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Old 04-13-2009, 08:27 PM   #1
Kent2010
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Formendacil View Post
Speaking of sense, there is some here. I'd say that wolves tend to be more consistent than non-wolves, since they tend to be more careful about what they say, since their façade of innocence is, indeed, a façade. When a wolf gets inconsistent, the inconsistency tends to result more from the wolf attempting to cover up a slip--and even if Agan has been inconsistent (which is not my impression*), she has not given the appearance, to me, of attempting to cover up. More along the lines of exasperation explanation--I'll grant, of course, that an experienced player can make the two look the same.
Since this makes sense to me, should I be suspicious of you?

I'm going to have to vote soon. But just want to say...I doubt there are any poor intentions, becase I have received a lot of 'hellos' and I've loved my welcome here, but it does come off as a little degrading saying I'm either an innocent newbie or I am receiving constant PM instruction. I am trying to enjoy a new thing, work out my own style, and try to be helpful. If I were a newbie wolf I would like to think I would be capable of coherent thoughts and a helpful asset to my team without having to be spoon fed instructions. That's a tad insulting, even though I am 99.9% sure no one intends to be.
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Old 04-13-2009, 08:47 PM   #2
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The only reason some people can make sense of DAY 1s ( ) is because of other people not giving a damn about it giving them something to analyse.

Catching up on the thread. Good thing you guys a) wrote only two pages while I was asleep and b) dropped the RPG writing.
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Old 04-13-2009, 08:54 PM   #3
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++Kuruharan (+0)

I just particularly don't like his post 211.

It looks over the top...I'm imagining someone waving their arms around, jumping up and down, calling a foul on something that's really not that big of a deal. Agan stated a relevant fact to keep in mind, but she is trying to make us distrust our seer, and by talking about Grima we are getting off track? I suppose we could go back to Formendacil's suggestion and continue with the disney character conversation?
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Old 04-13-2009, 09:21 PM   #4
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A vote count:

Nilp: ++Sally (Sally 1)
Greenie: ++Aganzir* (Sally 1)
Kuruharan: ++Aganzir (Sally 1, Aganzir 1)
Fea: ++Aganzir (Sally 1, Aganzir 2)
Nienna: ++Nogrod (Sally 1, Aganzir 2, Nogrod 1)
Aganzir: ++Kuru + 1 (Sally 1, Aganzir 2, Nogrod 1, Kuru 2)
Kent: ++Kuru (Sally 1, Aganzir 2, Nogrod 1, Kuru 3)

*invalid vote

Have not voted yet: Alonariel, Brinn, Firefoot, Formy, Gwath, Izzy, Lari, Nogrod, Sally, Shasta

A lot of people left to vote still, though it seems probable that not everyone will show. It's rather quiet for Day One considering there's only less than two hours until deadline..

Quite honestly, I have no idea who I will vote for. I don't have any suspects and while some players have been at each other's throats, I feel rather indifferent right now as to which side they may be on. I may have to vote based on instinct toDay. It's better than overanalysing when there's little information to go on, especially considering I tend to be completely wrong whenever I overanalyse.
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Old 04-13-2009, 09:45 PM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Formendacil View Post
Anyway, my dear Agan, there's difficulty in assigning me to Frollo and you Esmeralda insofar as the real me doesn't have as much of a crush on Esmeralda as some of the other Disney ladies. Out of the Disney canon, I'm probably fondest of Belle--and that's a very different character from Esmeralda. So what you need to find, going off this evidence, for my perfect woman would be along the lines of: sweet, quiet, bookworm (I'd even go so far and say Belle is a brunette, but that might be getting unconscionably Freudian, as I inherit my brown hair from my mother...).

It's hardly possible that we've got any sweet girls of quieter disposition and a propensity to books at this Downer gathering, right? Clearly, Form shall remain the celibate man he is, with little difficulty.
I like reading, and I'm a brunette. And celibate....

Quote:
Originally Posted by Nilpaurion Felagund View Post
*is bored in his shiny cloak he was wearing all the time underneath his clothes*

++satansaloser2005 (+0)

The closest thing to an autovote. ('cos Mistress Rikae's not here.)
But....*sniff*....don't you love me anymore?

This must be what going mad feels like.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Aganzir View Post
Brinn's first post is slightly unnerving. I don't know why. Her first posts always are.

I'm watching Kuru.

Kent who is in your avatar? He looks almost exactly like a guy I went to school with.

Nog looks quite innocentish. Or rather, genuinely helpful. It's impossible to say anything concrete yet, though.

Form talked about Day -1 behaviour. I assume you're not going to analyze that?

Firefoot I'm fine with bonus votes being saved for later. But that means everyone, or at least most of us, should do it. I don't want a situation to occur where there are a few people with almost all and some with almost no votes left.


No - we get a baddie (ie wolf or cobbler) with 23.5% certainty. And actually it's even more likely since their behaviour can give them away.
I can't say I really like your suggestion. The result of today's lynch is a part of the information we will have tomorrow, and it reveals more if we don't take the easy route and kill a non-show. Or well it's also that you suggested it so early and in that way.

Hmm almost 24 hours have passed and four people haven't spoken yet. Do you Elmira people have any idea about Alonariel?

Some things about the rules.

Gríma doesn't have a way to communicate with the baddies in private, but his ability to make gifteds fall ill makes him more dangerous than a normal cobbler. That's why I think it's as important to find him as the wolves. Also, the seer can't find him and should keep in mind that one of her known innocents might in fact be the cobbler.

I wonder why Elrond & others decided to send Pippin here. He doesn't seem to be aiding us.
Because they like to screw with our heads dear.

In other news, this is a whole lot of nothing, not unhelpful so much as trying to help and failing because there's not a lot to do. I agree about the extra votes though, that if some of us use them all up and some are more stingy with them we could end up in a lot of trouble. I know it seems a bit weird, but I may (notice, may) keep a close eye on those who deliberately try to save their votes for the end of the game. Also interesting commentary on Grima, but talking about Grima right now is basically as effective as trying to figure out who Pippin is at this point.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Aganzir View Post
Oh really? I can't see how you came up with that "every time she's talking about bad guys". I talked about baddies without using smilies and used smilies without talking about baddies. That's quite a far-fetched argument.

Is there still someone who didn't realise I was suggesting Kuru was giving cobbler hints? I would have expected everyone to at least notice that post title. That question was meant in an ironical way. Because it seemed nobody understood what I was talking about.

I have a feeling everyone is misinterpreting me on purpose!

Nog I'm starting to understand why you tried to be quieter on day ones.

Sniff.

edit: xed with Form & love him again.
Awwww, Agan. *hugs* I understand where you're coming from, but just because you're misunderstood doesn't mean that you're not evil. Just sayin'.

And who doesn't love Formie?


Quote:
Originally Posted by Formendacil View Post
Speaking of sense, there is some here. I'd say that wolves tend to be more consistent than non-wolves, since they tend to be more careful about what they say, since their façade of innocence is, indeed, a façade. When a wolf gets inconsistent, the inconsistency tends to result more from the wolf attempting to cover up a slip--and even if Agan has been inconsistent (which is not my impression*), she has not given the appearance, to me, of attempting to cover up. More along the lines of exasperation explanation--I'll grant, of course, that an experienced player can make the two look the same.


*Of course, given my thesis that wolves are more consistent than innocents in their views, this, of course, ought to incline me MORE toward thinking that Agan is a wolf.
True that wolves make an effort to be more consistent, but they don't necessarily succeed, as you point out, and some wolves (like me, when I am a wolf) act even more off the wall than they do when they're ordos, because they know that if they try to control everything they say it is more likely to slip than if they just go with the flow and try to subtly direct the village.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Nilpaurion Felagund View Post
The only reason some people can make sense of DAY 1s ( ) is because of other people not giving a damn about it giving them something to analyse.

Catching up on the thread. Good thing you guys a) wrote only two pages while I was asleep and b) dropped the RPG writing.
Watch your language, young man. In other news, I was rather excited by the lack of posts toDay, and yet kind of surprised. Maybe everyone is as busy/exhausted as I am. *shrugs* It only makes sense after all we've been through.


Deadline's at my midnight, right?
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Old 04-13-2009, 09:56 PM   #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by satansaloser2005 View Post
I like reading, and I'm a brunette. And celibate....
I was wondering how long it'd be....

Quote:
Originally Posted by satansaloser2005 View Post
And who doesn't love Formie?
I can't imagine anyone doesn't. I'm just that adorable.

Quote:
Originally Posted by satansaloser2005 View Post
Deadline's at my midnight, right?
In the timezone you and milord the phantom share, yes.
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Old 04-13-2009, 10:06 PM   #7
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Okay. This is so sad.

I still dislike Agan's smilies and the explanation for them wasn't too good. But I have no intention to vote one of the only decent posters of toDay.

With Form I have a kind of similar situation. I do disagree with many things he says and I don't like all the manouvers he makes, but he posts both qualitatively & quantitatively enough for me to not wish to vote for him.

Kent is probably the only one I feel quite good right now - and he has also posted.

I see why people suspect Kuru and he might be my choice as well - although I'm afraid it will only be a cobbler we get that way. But that's not bad for Day1, or any Day.

Of the rest I might vote for anyone for just not playing this game. Out from pure annoyance and frustration.

Nienna especially. That was soo bad...

I'll take a short look back and then vote, presumably for one of the slackers.
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Old 04-13-2009, 10:27 PM   #8
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Nienna's vote for me looks quite bad indeed. It can be shown statistically that I tend to receive well more of the "random votes" from the baddies on Day1 than would be my fair share. And Nienna's looks like one of that kind.

Her suspicion first was this:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nienna
Nog was vaugly making me a bit nervous if only because he was so insistent on us all begining to start theorizing and discussing but this may be just a normal Nog thing to do...
Then, as Form pointed out, after Form stated his vote might possibly go my way she comes up with:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nienna
the other player that has struck me as being anything other than squeaky clean is Nog. This is mostly a vote based on bad feelings though and I reserve the right to be completely and utterly wrong.
Especially that "I reserve the right to be completely and utterly wrong" strikes me very bad indeed.

Also she has posted what, three times, with basically nothing to say.

I hate it how many others will just fly through this day under any possible radar. That's unfair but can't be helped now I'm afraid.

So I'll do this:

++ Nienna (1)

then:

-- Nienna (0)

and

++ Kuru (0)

I do wonder alongside Form if Kuru would be such a reckelss cobbler, but then again it looks like it very much that he is. How else one could explain that "If you can't beat them, join them" -stuff.


So a vote for Nienna and a vote for Kuru.


I'm off to work. Make good decisions.
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Old 04-13-2009, 10:30 PM   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Noggie
I'm off to work. Make good decisions.
Yes, Noggie dear. I'll eat my vegetables, take out the trash, and go to bed on time. I've learned a lot from your example.


I think I'll look over Nienna's posts real quick and see what the fuss is about. It's possible I forgot to actually....you know....read her post when I went through the thread. I'm such a silly hobbit.
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Old 04-13-2009, 10:32 PM   #10
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You're right - Nienna does look rather bad in light of that sequence of posts, like she's fishing for a bandwagon almost. She might just be an innocent who didn't have any better idea, but this seems a far more substantial case than any others that have been made toDay. I think I'll be voting Nienna.
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Old 04-13-2009, 10:35 PM   #11
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Ok, I'm just going to vote now. I'm tired and have a few things to do before bed.

++Nienna
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Old 04-13-2009, 10:39 PM   #12
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I'm going to vote for Nienna based on what I previously said. Though these seeming hoppers here, make it an almost uncomfortable vote.

++Nienna (0)

Though, I'm almost tempted to vote for Nog. What are you getting at, with voting for two different people on this Day? There is no double execution. Experimenting perhaps?


X'd since Gwath's 264. Oh?
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Old 04-13-2009, 09:16 PM   #13
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kent2010 View Post
I'm going to have to vote soon. But just want to say...I doubt there are any poor intentions, because I have received a lot of 'hellos' and I've loved my welcome here, but it does come off as a little degrading saying I'm either an innocent newbie or I am receiving constant PM instruction. I am trying to enjoy a new thing, work out my own style, and try to be helpful. If I were a newbie wolf I would like to think I would be capable of coherent thoughts and a helpful asset to my team without having to be spoon fed instructions. That's a tad insulting, even though I am 99.9% sure no one intends to be.
No, of course no one intends it to be insulting... unless, of course, by being insulting we manage to provoke you into revealing that you're a wolf.

And yes, as a newbie wolf, you might well be capable of your own coherency without being spoonfed anything--and on that note, I'm quite willing to consider you a capable lone wolf who covered for his own newbie mistake adroitly. It's not that there's anything about being new that makes you necessarily clumsy first time out--it's just that we (well, me anyway...) don't know your style yet. I don't know if this is a handicap to you or a handicap to the old-times (glances at Fea and Kuru), but it does mean that you're an uncertain variable, and as such it's best to average the experience of playing with most new players in the past--and new players are most likely to make mistakes. As with any talent, WWing improves with practice, even among those with native talent.

It may also just be grasping at straws--a newbie making a mistake would be probably the one certain thing to look for in analysing Day 1 prior to the completion of Day 1.

Of course, it's entirely possible you're innocent but just not guilty-looking enough to come across that way. It's a problem we've all had, once or twice, I'm sure.



And, in other news, I'm still no closer to a vote. Well, maybe an inch or two. I'm concerned that Nienna's vote for Nogrod was made with the encouragement that I might vote in that direction. As to the Kuru and Agan bandwaggons, neither looks particularly attractive to me. Kuru actually holds slight suspicion for me, whereas Agan does not, but I just can't see Kuru being that clumsy--even if it's been a while since he's played.
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