WWJ XI: When World's Collide

[Thinlómien]

"Here is the long-expected Kath-analysis from me:

On Day One she:
(147) Dashed in, voted Valesse (because she was the only one she heard to speak), apologised and dashed out. Now, this speaks good for her. I don't believe that a wolf would use her fellow wolf in such a trivial accusation and vote. If she's not lying, she did not know the situation at all, so it might have been fatal to vote Val.

On Day Two she:
(182) Made her famous summary of Day One's events. Expresses suspicion of Boro's, mine, Nogrod's and Mac's actions. Speaks of a careful coreagraphy made by the wolves.
(184) Told Naria she did put commentary in her summary. Said she was suspicous of me, Noggie and Boro based on the way Menel treated us and we treated him. Spoke of a careful coreagraphy made by the wolves. Said it's nice that Naria's taking a more active role and that more input from her would be lovely.
(198) Apologised possible confusion. Voted me because in her opinion I was surprised of being accused and imagined being in a position of trust.

On Day Three she:
(244) Explained that she did not suspect Mac. Explained her "plan"-thing. Asked me about "her being quite radically against the general opinion". Disliked Boro speaking of his innocence as a truth. Said she thought the Menel-lynch went pretty much the opposite way than I said it went, didn't know what to think of that. Explained her comment on Naria. Voted Boro because:

It is possible that I am reacting to his tone and the way he says things, but he is the most suspicious to my mind. His posts are somehow superior and from what I can see he has barely posted toDay, with what he has said being argumentative in nature rather than helpful. To be perfectly honest what I would really like is absolute proof of his role, and bar a dream we have no way of getting that other than lynching.

On Day Four she:
(262) Jokingly suggested that she should let Noggie, Boro and Volo find the last wolf. Said she will be back later with thoughts.
(273) Analysed me, Sleepy and Gil. Summarised it as:

“My findings therefore are that Gil is innocent, and that Lommy and Sleepy both look pretty guilty but Lommy more so. However, given my track record that probably means that we should lynch Gil and assume Lommy is innocent! . . . I just wish I could be sure of what I’m thinking.”

(281) Voted me based on her analysis.

Today she:
(294) Suggested going through Boromir's posts for hints. Says she'll keep an eye on me and Sleepy.
(295) Analysed Boro. Concluded from the narration Boro had only three dreams. Says he probably dreamed of both Menel and Valesse. Said I, Volo and Naria are suspicious."

Thinlómien took a long breath before continuing:

"And here's Naria:

On Day One she:
(122) Talked about pancakes.
(125) Talked more about pancakes. Wondered why people don't show up and regarded it as suspicious. (Glirdy had been murdered 6h before this, so there was no real hurry.) I still see this as a quite suspicious action. Or then it was provocation to speak up.
(170) Voted me the only reason being:

"Well...might as well add another name to the pile, eh."

I think she should have had a better reasoning after following through all that had happened during the day. Even a vague suspicion.

On Day Two she:
(177) Was amused by the term Nariatic.
(183) Woke Nogrod. Said Kath did not put personal thoughts in her summary.
(188) Took her words back about there being no comments in Kath's summary. Asked Boro why he thought Kath had five suspects, disagreed with him.
Did not vote.

On Day Three she:
(217) Was unsure of Valesse, slightly positive about Gil's innocence, willing to keep an eye on Kath, baffled by Nogrod (because he was not taking the bull by the horns as usual in her opinion), did not understand Boromir (said he wanted always to make a point but always reiterated himself), thought Sleepy was hiding something and I too trusting, named Mac her prime supect (because:

mainly for your banterings where you seem to know a little too much on how werewolved woud/should act f.ex. "having fun" when they kill. I mean sure they might(and most likely do),but who in Arda would come right out and say that...that post sounds like you are bragging and trying to see if you can get away with it

) and said Volo seemed strange, like he was guided.
(221) Was not impressed by Boro's sarcasm. Expressed suspicion of Gil because he said:

wow... there goes my suspicons... do you know that the werewolves have either saved me or condemned me, because if i wanted to vote valier i wouldn't have killed her as a werewolf... very paradoxing eh?

(That was in fact one of the susspicious statements by Gil I mentioned before.)
(238) Voted Mac.

On Day Four she:
(274) Found me, Kath, Mac and Boro innocent, says she never suspected any of us. (But what did she say in 217? Slightly contradicting, or not? Check: http://forum.barrowdowns.com/showpos...&postcount=217). Found Gil mildly suspicious because "some things he has said". Suspected Sleepy, for being flip-floppy and being "dodgy with queries that come his way". Said Nogrod is the most suspicious, because in her opinion he was continuously biased towards each day's main supect and he's too sure of Boro's innocence and after he had said Valier's a great asset she was murdered. Not very great reasoning in my opinion.
(287) Voted Nogrod based on the reasons above.

Today she:
(297) Was dismayed of Gil's lynch and said she would take a good look at those who voted him. (Though she thought him mildly suspicious the day before. Flip-flopping, I say. It's so easy to be wise afterwards.)"

Thinlómien took some applejuice for herself seeing that Wilwa was not present. Sipping it, she opened her mouth again. "Kath looks pretty innocent to me, though I can't help wondering that she never joins bandwagons and always has a not-very-popular-suspect. (Means someone who is not about to get lynched.) I've heard tales of wolves who act exactly like this, and less of innocents."

She lowered her cup and looked at the depths of it. "Naria, in the other hand, looks quite bad. She flip-flops more than I do, has no sound reasoning and changes her suspects almost daily. (Except Nogrod.) I think she might be the one I'm going to vote today."

"Sleepy's suspicious to me too. He purposefully raises a veil of mystery between him and the others by not sharing his suspects though he has them etc. and I find this quite worrying. Had someone else behaved like that, he surely would have been lynched already. Besides, I have a feeling our remaining wolf is a he."

Thinlómien took a long gulp from her cup. "I must vote soon. It is Sleepy or Naria."

xed with Sleepy

[Thinlómien]

"My books of general lore tell me that the members of the Sleepious Family are fond of being mysterious, so that might be normal. Besides, my most convincing argument against Sleepy is probably the he-argument. He is difficult to have a grasp of or make a picture about. So, Sleepy, please be open and share you thoughts that no one else has to judge you based on such limited information you've given this far."

Thinlómien the Elf emptied her cup. "I hold Sleepy and Naria equally suspicious, but as my feeling of Naria being suspicious is more based on arguments and Sleepy on feelings, I will be rational and vote

++NARIA

I do not imagine to have guts like Valier's, so it trust my wits (though they aren't that wonderful either)."

Thinlómien cast an amused look at Nogrod and especially at Kath, and giggled mischeviously, before she said: "Naria, if you're not a wolf, but a fellow victim, I apologise for trusting my wits more than my guts."

She left the inn.

[Macalaure]

"I just took a look at the people who voted Gil yesterday and those who didn't:

1) Gil -> Mac
2) Lommy -> Gil
3) Sleepy -> Kath
4) Volo -> Sleepy
5) Kath -> Lommy
6) Mac -> Gil(2)
7) Boro -> Gil(3)
8) Naria -> Nogrod
9) Nogrod -> Gil(4)

Unfortunately, all those ghastly Gil-waggoners are now proven innocent, so I don't think we can make much of Lommy's vote for him. They all shared the reason "I don't think he's sooo suspicious, but I have no one better".
Looking at the other votes, Volo is proven innocent, Sleepy's looks bad because of the reason, Kath's and Naria's were backed by reasons.

I'm afraid this doesn't really help...

One thing that caught my eye:
The wolf chose the same victim the last two days. Did s/he choose Boromir because s/he thought he was generally dangerous to him/her, or because s/he already suspected him of being the seer. I would suspect the latter. If so, then there's one thing the wolf wouldn't want the seer to do on his last day: leave obvious hints.

Originally Posted by Sleepy Ranger, yesterday

I'd like to ask the seer to leave clues in any manner they deem safe. Just something for us to build on in case the wolf does get lucky.

If my thoughts are correct, then Sleepy would be a mad wolf, or none at all."

With a deep sigh Macalaure sat down.

"Would anybody tell me whom to vote for today? I'm at one hell of a loss..."

[Nogrod]

"Lommy wait!" Nogrod cried for the elf and pulled quickly inside the bar.

Sorry brothers and sisters, I'm in a hurry, Lommy is already going... we have an adventure but will be back, later on Day6. Sorry.

But I would have to vote. I share the angst with many that have spoken toDay. There seems to be not a lot of good cases and I haven't time to go through things at this hour. But I'll vote and give a reason for it. That's a principle of mine."

Nogrod seemed to think for a second and then said.

++ Naria

I don't like this as it's already a second vote for her and given in haste. But there are things I can say about her I can't of the other three unknowns.

- I agree with Maca that I've an odd feeling about her, hardly agreeing with anything she says.

- Lommy's analysis showed her off pretty bad.

- It looks like she's intent of getting me killed with whatever way possible and at least in her first speech toDay she tried to pull our attention out of the important questions (do we actually have three innocents or not) to blaming Gil-voters and pointing at my care for the ranger (and her accusation, if it was one, I admit I didn't quite get).

All this counted, it might look like she is trying to twist our ways. Trying to prevent us from succeeding. The thought from earlier on passes my mind: what if this has to do with the possible trickery we were forewarned of? A cobbler might act just like that: being able to be bolder than a wolf but still thriving to the same end?

Not so much wits but guts and imaginative theory here... Sorry, but I can't do better at the moment.

I hope to see as many of you alive toMorrow evening!"

With that he ran out from the bar and went after Lommy.

[Naria]

After Naria had gone over her notes she lifted her head and began to speak, hoping that her findings would make sense. "This is my take on who Boro dreamt of and some explanations." She continued, "Boro's first dream went to Menel. He was on Menel's case all day without waiver. He even states this in post 159 then Boro votes for him.

The second dream was, I believe, an ordo. Boro didn't seem to have anything concrete like he did with Menel. He went afterDi and then voted for her...a now known innocent....so he must have dreamt of an ordo to not know who to go for. I just couldn't pick out who he could have dreamt of.

The third dream wasValesse....it became pretty obvious after I went back and read this

Boromir turned his attention to Valesse, 'My dear Valesse, be prepared, for the searcher of death will come down on thee today

He then sticks with his dream all day and warns her again here

like I said Valesse, be prepared...I hope you are.'

Pretty strong words if he didn't dream of her...wouldn't you think? Boro continues his pursuit of Valesse much like he did with Menel and then votes for her.

The fourth dream was an ordo...Kath maybe? I say that because of this statement from Boro

'I feel better about Kath than I did a few days ago. I ask Kath that you don't go away and that you contribute in whatever ways you can. Your input is needed, I assure you

. Again he had no clear picture of who to go after on this day, obviously, he went after an innocent Gil and then voted for him. Now post 272 is where everything got a whole lot more interesting. He clearly states that he feels safe about Mac, Nog and Volo...that never really made me feel safe about them though. Boro states that

'I've wondered what's been the suspicion brewing around Mac has been about. I catch no evil wolf intent. He did strongly stir suspicions against Menel, he started the voting of Menel, he's been just as helpful as anyone. I really don't understand Sleepy's reasoning, or anyone else's as far as why Mac is a wolf. To me there are several more noticeable wolf probabilities.'

and then this about Volo

'Volo, started voting with Valesse yesterday (and I believe he was really the first one that started suspecting her), I said he seemed innocent to me, now he's got a wolf lynch under his belt. Much like Mac, I catch no evil intent

He seems to be trying to tell us that he doesn't want us to waste our time on these two. I don't believe that any of these three were a Boro dream. I think there playing style was satisfying for Boro so he felt no need to go after them. Then there is this

'If Nogrod's a wolf, he would be the greatest back-stabbing, yet brilliant wolf to have ever been cursed.

Boro says IF Nogrod's a wolf...pretty much telling us that he doesn't know what role Noggy has, so in turn did not dream of him yet. I ask you to think about this for a moment...if Boro had dreamt of Nogrod and found him to be innocent, why would he make such a comment towards him?"

Naria found herself to be getting quite hungry and asked Wilwa for a bite to eat and a drink. She then sat back down in the same chair and waited.

[Volo]

Volo was really confused today, tomorrow, if we didn't hang the wolf, there would be only four honest friends around... He wasn't feeling like thinking, the seer had been murdered, Boromir had been a great guy... Volo was sulking and getting drunk also today.

Only in the evening did he even enter the inn, but like Kath had pointed out, Volo knew already all that was said.

"If I'll survive this night, I promise not to get drunk. Or at least on mondays... "I can't think of much now, I think I'll just agree with Lommy about Naria... But not yet..."

[Sleepy Ranger]

"Since I must depart I shall vote. I believe that Naria has been quite suspicious and things people have said have influenced my decision. My vote will be

++Naria

due to the lack of a better candidate." The ranger bowed. He lit his pipe as he left the Inn things had been hard lately but he hoped in his heart that they would make it out of this.