Werewolf XXXI: The Unknown Enemies

[Roa_Aoife]

I went ahead and added Glirdan, just because.

Brinniel
Day 1, thought Sixth, TGWBS, and Thin as innocent,
suspected Gil and Roa,
slightly suspected TGWBS

Suspected by Nogrod and Legate,
thought innocent by none

Day 2, thought Legate, Mac, Sixth, and Thin innocent,
Suspected Gil, Mith, and Nogrod

Suspected by Mith and Rikae
Thought innocent by Legate, Mac, Nogrod, and Thin

TGWBS
Day 1, Suspected Roa, Sixth, and Thin

Suspected by Mac, Mith, Rikae, and Roa,
thought innocent by Brinniel and Legate

Day 2, Thought Mith, Nogrod, Rikae, and Sixth innocent
Suspected Mac, Roa, and Lommy

Suspected by Nogrod, Rikae, Roa, Sixth, Thin, and xyzzy
Thought innocent by Gil, Legate, and Mac

Glirdan

Suspected Roa, Sixth, and Thin

SUspected by Mac, Mith, Rikae, Roa, Sixth, and Thin



Something interesting- Day 1, Glirdan and TGWBS both had the same three suspects. Now, TGWBS could not have been certain that Glirdan was a wolf, but as Glirdan expressed these suspicions first, and as he avoided ever stating his opinion about Glirdan, it seems a very high probability that he figured it out. Lommy and Sixth did, after all.

The only other person to have these three as top suspects is Gil. Not sure what that says, but it's worth mentioning.

As for Brin, she was highly suspected Day 1, and had enough suspicion on Day 2 that she doesn't seem that obvious of a wolf kill. It leads me to wonder why her and not Sixth, who was trusted by almost everyone? I can't figure out if this points to a wolvish Sixth, or if the wolves had reason to pick Brinniel instead, such as suspecting her of giftedness.

And now that I've looked through, something else has caught my eye: Nogrod's post about potential Cobbler strategies for TGWBS makes option C (see quote) seem like the obvious choice. He even goes on to use it a reasoning for a case against me.

c. If you have a hunch of the wolves identities, attack one of them with some hidden notes to them / relieve players you think bad for the wolves with the same fashion.

This is very convenient for Nogrod, given that TGWBS said he was innocent. It reminds of what the wolfish SPM did when I was the cobbler- trying to make it seem as though I thought he was innocent. As I recall, the then innocent Nogrod didn't fall for it. Why so keen to go for it now, except that it clearly exonerates him?