3)
Form - Nilp(2) (Sally7, Nilp6, Kent4)
Sally - --Kent, Nilp(4) (Sally7, Nilp11, Kent3)
Kent - +2Nilp (Sally7, Nilp13, Kent3)
Shasta - Gwath (Sally7, Nilp13, Kent3, Gwath1)
Gwath - Sally (Sally8, Nilp13, Kent3, Gwath1)
Izzy - Sally(4) (Sally13, Nilp13, Kent3, Gwath1)

Sally lynched. What this tells us about Pippin - It's not Izzy (bonus voted for Sally).

Alive players:

Kent
Lari
Shasta
Gwath
Izzy
Nilp
Greenie
Fea


Cannot be Pippin:

Kent
Izzy
Nilp
Greenie


Leaving:

Lari
Shasta
Gwath
Fea


as possible Pippins. Keep in mind that Finrod is still with us as well; if he's any one of the latter four, that narrows it down.

I hope that helps.

Edit: Forgot to clarify. In the vote counts above, alive players' votes are bolded.
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV
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Old 04-21-2009, 11:14 AM   #8
Gwathagor
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Very much, thanks.
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Old 04-21-2009, 11:22 AM   #9
Nilpaurion Felagund
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Silmaril

Cos self-quoting is fun.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Nilpaurion Felagund View Post
DAY 5: Green is lynched. 5-2
NIGHT 6: Fea is killed. 4-2
DAY 6: We stumble around, having a 60% chance of lynching an innocent, therefore losing the game.

No offence Formendeadcil, but this was not a good time to get a Wolf. (In terms of strategy, that is.)
Scratch that, we still have Finrod then. which means it's just a 50% chance of losing the game . . .

Not that much, but it helps . . .
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Last edited by Nilpaurion Felagund; 04-21-2009 at 11:28 AM. Reason: removed emphasis, was being a dunce
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Old 04-21-2009, 11:26 AM   #10
Nilpaurion Felagund
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Pipe

That's not taking bonus votes into account, though. >.<

I do hope Green's not Thuringwethil, and that the Three don't have vote majority yet.

I suggest everyone use their bonus votes on Green toDAY. Anyone who refuses to do so will be . . . consequenced. Rather terribly.
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Old 04-21-2009, 11:29 AM   #11
Nilpaurion Felagund
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Sting

If not in the game, then after it. Haha!
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