Werewolf LIII: The Republic

[Nerwen]

Well, when I said, "keeping out of things," I meant more that you've been sleeping under the reindeer.

So, how nice, we both suspect each other.

All I know is, unless Lommywolf is screwing with our heads, it has to be either you or Brinn.

Brinniel's posts look pretty good toDay... but I have had reservations about her on and off, mostly based on tiny things... and as I said, long analyses are a thing she does when she's a wolf. I still think Greenie is the more likely.

[A Little Green]

Something struck me as odd in Nerwen's suspicion of me. I found it. Here:

Originally Posted by Nerwen earlier toDay

Greenie... has slipped under the radar until recently. I don't think I can add to the cases Brinn and Lommy have made on her. Half Lommy's case is just "disturbing use of smilies"

Originally Posted by Nerwen

I've been thinking about it a bit more, and I'm inclined to think it's Greenie. Actually I suppose I know what you mean about the "disturbing smilies"; maybe it's the reason for my "bad feeling" about her that I mentioned earlier... she's just been too ingratiating and kept out of things too much.

This I think is an interesting turnaround. In the first quote she seems very sceptical about Lommy's argument; then, later on, when I'm on Lommy's suspicion list, the smiley thing suddenly makes sense to her. It's just weird.

Originally Posted by Nerwen

Well, when I said, "keeping out of things," I meant more that you've been sleeping under the reindeer.

Ah well. People keep saying that about me. I've never been and will probably never be a flood-poster or mass-analyser or attention-seeker, and thus it's very probable that most players' attention is not focused on me as much as some others. I'm afraid that's all I have to say about it.

Your reasoning about why I'm your top suspect sounds sensible regardless of your role and leaves me with (surprise surprise) two choices: either you are the wolf, as I'm inclined to guess, and try to get me lynched because I'm practically the only innocent you could persuade Lommy to lynch since she seems to trust Brinn; or then you are as innocent as I am and Brinn is the wolf and snickers happily while we are at each other's throats. Of course it's also possible that Lommy is the wolf, but if she is we have lost already so it isn't worth speculating.

[Thinlómien]

Okay, I'm here, mes amies. I've been thinking but I'm still darn confused... You'll see me posting once I've eaten and possibly cleared my head with that a bit.

[Thinlómien]

I'm back.

Originally Posted by Greenie

Trusting THE Ka? I don't think I ever mentioned trusting her, or actually trusting anyone on the first half of Day 1. I don't trust people on Day 1. About Ka anyway - she had posted one post that far if I recall correctly, two at most, so I don't find it right surprising if my opinion about her changes as I see more of her.

I meant these:

Originally Posted by Greenie

The Ka - Leaning innocent this far.

and

Originally Posted by Greenie

Ka - She creeps me out, don't know why.

(First one posted on the rep-voting phase of Day1, the other on the lynch-voting phase.)

Originally Posted by Nerwen

Clearly it's not you (unless you're turned really sadistic)

It would be hilarious.

Originally Posted by Nerwen

Well, you can blame me. I feel like lynching myself.

Need help?

Still waiting for the opinions of why it was Kath who died from Greenie and Brinn...

Originally Posted by Nerwen

Or is it that the wolf felt more confident of being able to manipulate Lommy than Kath?

I wouldn't be surprised... it's all too easy to manipulate me.

I realise I'm actually for no reason refraining from writing anything that would really point at me making any kind of decision...

[A Little Green]

Originally Posted by Lommy

Still waiting for the opinions of why it was Kath who died from Greenie and Brinn...

It doesn't seem that illogical to me, actually. She, along with Lommy, was generally quite trusted. Let's assume Nerwen is the wolf, for that way the Kath kill makes most sense to me. It's true that Lommy suspected Nerwen much more than Kath did, but then, killing Lommy would have pointed too clearly at her. Thus what's smarter for a wolf-Nerwen to do than kill Kath who is a sharp and trusted player and who voiced some suspicion on her during the Day also, instead of Lommy who suspected her a whole lot but whose death would have pointed too clearly at her?

I'm going to sleep. I'm quite convinced now that Nerwen is guilty. It just fits. I say we lynch her and be rid of our wolf. I have nothing more to say in my own defence since I have already answered every logical suspicion voiced against me toDay. I dearly hope it's enough, because if it isn't, we lose.

[Thinlómien]

--computing data--

[Brinniel]

Originally Posted by Lommy

Still waiting for the opinions of why it was Kath who died from Greenie and Brinn...

Okay, I'll try to answer as quick as possible since I probably shouldn't be on the Downs in a room that has audio equipment high in demand...

Both Kath and Lommy were both regarded as innocent yesterDay, though for different reasons. I think one of the reasons Kath looked innocent was because many thought she wouldn't be so neglectful as a wolf to not read who got lynched or whether she was killed. A lot seemed to find Lommy innocentish due to her general behaviour. Both looked even more innocent after staying true to their word on their vote. Though I do agree that Lommy looked even more innocent because she voted second...but it's possible the wolf overlooked that. If the wolf is Greenie, maybe she felt more confident that Lommy wouldn't vote her or that she could manipulate her sister. If the wolf is Nerwen, maybe she thought that killing off Lommy, her biggest threat of the two, would too obviously point to her as the wolf.

Okay, I have to run downstairs now to the Avid labs. But I don't think I should be long, so hopefully I'll be back in my room and available to post within an hour or two.

EDIT: X-ed since Greenie

[Thinlómien]

I'm just wondering, really... Kath was suspected very little yesterDay, but I was suspected even less. I'd be inclined to think that Nerwen would have killed me. I mean, she would have had a perfect excuse to kill someone who suspected her. As she was Brinn's top suspect as well, I really kind of doubt she would have wanted to leave her enemies alive.

On the other hand, what you Greenie and Brinn say is true, to an extent. If wolf-Nerwen was being rather jumpy, she would not dare to kill me because it'd point at her. Or then she could have made a huge gamble and thought that eventually someone would conclude that the fact a non-suspected me is alive points at her innocence...

Wolf-Greenie or wolf-Brinn? That's easy. Kath was very undecided about her suspects, so a good victim because she might turn against the wolf herself. Why kill me? I was pretty strongly after Nerwen, and an almost known innocent strongly against another innocent is something a wolf would not mind having around... Also, at least A Little Wolf (love that name ) would have liked to keep me around because of my trust in her. Wolfiel could have done that too, but it's less likely.

[Thinlómien]

Anyone around?

I'm thinking of voting Greenie because
- I think she would have most likely gone after Kath
- Nerwen's noticing Boro&tp's ploy looks honest and thus it would be a bit odd if she was a wolf
- a wolf-Nerwen would probably not resort to "accidentally" missing the deadline (would she?) and her comments about her mistake seem genuineish
- a wolf-Brinn would not put this much effort to stuff and would not be furstrated at people not contributing or doing things sloppily
- Greenie's voting morm as a rep twice could be interpreted as rather fishy although, I admit, it doesn't point at her guilt in any way

Thoughts, people?