Tol-in-Gaurhoth LI: The Pain of Wargs - The Barrow-Downs Discussion Forum

Gaunt · 10-14-2008, 03:07 PM

That didn't go very well.

Now I don't know who to vote for.

Time for a serious rethink.

Gaunt · 10-14-2008, 03:21 PM

Early thoughts:

Gwath: My suspicion is rapidly fading - given my drastically erroneous case made against Gollum and Gwath yesterday, it would have made sense for Gwath, if he was a wolf, to have lynched me or Thinlomien, who were making the strongest cases against him.

Diamond: Also made case against Gollum and Gwath, but voted early for Gollum. To influence further voting for Gollum and take attention away from himself? Possibly.

Kath: Managed to make vote for Gollum yesterday in quite unobtrusive fashion. Hmm

Thinlomien: Mithalwen was the only person yesterday to suspect her, which at first sight makes her seem suspicious. However, I think a more subtle move, if she was a wolf, would be to go for someone else and not raise suspicions by killing the only person who suspected her yesterday. Again, hmm.

Thinlómien · 10-14-2008, 03:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gwath

Well. I guess we'd better get one toDay.

Agreed.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gaunt

That didn't go very well.

Agreed.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gaunt

Now I don't know who to vote for.

Agreed.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gaunt

Time for a serious rethink.

Agreed.

I don't think I will be voting Kath today, though. I think it looks rather clear Rune dreamt of her and found her innocent. I know it's a bit risky to trust anyone at this phase, but I need to narrow the choice somehow. If we get through toDay, I might reconsider her. Right now I'm ready to make a bet of sorts and trust her. I can't vote more than one person anyway...

So, it's Gwath, Gaunt or Di for me toDay. If I'm right with my assumption about seer dreams, I have 2/3 possibility to vote a wolf. That cheers me up a little. I could just vote randomly and it would be more probable to get it right than not get it right!

Okay... I won't do that. I will clearly be doing some rereading toDay.

Also, everybody should try to talk and thus give evidence of their innocence or guilt as much as they can toDay. Otherwise, it's going to be a tough Day...

edit: xed with Gaunt

Gwathagor · 10-14-2008, 03:29 PM

I would really like to post, but I am currently frantically writing a paper that is due in an hour or two. I'll reading along with you all though, and I'll do my best to make an appearance when I'm done.

I love small villages.

Gaunt · 10-14-2008, 03:34 PM

I've been looking back to find Rune's posts suggesting that Kath is innocent, and there are a couple. What is also interesting is that Rune had suspicions towards Thinlomien.

Gaunt · 10-14-2008, 03:37 PM

Right, I really have to go now but I'll be back tomorrow morning for more post-trawling.

Thinlómien · 10-14-2008, 03:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gaunt

What is also interesting is that Rune had suspicions towards Thinlomien.

The day he suspected (and voted) me on, he said this:

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rune

I could imagine Legate and Lommy being candidates and even though I will not write them off my list completely (of lynch candidates) I am not too thrilled about voting for either today.

It doesn't look like a dream-based suspicion, does it?

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gaunt

Gwath: My suspicion is rapidly fading - given my drastically erroneous case made against Gollum and Gwath yesterday, it would have made sense for Gwath, if he was a wolf, to have lynched me or Thinlomien, who were making the strongest cases against him.

I kind of agree with this - or some of this at least - Gollum was the obvious choice yesterDay, yet we got wrong. Gwath would kind of seem the obvious choice toDay - so that's why I feel a bit bad about it. I'm not sure about who he would have killed, though. Often in ww games general moods change quickly, so it would possibly not have been necessary for him to kill you or me. Also, that would have put the spotlight on him - which is something he would not want now if he's a wolf. (But of course, he could have double-bluffed with that... it's an endless circle.)

I think it would have made sense for pretty much anyone to kill Mith - she was practically suspected by nobody, so the wolves were removing someone who wouldn't probably get lynched toDay.

Gwathagor · 10-14-2008, 04:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thinlómien

Gwath would kind of seem the obvious choice toDay - so that's why I feel a bit bad about it.

This is assuming a lot. Why am I the obvious choice now?

Thinlómien · 10-14-2008, 04:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gwathagor

This is assuming a lot. Why am I the obvious choice now?

Simply, because you strike me as the most suspicious.

Or okay, if you want a better and more thoughtful answer, I don't know what to think right now, but of those who are now alive, I suspected you the most yesterDay. Pretty much everyone suspected you more or less yesterDay. That's why I call you "the obvious choice". Makes sense?

10-14-2008, 03:29 PM	#4
Gwathagor Shade with a Blade Join Date: Aug 2007 Location: A Rainy Night In Soho Posts: 2,512	I would really like to post, but I am currently frantically writing a paper that is due in an hour or two. I'll reading along with you all though, and I'll do my best to make an appearance when I'm done. I love small villages. __________________ Stories and songs.

10-14-2008, 03:07 PM	#1
Gaunt Animated Skeleton Join Date: Jan 2007 Location: The bleak splendour of the north. Ok, Aberdeen. Posts: 28	That didn't go very well. Now I don't know who to vote for. Time for a serious rethink.

10-14-2008, 03:21 PM	#2
Gaunt Animated Skeleton Join Date: Jan 2007 Location: The bleak splendour of the north. Ok, Aberdeen. Posts: 28	Early thoughts: Gwath: My suspicion is rapidly fading - given my drastically erroneous case made against Gollum and Gwath yesterday, it would have made sense for Gwath, if he was a wolf, to have lynched me or Thinlomien, who were making the strongest cases against him. Diamond: Also made case against Gollum and Gwath, but voted early for Gollum. To influence further voting for Gollum and take attention away from himself? Possibly. Kath: Managed to make vote for Gollum yesterday in quite unobtrusive fashion. Hmm Thinlomien: Mithalwen was the only person yesterday to suspect her, which at first sight makes her seem suspicious. However, I think a more subtle move, if she was a wolf, would be to go for someone else and not raise suspicions by killing the only person who suspected her yesterday. Again, hmm.

10-14-2008, 03:34 PM	#5
Gaunt Animated Skeleton Join Date: Jan 2007 Location: The bleak splendour of the north. Ok, Aberdeen. Posts: 28	I've been looking back to find Rune's posts suggesting that Kath is innocent, and there are a couple. What is also interesting is that Rune had suspicions towards Thinlomien.

10-14-2008, 03:37 PM	#6
Gaunt Animated Skeleton Join Date: Jan 2007 Location: The bleak splendour of the north. Ok, Aberdeen. Posts: 28	Right, I really have to go now but I'll be back tomorrow morning for more post-trawling.