Werewolf LIII: The Republic

[Nerwen]

Well, I just hope the wolf's not Lommy. I mean, I haven't seen any reason to suspect her, apart from the obvious one that she's still alive.

Oh, well, we'll know soon enough.

[Nerwen]

Lommy, if it is you, you've done a brilliant job and I deserve to be lynched.

[Brinniel]

Originally Posted by Lommy

Not that it matters, but what does "MIA" mean?

MIA is an abbreviation for Missing In Action.

Hmm...Nerwen made the same mistake I did yesterDay and missed the deadline. Though I fear this mistake could be more costly. With two reps, we would've had as high as a 50% chance of lynching the wolf, but with one there's only a 25% chance. And if Lommy's the wolf, our chances are 0%. (Though if that's the case, had there been two reps we still would've been doomed as I already know I wouldn't have voted for Lommy.)

Anyways, don't expect anymore heavy duty research from me since there's no way I'm staying up until 6am again. Though I think I will take a closer look at what's been said toDay, as I haven't really done that yet.

[Brinniel]

Originally Posted by Nerwen

So I've got a dilemma: should I defend myself or not? If I convince you of my innocence it will help the village... but then if we concentrate on me all Day it won't.

There's nothing wrong with defending yourself. And if you are indeed innocent, a defense shouldn't be distracting but helpful if it prevents us from lynching the wrong person. The problem is that while you say you don't want to take up too much time with defenses, you haven't yet provided us with any opinions you have on other players. Which isn't helpful.

Originally Posted by Nerwen

I suspected early in the piece that they were the Seer and a dreamed innocent who had guessed the Seer's identity and was taking cues from him. (I guessed wrong about which was which.) Much of what I did in the next few days (when I wasn't coping with Wolfegil) was aimed at keeping the wolves off them. The Aganzir "chess-game" was part of that. The comment you (Brinn) mention: "Boro and phantom... yes, I guessed what you were up to, though I was a bit slow on the uptake." was to let the Seer know I understood what was going on.

This does seem like a reasonable defense and looking back at her posts on Day 3, it does add up.

Originally Posted by Greenie

The two that aren't reps will most probably be the ones we lynch, so we are almost certainly deciding now who we're lynching. Aieee!

I commented on this before, but I'll mention it again. I don't see how deciding on reps is deciding the lynch since the reps could've easily voted for each other.

Originally Posted by Lommy

Btw, I wonder if we're going to make it past 2000 posts... that would be quite something.

With only four of us left, I doubt it. Though I wouldn't be surprised if we make it past 2000 in post-game discussion. Our post count is quite impressive, considering three out of four of the remaining players have 100+ posts in this thread. This game is setting WW records, not only by post count but by span of time too. Can you believe it's been almost a month since we started this game?

About Nerwen's late vote: On one hand, it could've be an honest mistake. On the other hand, it could've been very convenient for a wolf to miss the deadline only by minutes therefore preventing a double lynch and making it less likely for her to get lynched. I'm not sure what to make of this.

The thing that bothers me about toDay is that only Lommy and me have actually put any effort in so far. I haven't heard anything from Greenie and Nerwen about who they suspect the most. Considering it is our last Day, it'd be nice to hear some opinions from these two rather than lay low. I really would like to hear both of your thoughts.

[Nerwen]

Hi, Brinn.

I'm terribly sorry about screwing up like that. I hope it doesn't cost us the game.

Okay, about the possible wolf: whoever it is has been very clever and not left much of a trail, so it's hard to make a real case.

If it's Lommy, we're already dead, obviously, so there's no point discussing her.

So, I have to assume it's either Brinn or Greenie.

Of the two... Brinniel has been very helpful with quotes and analyses, but as I recall that's a thing she does when she's a wolf, too... doesn't really point either way. Against her there's her pushing for the fixed number of reps scheme, which struck me as weird and distracting at the time.


Greenie... has slipped under the radar until recently. I don't think I can add to the cases Brinn and Lommy have made on her. Half Lommy's case is just "disturbing use of smilies"

And yes, her interaction with known wolves could mean something. At #504 (already quoted in part by Brinn and Lommy) she talks about Nogrod and also about morm:

This just reminds me of the legendary "I've never been a wolf before" -slip. However I'm inclined to believe this is not a wolf slip of morm about his fellow Gil, but mere careless phrasing. Nevertheless it caught my eye and I thought to point it out.

So... she's used what could be the suspect/defend tactic on two known wolves. (But both in the same post... to risky?)

[Thinlómien]

Nerwen you are exactly not helping.

And neither is the ever silent (and ever hiding?) Greenie.

If you all could tell me who you suspect the most and why, it'd help.

Grr... I was thinking we'd win this with a double lynch but now I'm pretty sure we lose... because it is in my hands in the end and I always screw things up.

But like I've said before, it doesn't really matter so much if we lose. I think the wolf deserves it if she wins.

Please, everybody, tell me your opinion of why it was Kath who died last Night (and not me, for example).

Anyway, I'm going to be here now for a couple of hours and then I'm coming back rather late my time, around 8 or 9 pm GMT. And when I come back, I really want to see some serious posting and discussing by everybody *glares at Nerwen and Greenie*. Otherwise I cannot decide which one of you is a wolf.

I'm still least suspicious of Brinn. Of Greenie and Nerwen I don't know... I used to suspect Greenie more but Nerwen's late posts haven't been quite convincing. And I know I could very well reverse my opinion on Brinn too...

Hey wolf, you're a bit too good at this.

PS. I don't want to be tempted to vote Greenie because I'd hate losing to her the most...

[A Little Green]

So we won't have the double-lynch after all? Don't lose hope, we can still win - though certainly not if Lommy keeps suspecting me. Please ask me questions and I try to answer as well as I can. Obviously I can't defend myself from arguments like "disturbing use of smiley".

Originally Posted by Lommy

THE Ka? Interesting...

She also makes a nice turn from trusting THE Ka to finding her creepy with whatsoever no reasoning. Why? Do you still remember, Greenie?

Trusting THE Ka? I don't think I ever mentioned trusting her, or actually trusting anyone on the first half of Day 1. I don't trust people on Day 1. About Ka anyway - she had posted one post that far if I recall correctly, two at most, so I don't find it right surprising if my opinion about her changes as I see more of her.

Originally Posted by Lommy

the ever silent (and ever hiding?) Greenie.

The ever-studying Greenie, more likely - like I already said and like you of all people should know, I have eight and a half hours of school today in case that explains why I haven't been saying anything yet. I'm now having a break but won't be around properly for another few hours as I have a few things I definitely need to do after school eg. buying schoolbooks and stuff like that.

Sorry to sound so cross. I'm not annoyed with the game but with something else. I'll post something proper in a few hours when I get home.

[Nerwen]

Originally Posted by Thinlómien

Nerwen you are exactly not helping.

I'm trying, Lommy. As I said, the wolf hasn't left much of a trail.

Clearly it's not you (unless you're turned really sadistic), so it's either Brinn or Greenie.

Originally Posted by Thinlómien

If you all could tell me who you suspect the most and why, it'd help.

I've been thinking about it a bit more, and I'm inclined to think it's Greenie. Actually I suppose I know what you mean about the "disturbing smilies"; maybe it's the reason for my "bad feeling" about her that I mentioned earlier... she's just been too ingratiating and kept out of things too much.

Originally Posted by Thinlómien

Grr... I was thinking we'd win this with a double lynch but now I'm pretty sure we lose... because it is in my hands in the end and I always screw things up.

Well, you can blame me. I feel like lynching myself.

Originally Posted by Thinlómien

Please, everybody, tell me your opinion of why it was Kath who died last Night (and not me, for example).

It's very strange... I actually started to worry about you, when you turned out to be still alive.

Well, Kath said this #1861:

Originally Posted by Kath

I'm not convinced about Nerwen ... but then I'm not convinced about anyone. Something that Greenie said earlier, when she was very against lynching Gil, brought her up on my suspicion list while Brinn went down it. I mean there are times where you look pretty suspicious as well Lommy, especially with your 'evidence' earlier on.

So... Brinnwolf making herself look good?

A Little Wolf trying get rid of a future opponent?

Or is it that the wolf felt more confident of being able to manipulate Lommy than Kath?

EDIT: grammar.

EDIT: X'd with two Greenies.