WW XXXXI: With a Twist

[Rikae]

-- Aga
++ Nerwen

[Farael]

--Mac
++Mac

[the phantom]

Unless I am mistaken, Nerwen wins (or loses) with 5 votes.

The death will be up soon.

[the phantom]

The fear and suspicion in the village reached a fever pitch, accusations flew, and many thrashed mightily beneath the weight of votes.

Several villagers put their entire weight behind their beliefs, exploiting every voting loophole they could see in order to obtain the desired outcome.

In the end, it was Nerwen, the miller, who came up on the wrong end of the townsfolk.

A relieved Aganzir led Nerwen to the gallows, thankful that she would not herself be hung- yet, anyway. Mac, who had barely escaped himself, stepped up to help bind Nerwen. "Never again will you hunt us by night, foul beast," he whispered to her.

"Then I suppose if I'm going to kill someone, I should do it now!" she whispered back fiercely. Just as Aganzir tried to loop the rope around her neck, Nerwen lowered her head and bulled into Mac, knocking him off the platform into the other villagers. "I will kill everyone who dared to vote for me!" she screamed, leaping down after Mac, her claws and fangs lengthening rapidly.

"It's a Werewolf!" cried Isabellyka.

"We know!" shouted Farael as he grabbed a piece of firewood and hurled it at Nerwen.

But the throw missed. It passed over Nerwen's head as she fell forward onto her face. And there she lay, unmoving, with a wood-working knife embedded in her spine.

"Nice throw, morm," said SPM.

The fog rose high into the air, and seemed to glow red with wrath.

Living-
Aganzir- hangwoman
Boromir88- assistant to the apprentice to Rikae
Eomer of the Rohirrim- gravedigger
Farael- conspiracy theorist
Isabellkya- hen
Kath- milliner
Legate of Amon Lanc- lamp-maker/fiddler
Macalaure- jailer
mormegil- woodsman/carpenter
Rikae- midwife/wise-woman
The Might- shephard
The Saucepan Man- traveling tinker

Dead-
Nogrod, reticent lumberjack- Day 1 lynch victim (WEREWOLF)
Shastanis Althreduin, herbalist- Night 2 wolf slaughter (VILLAGER)
Valier, basket weaver- Day 2 lynch victim (HUNTER)
Azaelia of Willowbottom, apprentice to Rikae- Day 2 Hunter victim (VILLAGER)
Nerwen, miller- Day 3 lynch victim (WEREWOLF)

IT IS NOW NIGHT 4. YOU MAY NOT POST.

[the phantom]

When the villagers awoke, they were shocked to see that, yet again, no one was missing.

"Excellent! The Ranger was successful!" said one.

"I think not," said another, "For on the shore by my house are fresh tracks, and the prints are of varying sizes. Three Werebeasts there are, I believe."

"Yes," agreed another, "For I certainly heard more than two voices howling during the night."

Those who were unconvinced left to examine the tracks themselves, and indeed it was true. There were three Werewolves in the village.

Villagers- 9
Werewolves- 3

Living-
Aganzir- hangwoman
Boromir88- assistant to the apprentice to Rikae
Eomer of the Rohirrim- gravedigger
Farael- conspiracy theorist
Isabellkya- hen
Kath- milliner
Legate of Amon Lanc- lamp-maker/fiddler
Macalaure- jailer
mormegil- woodsman/carpenter
Rikae- midwife/wise-woman
The Might- shephard
The Saucepan Man- traveling tinker

Dead-
Nogrod, reticent lumberjack- Day 1 lynch victim (WEREWOLF)
Shastanis Althreduin, herbalist- Night 2 wolf slaughter (VILLAGER)
Valier, basket weaver- Day 2 lynch victim (HUNTER)
Azaelia of Willowbottom, apprentice to Rikae- Day 2 Hunter victim (VILLAGER)
Nerwen, miller- Day 3 lynch victim (WEREWOLF)


IT IS NOW DAY 4. YOU MAY POST

[Farael]

How odd that no-one has posted just yet... I really hope what happened last night was the Ranger getting lucky again, for I have something important to tell y'all... hang in there for my very own narration ('cos I feel like telling it this way)

[Farael]

When the sun dawned Farael was already awake.

"They don't believe me... they never do... all these nights, I've been telling them but nooo he's Farael, the conspiracy theorist... noooo he's just doing his job, is he not? Well, I'll show them... I'll show them and then I will not be the only one who sees!"

He walked down the streets, screaming atop of his lungs Hear ye'! Hear ye! and when a mild crowd of interested villagers gathered around him, he started with his tale

"Since before I recall, I have been haunted by nightmares. Oh yeah, I knew who stole Eomer's favourite shovel... but did you listen to me? "Oh, he's Farael, he HAS to do that..." "Oh, that's what he always does"...

Well, now I understand that my curse is a blessing for you all... for you all... other than a few."

Farael walked up some conveniently placed steps and pointed at the crowd "I SEE THINGS... I KNOW THINGS!!! At night the howling of the wolves keeps me awake, and when I fall into accursed sleep I see them... All furry and scary-looking, with death in their eyes and curses in their breath. But now... now it is a time to put an end to this all! Hearken me, for I can tell you who two of the wolves are. Let us hope that no more have been turned, for i fear for my safety and so I will tell you what I know"

Last day, at least some of you must have noticed that I suddenly accused Macalaure, whom previously I thought an innocent. It was a gamble, as I feared he would realize what I was and haunt me in the night. But I wanted to help the village, give us at least one more night for me to see something in my dreams.

And I noted something. There is a villager who has claimed in the past that she can read Macalaure like a book. She knows when he's a wolf and yet... he was a wolf and ... she was defending him?

So this night I concentrated on Rikae to see if I would dream of her, and praise the Valar I did! To find her... A WOLF

My fellow villagers, victory is near at hand, if the two death-less nights were due to the Ranger's efforts and not a new wolf being turned.

Either way, this knowledge is too precious to go to waste should I be killed at night.

I also know the identity of two innocent villagers, but I will not disclose it yet, so as to avoid giving the wolves an easy target. Should the Ranger choose to tell me that she has protected me tonight, and so cannot do it another night, I will say whom I know to be innocent. However, for the time being, I'll keep that to myself, best to avoid helping the enemy.

So in summary,

Macalaure is a wretched wolf
Rikae is his assistant

and I know of two innocents, whom I will not name to hopefully protect them for another night.

And in case you have not realized it just yet I am your friendly neighbourhood Seer

Edit: X-ed with Legate

[Legate of Amon Lanc]

All right, so no one died.

I find it quite hard to believe that we would be so lucky twice in a row, so if yesterDay was the Ranger's protection, toDay it really very probably wasn't. So even though we happened to lynch a wolf yesterDay (under rather very lucky circumstances, if you ask me), there is probably one more running around now so we are still at the same number.

Well, let's say it more optimistically: how lucky we caught Nerwen yesterDay, because now there will be one more of them.

That is, if the wolves really got the Cursed Villager. But I can't possibly imagine the scenario, since the Ranger cannot protect one person twice in a row, that the Wolves would attack person X on Night 3, find that person protected, and then attack person Y on Night 4 and by very bad luck this person is also protected. Not speaking of the ubelievable luck (or rather, bad luck for the wolves) needed for this scenario, a logically thinking wolf would surely attack the person he knows cannot be protected this Night if he wanted this person killed the Night before, unless he had really good reasons not to do so.

Which brings me to an interesting idea. Aside from the Wolves, of course, only the Ranger knows whom he protected (and I believe also whether he confronted the wolves or not). But in the logic of the scenario I outlined above - i.e. the Wolves attacking logically the person they attacked the Day before - the Ranger could now know who is the newly created Wolf. Am I clear? I mean: Night 3 - Wolves attack X, but X is protected. Night 4 - Wolves attack X again and X turns into a Wolf. Ergo, X was a Cursed villager. Yet, the Ranger protected this person, so he knows who it is.

I am saying this to pose a question, whether it could not be possible for the Ranger to somehow pass this information to us? I don't know if revealing himself would be a good move at this time, yet I wanted to bring this forward as an idea. If it helps us to nail the newly-formed Wolf... I would like to hear what others think about this, and about Nightly events, and everything.

Will be around for some time yet and will check yesterDays votes and then go to sleep. See ya.

EDIT: x-ed with Farael

[Legate of Amon Lanc]

Okay. YesterDay's votes went this way:

Kath : Nerwen (Nerwen 1)
Nerwen : Mormegil (Nerwen 1, Morm 1)
Mormegil : Nerwen (Nerwen 2, Morm 1)
Nerwen : - Morm (Nerwen 2)
Boromir : Might (Nerwen 2, Might 1)
Might : Eomer (Nerwen 2, Might 1, Eomer 1)
Saucepan : Mac (Nerwen 2, Might 1, Eomer 1, Mac 1)
Farael: Mac (Nerwen 2, Mac 2, Might 1, Eomer 1)
Aganzir : Mac (Mac 3, Nerwen 2, Might 1, Eomer 1)
Isabellyka: Nerwen (Mac 3, Nerwen 3, Might 1, Eomer 1)
Rikae: Aganzir (Mac 3, Nerwen 3, Might 1, Eomer 1, Aganzir 1)
Macalaure Aganzir (Mac 3, Nerwen 3, Aganzir 2, Might 1, Eomer 1)
Legate: Aganzir (Aganzir 3, Mac 3, Nerwen 3, Might 1, Eomer 1)
Eomer: Might (Aganzir 3, Mac 3, Nerwen 3, Might 2, Eomer 1)
Boromir: - Might (Aganzir 3, Mac 3, Nerwen 3, Might 1, Eomer 1)
(Aganzir&Mac, these silly switch-votes, I don't count them as they changed nothing)
Nerwen: Mac (Mac 4, Nerwen 3, Aganzir 3, Might 1, Eomer 1)
Boromir: Nerwen (Mac 4, Nerwen 4, Aganzir 3, Might 1, Eomer 1)
Rikae: - Aganzir, Nerwen (Nerwen 5, Mac 4, Aganzir 3, Might 1, Eomer 1)

So, all in all: after looking through the list and through the votes themselves and in what situations they were sent, I find this all going in favor of the Nerwen-voters. Starting, continuing, finishing, finishing and finishing the bandwagon was all too dangerous for wolves to do and it went too unpredictably to be planned, in my opinion. So Kath, morm, Isabell, Boro and Rikae climb higher in trust at me. There is of course the problem that my inborn suspiciousness does not want to accept so easily that there is indeed no Wolf among the Nerwen voters yet, as I said, this speaks for their favor and I will need to look at every single one of them more closely to decide more.

Concerning Nerwen herself, I will probably need to look at her closely yet later toDay. For now, only concerning her voting: her last minute jump on Mac when Aganzir was about to be lynched. This would point for the innocence of Mac and eventually against the innocence of Aganzir, or at least for more value of Aganzir in Nerwen's eyes than the value of Mac. The point is that she obviously saved Aganzir this way, yet ultimately met her own fate by this move as it roused a reaction. And quite logical one: I found Nerwen's action rather odd at the time. She was safe whether Agan or Mac was lynched, thus, her retraction can possibly point only to the logical conclusion that she wanted Mac lynched and/or wanted Agan saved. Why would she do that if Aganzir was innocent? The more if even Mac was a wolf?

EDIT: x-ed with these interesting folks above.

[mormegil]

Valier, I think it is clear enough from comparing posts 270 to 361 that the cursed was 'wolverised' (thanks for the new word SpM ) on night 4. It seems most consistent just based on the narrative. The biggest question in my mind is was Rikae the cursed or somebody else? I'm thinking it was somebody else and not Rikae. The reason I say this is, if I remember correctly, Rikae had garnered quite a bit of suspicion up to that point so if that is the case it is a little less likely that they would have attacked Rikae. With that said, I still think there is a chance that the wolves were able to select their cursed, which would have been a twist indeed. Mac, could easily have thrown logic out the window and in the name of love chosen Rikae. The first is most probable and accordingly I will be looking for the cursed who was wolverised. Based on that I look for changes in behavior.

Agan has been a bit crazed throughout and I don't specifically remember a change but there are some causes of concern that have been brought up.

Kath is one that I don't know how to feel, she has seemed innocent throughout the first few days to me and I think that alone put her off my radar. For those who don't know Kath is a perrinial suspect of mine but I try to be objective and give her the benefit of the doubt. Well, to make a long story short, I've believed her innocent so I kind of stopped looking at her, plus with the low post count there hasn't been a lot to look at. I'm now wondering if she is the cursed. The one problem I have with that is I feel that I would know that and I would expect more effort from Kathwolf than I am seeing, but she is smart enough to realize that and double bluff that and show the minor amount of apathy she is showing.

Isabell is one that sadly I haven't analyzed yet but I hope to go and check and see if there is indeed a change in behavior like Agan spoke of.

Like I've said I'm not concerned about Legate or SpM at the moment. It is refreshing to see Legate be a bit more active and act the the inncocent, non-cobbler I had hopped to see but I'm not ready to trust him 100% but I do realize that he is not a wolf.

[mormegil]

I just got done reading Isabellkya's posts and I must say that she was indeed helpful before Day 4. She seemed thoughtful and willing to help the village and contribute. She actually made quite a bit of progress on getting Nerwen lynched. But there is a significant decrease in her helpfulness the last two days. It is this type of change that I would expect to see from the cursed turned wolf.

++Isabellkya