![]() |
|
|
|
Visit The *EVEN NEWER* Barrow-Downs Photo Page |
|
|
|
|
#1 | |||||||
|
Child of the West
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Watching President Fillmore ride a unicorn
Posts: 2,132
![]() ![]() |
So I've been poking around at those who voted for Eonwe and for Eonwe himself. Someone (Form I believe) took a look at EW voters and since Eonwe was next in line with the highest vote count I figure it may be prudent to examine them as well.
The following is based on Day 2 posts. It would be ideal if I could looked at Day 1 as well, but I may not have the time or attention span to dedicate to that. Nilp: His first post of the day pretty much recapped Day 1's events. He voiced mild suspicions on Eonwe, Eomer, Rikae, and to some degree Nogrod. His second post defends Kath's random vote as not being wolf-on-wolf. The next posts highlights what he thinks of some villagers. He voted for Eonwe saying he was the most suspicious and he had done nothing to assuage his suspicions. Ka: Her first post was little more than an "I'm here" statement. Her next post she talks about trying to avoid a Agan/Form/Nilp bandwagon and that was behind on the posts when she had voted. States she felt Agan had forced herself to look indecisivel with her vote. Mostly talked about wanting to avoid certain bandwagons from Day 1. The next post she half defends Eonwe's voting placement as a simple cross post. She states being unsure about Mith as well Sally. She half suspects Agan, looks most probably on past experiences than anything else. Doesn't really hold any suspicions of Nilp unsure about Boro and Form. Voted for Eonwe out of indecision. Elf-Warrior: First post clarified gender. Next voted for Eonwe with no time to explain. Shasta: First post of the day was mostly stating he was there. Next post rates the village as such: Quote:
Makes a voting list and points out "this the second day in a row that Elf-Warrior's cast a vote for the person with the most votes with no explanation..." Next is a deadline question. Says Eonwe and Eomer look the most suspicions and says he wouldn't mind seeing Eonwe gone. The next posts are answering rule questions and translation. Finally a vote for Eonwe. Eonwe Quote:
Next post is a defense of his cross posting with Eomer on voting for Mith. Quote:
The next two posts are fairly unhelpful. He responds to one of Nerwen's queries about conspiracy theories, stating it was a thrown away theory he made IC. Though I'm a bit confused as to what theory the were talking about. Next he recaps the votes, somewhat saddened Nilp has voted for him. Quote:
Next he votes EW. At this point Eonwe led the votes as the lynch candidate by one vote. His vote for EW was most probably self-preservation. Recaps the votes again a bit later. The next is nothing more than verifying this was EW's second game. What does this teach us? That I need to not be lazy and go back to Day 1 to dig deeper. I, however, probably won't. I admit to my own laziness and if I do that I may actually miss the vote as I dig deeper for answers that may not even be there anymore (given the addition of a new hacker and all). But as far as yesterday is concerned Ka and EW seemed to vote fairly randomly. Nilp suspected Eonwe from the first post of the day. Shasta is much the same stating Eonwe as one of his most suspicious early on. Ka may be up to mischief voting on indecision for someone who had already garnered one vote. I'm unsure what to think about Shasta and Nilp. And as for Eonwe. He was somewhat opposed with his own bandwagon from Day 1. And he voted most likely to save his skin on Day 2. Though why he picked EW is a bit of a mystery to me. I might have missed something important... He's quick to jump to his own defense over even the most minor of attacks. Quote:
I'm a bit baffled as what to do. I think Eonwe is up to no good. I haven't completely dropped my suspicions of Agan, but I'm leaning more on cobbler rather than hacker due to what we've learned about Nerwen. As far as Shasta and Eomer are concerned, did they stage it? Maybe. If not Eomer looks a bit worse to me. I base that on our colorful WW history, as he put it. I have seen many wolfish faces to Eomer and his behavior today raises my eyebrow, though I don't know how inclined to vote for him I am. Ka and Nilp remains a mystery to me. Those are the five who I've looked at the closest today. I'll probably dig around some more and try to uncover any outstanding clues to go off of. But chances are good I will vote for Eonwe. He has jumped out the most to me thus far.
__________________
"Let us live so that when we come to die even the undertaker will be sorry." - Mark Twain |
|||||||
|
|
|
|
|
#2 | |
|
Estelo dagnir, Melo ring
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 3,063
![]() ![]() |
Quote:
What I was thinking was that you'd be one to take down the quiet ones.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
#3 |
|
Mellifluous Maia
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: A glade open to the stars, deep in Nan Elmoth
Posts: 3,489
![]() ![]() ![]() |
I'm sorry, everybody - RL things have stolen all my time and mental energy today. I'm going to vote based purely on a hunch:
++Formendacil |
|
|
|
|
|
#4 | |
|
Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
Posts: 2,832
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
Quote:
GASP. WE MUST VOTE HER FOR BEING UNHELPFUL! plusplusRikae .....
__________________
Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
|
|
|
|
|
|
#5 | ||
|
Laconic Loreman
|
Quote:
Nerwen came under heat in Day 1, but by Day 2 everyone thought she was just a victim of the wolves. And to relieve some of that pressure I can definitely imagine at least one of her packmates trying to push the "victim of the wolves" defense; or not even having contact with her at all, to try and not have so much interaction. Quote:
Nilp's non-vote is worrying and Mith's vote for Nogrod is too. I'll be back again once I read a little more thorougly this time. (When I said look at Nerwen's posts I didn't expect you to take it so seriously! )
__________________
Fenris Penguin
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
#6 |
|
Flame of the Ainulindalë
|
The votes this far...
Aganzir -> Nilp (following a long hunt...) Mith -> Nogrod ("I seldom regret voting for him and often regret not following through when I do suspect him") Rikae -> Formendacil (on a hunch) Nilp -> null vote Kitanna -> Eönwë (he stands out the most) Eomer -> Nilp 2 ("Oh come on, Nilp. At least vote for yourself." But there were rows already before that) Shasta -> Eomer (to end the Day's row between the two) Huh...
__________________
Upon the hearth the fire is red Beneath the roof there is a bed; But not yet weary are our feet... |
|
|
|
|
|
#7 |
|
Flame Imperishable
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Right here
Posts: 3,928
![]() ![]() ![]() |
My internet is dying, so I had better vote quickly.
++Nilpaurion Felagund I will explain when I can...
__________________
Welcome to the Barrow Do-owns Forum / Such a lovely place
|
|
|
|
|
|
#8 |
|
Flame of the Ainulindalë
|
I'd be ready to vote Mith toDay. She acts not in her normal way and with her I'd say that is a sign of something that is not for the good.
Kitanna seems to be an obsession to me in this game. Somehow she manages to look quite innocent post by post but still I just can't rid myself from the idea she's a wolf. All good and nice with her posting but then again toDay her vote on Eönwë looks like the easy way a wolf might go for... It doesn't help my position to realise I myself am a bit worried about Eönwë as well (have been from Day1) but Kit's vote bothers me as a safe one. Rikae seems to have her hands full and she has been unprecedently low key on this - but so have I myself and thence I can't blame her for that. But I'm a bit worried. Shasta's sudden burst of activity raises an eyebrow (as someone already mentioned) but the same goes for Eönwë as well throughout the game. Nilp and the Ka are ones I need to look closer as I seem to suspect them with points others have made. I'll try to see if I can get a hold of them myself now. I tend to trust the judgements of Aganzir and Boro due to their record this far and the sense they have spoken.
__________________
Upon the hearth the fire is red Beneath the roof there is a bed; But not yet weary are our feet... |
|
|
|
|
|
#9 | |
|
Dead Serious
|
Well, catching up on this thread took all of twenty-odd minutes--much longer than I expected on the basis of posting from the start of the Day. Good to see though.
To Boromir's highly relevant remark that people aren't paying enough attention to Nerwen and her relationships, pre-death, I must admit this is a very valid criticism, but in my own defence I was quite tired and more than a little forgetful last night, by the time I got back online after my power failures. That being said, I've still got no thoughts on who Nerwen might have been wolfing with, in the basis of the Nerwen posts. It is my general assumption that most players of this game (most, not all) are adept enough to play somewhere in that vague zone between mentioning a fellow wolf and drawing attention to a fellow wolf, and Nerwen certainly struck me as one of the line-walking capable. Not that there's nothing out there to indicate her comrades, just that I'm not confident enough in my ability to spot it bother digging with a single half-hour left in the Day, and nothing leaping out at me. What is leaping out at me is the randomness of Rikae's vote for me--natural, given that it's got my name in bold letters and there's a certain rush that comes from being voted for, but I really must say that her complete lack of reasoning, even if grounded in real life reasons, is almost insulting. I'd like to hear what reasons people have for killing me, even if they are ludicrous. Much like Eomer, I'm finding myself vastly more confident today about Mith's innocence, though for different reasons. As for Eomer himself, however, I'm in a quandary of doubt based on this quote: Quote:
That being said, however, until he posted the above, I was feeling more sure about Eomer's innocence than I have all game. Clearly, other people are getting suspicious today, based on the votes, and I'm inclined to wonder if maybe Eomer is our freshly-bitten wolf. More to come... must refresh, as there are sure to be more posts by now, and to recollect my thoughts.
__________________
I prefer history, true or feigned.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
#10 |
|
Dead Serious
|
Okay, thoughts on the votes thus far...
Mith's vote for Nogrod strikes a chord with me, if only because her reasoning articulates so well my thoughts about him. Namely, "I seldom regret voting for him and often regret not following through when I do suspect him." Nogrod is a player much like SPM was of old, and Boro is today: so formidable a player (or just a character... SPM had horrid luck, quite often) that one is pre-suspicious of him just on that basis. Nonetheless, I've been moderately suspicious of Nogrod since my castaway vote on Day 1, and I'm tempted to join Mith in this gesture. On another topic, the anti-Nilp bids force me to reexamine Master Felagund. I think that the two of us had such a like attitude on Day 1 that I've ignored him since, seeing nought suspicious, but this is not a good idea, to just ignore someone. Nilp has been off of both the successful bandwaggons the past two Days, and has been noisy without making too much trouble. The question, though, is whether is because he's clueless and affable or because he's clever and distracting. All my instincts lean toward the former, but recalling that I am over-inclined to agree with Nilp's mentality, I cannot but wonder if I might be more susceptible than most to his deceptions. Definitely thinking of voting Nogrod... but am racked with scruples.
__________________
I prefer history, true or feigned.
|
|
|
|
|
|
#11 |
|
Laconic Loreman
|
By the spread of the voting it seems like everyone is dazed and confused. None of those who have received votes seem all that suspicious to me. I take back what I said about Nilp's vote (yes I've managed to change my mind in the last 20 minutes about that). I disagree with the decision to not vote, because I don't know why anyone would not vote (wolf included). Kath had a good reason to withhold her vote, Nilp's been around and participating today...
I guess the most suspicious one (who has received a vote) is Eomer. I've been pretty silent about him, and that's mostly because I didn't know what to think about him. He looks innocent, but he's a very scary player. There was very little interactiong between Eomer and Nerwen, also his behaviour here late is very strange. I mean really he's just sounding kind of crazy (I'm referring to his post where he voted for Nilp), that's always a bad sign. As someone else said (maybe Durelin? - I've read way too much in the last 30 or so minutes, I think I've had an overload), I'm starting to see a phantom-ness boldness in Eomer. Alright, but Mith is the one who is raising the alarms here. Her vote for Nogrod seems just really out of the blue. (I guess you could say that about my suspicions on Eomer and Mith as well though). Nogrod's very dangerous, and he's completely fooled me before, but so far I feel he's pretty trusty. What's really odd about the vote is the reasoning too. I guess to borrow a word for it...it's "forced." It seems like she just chose Nogrod out of the blue and tried to say "well he's quiet and I always regret it when I don't vote for him." Now, maybe Nogrod is being more quiet than usual, but Nogrod is an extremely loud wolf and he's not afraid to talk whether he's a wolf or not. Also, I just got done reading a few of his pretty long posts, so he's probably not as active as usual, but to me he's still looking pretty loud! (No offense Nogrod). Edit: x'ed with every post up to 326
__________________
Fenris Penguin
|
|
|
|
|
|
#12 |
|
Laconic Loreman
|
Oh and something else I wanted to say (and look at) before I decide on who to vote for is I wonder if while Agan and I were discussing how we wanted to go after Nerwen if one of her buddies was around to prevent that and make EW's fate inevitable?
Going back to take a quick look back at yesterday, those who voted for EW whilst Agan and I were trying to see if lynching Nerwen was a possibility... Eonwe Rikae Nerwen Sally Nerwen is obviously dead and a wolf, and I'll be captain obvious again by saying she's not going to vote for herself. I wonder if another wolf though wanted to make EW's lynch inevitable while there were still enough people to bandwagon against Nerwen. Rikae looks the most innocent, as she had been after EW this entire time and plus I believe her when she said that it's time we put the EW thing to rest. This would leave Sally and Eonwe, and I may have to start reconsidering my thoughts on Eonwe.
__________________
Fenris Penguin
|
|
|
|
|
|
#13 |
|
Estelo dagnir, Melo ring
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 3,063
![]() ![]() |
I'm here and waiting to vote either Shasta or Mith.
|
|
|
|
|
|
#14 |
|
Auspicious Wraith
Join Date: May 2002
Location: The Netherlands
Posts: 4,859
![]() ![]() |
Nilp’s post 111. Says Nerwen is ‘’genuine in her eagerness to help this fair village’’. Yeah.
Nilp 134. Use of elipses seems to grudgingly accept that Kitanna was warranted voting for Nerwen. Rikae is not so warranted, though. Shasta 144. Nerwen is ‘’not suspicious’’. Nilp 156. Thinks Shasta is helpful and wants to keep him around. The only villager who gets this respect. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- There are a couple of other, piecemeal reasons why they are suspicious to me, but these relate to Nerwen, our known wolf, and are worth quantifying. The pair o' them look bad to me.
__________________
Los Ingobernables de Harlond |
|
|
|
|
|
#15 |
|
Scion of The Faithful
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: The brink, where hope and despair are akin. [The Philippines]
Posts: 5,312
![]() ![]() |
I have to go now, it's 5:30am here already and I still have to endure two or so hours of commute to school, where my first class shall commence at 8:30.
I really don't know who to vote, so instead of stabbing in the dark, I shall pull a Kath and abstain from voting toDAY. Rest assured, if you still want me, I'd be more helpful, cerebral, analytical, whatever you want, tomorrow. Or maybe I'll help you get me lynched? Nah, you're perfectly capable of doing that on your own. ![]() ++[null vote] PS. Yes, Eomer, I'd be that obvious talking to a fellow Hacker. *coughcoughprevioustwogames*
__________________
フェンリス鴨 (Fenrisu Kamo) The plot, cut, defeated. I intend to copy this sig forever - so far so good...
|
|
|
|
|
|
#16 |
|
Child of the West
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Watching President Fillmore ride a unicorn
Posts: 2,132
![]() ![]() |
++Eonwe
I haven't really uncovered anything else and Eonwe stands out the most to me.
__________________
"Let us live so that when we come to die even the undertaker will be sorry." - Mark Twain |
|
|
|
|
|
#17 |
|
The Sweetest Spoiler
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: from beneath you it giggles incessantly
Posts: 5,789
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
You would think so, wouldn't you wolf boy?
![]() Well isn't that just wizard. We lost our seer. I'll go through her posts and stuff later, but for now I need a nap. Be back later. (Oh, and I'll put up a vote tally then for anyone who's interested.)
__________________
"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
|
|
|
|
|
|
#18 |
|
Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
Posts: 2,832
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
Cute, Sally dear.
![]() I just ran back and looked through all twelve of Durelin's posts... #25 - Purely IC first post. #60 - Amused by Eomer. Amused by Boro. Likes Form. Thinks Kitanna is boring. Amused by Sixth. "Nogrod's role is just too Nogrod." Wants to see how long Nilp keeps his role up. Amused by EW. Laughs at Eonwe's first post. #106 - Loves how people create conspiracy theories through the banter. Mentions that Nerwen coined the Agan/Nilp/Form brawl. Thinks Nerwen to be an easy lynch. Bothered by Kitanna. Votes Kitanna. #114 - Adds Nerwen to the Agan/Nilp/Form brawl. ------------------------------------- #252 - Apologizes for missing a day. Wonders how EW was lynched. Wants to look at Kitanna, Eonwe, Mith, and Ka with regards to Nerwen. Thinks Nogrod and Boro haven't been paid enough attention. Likes Nogrod's vote, and likes Boro's day 1 attitude. Thinks Eonwe is a possible spammer. #290 - Save. #295 - Professes to be clueless. Thinks that Rikae, Kitanna, Aganzir, and Boro are innocent, (bit of a turnaround on Kitanna here) because they were consistently against Nerwen. Thinks Rikae is the most innocent and Boro the least out of this group. However, thinks Boro and Agan seemed a bit "neat", and remarks that both their three top suspects were the same (EW, Sixth, Nerwen) and that two were lynched and the third a wolf, and that neither Boro nor Agan ever voted for Nerwen. Mentions Boro's remark, "Nerwen, I'll be gunning for you tomorrow." as conveniently placed. Thoughts on others: Eonwe probably innocent because of his interaction with Nerwen. Nogrod and Eomer "sorta defended Nerwen but not really". Thinks Nogrod the more obvious of the two. Nilp was pretty neutral about Nerwen. Sally also held a middle ground policy regarding Nerwen. Shasta (hey, that's me!) kept what he said about Nerwen as neutral observation and put Nerwen on an innocent list with Mith. Mith, Kat, and Form all avoided talking about Nerwen for the most part. Thinks that based on the wolf kills, we probably have a Nogwolf. #298 - Puts up a suspicious list. Shasta Mith Sally Eomer Nogrod Likes Shasta with his arguments of principles; thinks he might be a wolf. Says Mith and Sally feel slippery. Is bothered by Eomer. "It just seems so right for Nogrod to be a wolf right now." Still thinks Eonwe is cheesy. #309 - Replies to Mith, correcting an impression about which post she paraphrased. Wishes Shasta and Eomer would just duel already. #316 - Keeps thinking of McCaber as a wolf kill. Thinks Nogrod would be the one to take down the quiet ones. #337 - Waiting to vote Shasta or Mith, never says why. #342 - Thinks Eomer was probably important from the way he was acting. Votes Mith. Thoughts - With the number of times Durelin was suspicious of Nogrod "just because", I have to wonder if she didn't dream him and find that he was a wolf. And the turnaround on Kitanna (suspicion Day 1, followed by nothing, then thinks her innocent Day 3), makes her seem another likely Seer dream. Edit: Removed an open bold tag.
__________________
Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
|
|
|
|
|
#19 | ||
|
Flame of the Ainulindalë
|
I do agree with your interpretation of the turn-around with Kitanna, Shasta. And I might be dropping my case against her at the moment as Dury voted for Kit on Day 1 and then on Day3 thought her innocent because she voted for Nerwen on Day1. That could be enough and we might think she probably dreamt of Kitanna on her first Night of dreaming. But why did she say then in the beginning of Day3 that she wished to look more closely at Kitanna, Eönwë, Mith & The Ka? And why was her only defence of her innocence the fact she voted for Nerwen on Day1?
I'm not too sure we can wash Kitanna free with this evidence... but why does Shasta wish to make us think like that, overdoing Dury's "release" of Kitanna which is doubtful in the first place when one watches the evidence. She thought her innocent along with Rikae, Aganzir and Boro because of their votes. She didn't say she was especially innocent - on the contrary she said Rikae looked the most innocent of the four... The next thing I'd like to bring forwards is this (nothing to do with Dury's status as the seer I guess but we might think this a good advice as we now know she was innocent and thence wasn't pulling our legs) Quote:
Dury's post #298 is really a baffling experience. Here it is in it's entirety: Quote:
In the end she was ready to vote for either Shasta or Mith. Now that paraphrasing leads one to wonder whether she had dreamt of neither even if she voted for Mith (whom I believe is a wolf) in the end. It is just too cryptic as adding my latest deductions she should have voted for Shasta.... (so there goeas my theory) Or then she was more careful we think she was but got bad luck being killed even if there was no point in her suspicions... Somehow I just can't believe it fully... Edit: Corrected a host of typos & added the last sentence
__________________
Upon the hearth the fire is red Beneath the roof there is a bed; But not yet weary are our feet... Last edited by Nogrod; 07-10-2008 at 06:19 PM. |
||
|
|
|
|
|
#20 | |
|
Child of the West
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Watching President Fillmore ride a unicorn
Posts: 2,132
![]() ![]() |
Quote:
But Durelin may have had bigger suspicions she didn't vocalize, but did dream of and Nogrod was nothing more than a suspicion and she didn't dream of him. Since Durelin is now dead it's all guess work as to who she dreamed of and when. But what about Shasta and Mith as her voting candidates for yesterday's vote? Could she have voted for one of them and found one of them a wolf? If that's the case she might have dreamt of Mith. Or those were two she wanted to dream of and never got the chance. If that's the case maybe it put the hackers on edge that someone was on to them.
__________________
"Let us live so that when we come to die even the undertaker will be sorry." - Mark Twain |
|
|
|
|
|
|
#21 | |
|
Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
Posts: 2,832
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
Quote:
__________________
Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
|
|
|
|
|
|
#22 |
|
Auspicious Wraith
Join Date: May 2002
Location: The Netherlands
Posts: 4,859
![]() ![]() |
Oh come on, Nilp. At least vote for yourself.
![]() ++NILPAURION FELAGUND I might have voted Shasta but I remembered Aganzir already voted Nilp so I'm totally bandwagoning!!!
__________________
Los Ingobernables de Harlond |
|
|
|
|
|
#23 | |
|
Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
Posts: 2,832
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
Quote:
Love you too, .
__________________
Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
|
|
|
|
|
|
#24 |
|
Auspicious Wraith
Join Date: May 2002
Location: The Netherlands
Posts: 4,859
![]() ![]() |
If I go down...
__________________
Los Ingobernables de Harlond |
|
|
|
![]() |
|
|
|
|