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Old 01-10-2007, 09:03 PM   #1
Nilpaurion Felagund
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Silmaril Well . . .

It's a list of votes. Holby already made one, but I decided to make my own, with my own comments.

[Times are in GMT +8; known innocents are underlined]

05:47am Éomer - spawn (spawn - 1)
07:44am Kitanna - Naria (spawn - 1; Naria - 1)
09:22am Durelin - Rune (spawn - 1; Naria - 1; Rune - 1)
04:04pm Naria - Kitanna (spawn - 1; Naria - 1; Rune - 1; Kitanna - 1)
07:23pm Kath - Farael (spawn - 1; Naria - 1; Rune - 1; Kitanna - 1; Farael - 1)
08:34pm Rune - Farael (spawn - 1; Naria - 1; Rune - 1; Kitanna - 1; Farael - 2)


This was the first vote cast for a person already with a vote, the makings of a bandwaggon. Were there indications of such a thing being made?

There were jocular accusations thrown by B88 (18) and Ang (26), but Kitanna (28) seized upon B88's aforementioned post and made something of it. Menel (41) thought it was fishy. Afterwards B88 (47) and spawn (48) have made excellent cases against her. But I digress--later on that.

Nevertheless, Farael (44) was suspected using something that made sense (qq.v. Kath 53, Holby 56, Rune 59.) So I see little fishiness--or hairiness, I should say--in the votes against him.


10:22pm Menel - Kath (spawn - 1; Naria - 1; Rune - 1; Kitanna - 1; Farael - 2; Kath - 1)
10:31pm Holby - spawn (spawn - 2; Naria - 1; Rune - 1; Kitanna - 1; Farael - 2; Kath - 1)


This vote tied spawn with Farael. (Speaking of, are there double-lynchings?) An attempt by a wolf to save her fellow? Perhaps. But with nine vote still uncast after this, I think not. It could be that Holby will be unable to get online after this, and trusted her fellow wolf/wolves to hold the fort. But since there was no outstanding suspicion on spawn, this plan would have better worked by casting a vote on someone more suspicious. Nicht wahr?


10:44pm Ang - B88 (spawn - 2; Naria - 1; Rune - 1; Kitanna - 1; Farael - 2; Kath - 1; B88 - 1)
10:54pm B88 - Kitanna (spawn - 2; Naria - 1; Rune - 1; Kitanna - 2; Farael - 2; Kath - 1; B88 - 1)


This ties Kitanna with Farael and spawn. Although it is less interesting than the events that follow, it should be noted that there was an excellent case against Kitanna, which I am inclined to believe. Should she turn lupine, I'd say either Volo or Nogrod might be one of her fellows, seeing as they distracted the rest of the village, and shifted suspicion from her.


11:17pm Volo - Éomer (spawn - 2; Naria - 1; Rune - 1; Kitanna - 2; Farael - 2; Kath - 1; B88 - 1; Éomer - 1)
11:21pm Nogrod - Éomer (spawn - 2; Naria - 1; Rune - 1; Kitanna - 2; Farael - 2; Kath - 1; B88 - 1; Éomer - 2)
11:22pm spawn - Éomer (spawn - 2; Naria - 1; Rune - 1; Kitanna - 2; Farael - 2; Kath - 1; B88 - 1; Éomer - 3)
11:22pm Lommy - Éomer (spawn - 2; Naria - 1; Rune - 1; Kitanna - 2; Farael - 2; Kath - 1; B88 - 1; Éomer - 4)


These last four votes already have been discussed exhaustively.

Since I appear to be unable to return here after this, I must cast my vote now. She has been unable to explain away the case made against her yesterDAY, using the aftershock of the NIGHT death, it seems, as a cloak. Therefore I vote for:

++Kitanna

Good day, all.
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Last edited by Nilpaurion Felagund; 01-10-2007 at 09:29 PM. Reason: grandmother issues
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Old 01-10-2007, 09:29 PM   #2
Meneltarmacil
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White-Hand

I'm back again.

Boromir88 worries me less now than before. He seems to be explaining himself a lot more than on Day One.

As for Nilp *throws a pie at him,* I'm glad to see he finally spoke up, as I missed his attempted self-lynching. Good analysis, my friend, and I don't find you suspicious.

Anyway, I'm not going to lynch Nogrod just yet. I'll worry about him later. I'm probably going to vote for Kitanna and see what happens.
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Old 01-11-2007, 12:41 AM   #3
Anguirel
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On Nori88:

He's right that I often vote for him on Day One, but it's not part of a system or a trademark action. I'd never even noticed the fact that I do it particularly often before. However, I think I can explain this propensity. In WWX, Nori88 pulled the wool over my Ranger eyes so thoroughly that I've been wary of him ever since.

Look at my voting post though; I did mean what I said. I found that consequence-led statement about "If Gloanna is lynched, then I'll investigate X and Y" dangerous thinking (especially, I admit, as Y was I think myself...)

However, had I saved my casting vote I would have undoubtedly saved Eomer. I wasn't sure he was innocent - indeed he behaved in a similar way as he did in Fea's game, where he was guilty - but it seemed cruel to finish him before he got into his stride.


On Voloin:

I could see that highlighting of dwancing's Twin interests as a giveaway gloat of a victorious wolf.

I've done it myself before. The wolf appears helpful and lucid, and colours the evidence with his own thoughts, so it's an astute move, though it might have proved risky for Voloin.

I don't really think his Eomi vote makes him more or less likely to be lupine. But at the moment I do suspect him.


On the kill:

It's possible that Dwalin was targetted purely because she'd voted for the lynch-victim and thus left little in the way of a trail. She was also one of the most helpful analysts around, in my view. A very sad loss.
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