Tol-in-Gaurhoth XXII: Hic Monstrae Trucidant

[Lhunardawen]

Right. Now. Caran's the Hunter; believe her. The real Hunter would have come out if she wasn't. There have been quite a few scenarios similar to this in the past.

There are a lot of ways to use this info, I just realized. If I'm not mistaken, she can only bring someone with her to the grave if she is killed by the wolves, and not if she is lynched. And it's not as if we'll lynch her, anyway. So, how will the wolves use this? They have to be careful in killing her, even if she's already a revealed gifted and they're probably itching right now to get rid of her.

If Caran outrightly suspects a wolf, she would definitely not be killed that Night, unless the wolves are stupid enough to risk killing one of their own. If she suspects an innocent that Day, she is more likely to be killed the next Night since she will potentially be bringing an innocent down with her.

That's as far as I can go, and I wouldn't even try to counsel Caran about what her actions should be with this in mind. I'm sure any counsel from me will be directionless.

Next up, SpM's death. That last-minute change-of-vote chaos last Night was the perfect spot for waiting wolves to hide in; they can easily pass off their votes for SpM as an attempt to save Caran. And they will be glad to do it, since, duh, they will be getting rid of SpM.

So who voted for SpM?

Elempi - the reason for his change of mind from dancing spawn (also an innocent) was interesting:

Originally Posted by Elempi

This is precisely the kind of bold in-your-face wolvish statement I've been waiting for from you, SPM. The lorebooks show that such a disregard for your fellow innocent villagers' state of mind was precisely the key that showed your ancestor's wolvishness. Nobody at that time saw it for what it was until too late. I am making sure nobody misses it this time. Thank you for slipping up in this fashion. I challenge you to vindicate yourself. But you are slippery, sir. Perhaps the only sufficient vindication may be your lynching or the seer declaring you innocent, since your very efforts to clear yourself will most likely be so full of loyerly misdirection and logic chopping that you persuade people against their better judgment that you are not the werewolf I strongly suspect you to be.

It sounds so genuine to me, it's actually scary. Like it's too forward or something. A very bold move indeed for a wolf, and I have to admit one a wolvish Elempi wouldn't risk. He now moves lower in my suspicious list.


Mith - a change from Caran influenced by Elempi's vote:

This strategy makes you so vulnerable if it backfires that I will chance trusting you

A fair point, but it seems to pin the blame on Elempi too much, almost as if she was washing off her hands any responsibility in case Elempi was wrong.


Durelin - seemed flipfloppy reasoning to me:

But he's a bit more aggressive than I've experienced him being...though subtlely. I may be waaaayyy off, but he is not sticking to his votes or his statements. This might be proof of his innocence, but it might not be. He doesn't even seem to be headed in a certain direction, as far as I can tell, and there is nothing wrong with that, except that it's Saucie. I feel compelled to 'wait and see,' and yet I must vote. I'd like to see if I get killed tonight...then I think everyone should keep a closer eye on Saucie, as I would be the second person he defended and then 'offed.' I do think he's a lote smarter than that, though. But I'm not sure if that necessarily has anything to do with it. A wolf victory can come in many forms.

But I understand the need to vote right away without having any clear suspicions. That doesn't mean I'm letting you off the hook, though.


Caran - to save herself, of course.


tgwbs - a change from a reasonable vote for morm, to save Caran. A fair change, I suppose, since he didn't have any solid opinions on SpM, anyway. He sounded genuinely concerned about Caran's safety. No longer so suspicious as he was yesterDay.


Cailín - also to save Caran, and a fair vote since she said she didn't want to vote for morm yet, who was the other possible lynchee.

*dramatically wipes forehead*

But what stands out to me from this flurry of votes are those who seem not to want to get involved in the lynching of two innocents, as we know them now. Actually, that should be singular: Fin's vote for Mith. And yes, admittedly tgwbs presented the idea of it being a throwaway vote right after she cast it, but I just want to bring it up to everyone lest he forgets, because it's really worth noting.


And another thing, morm, could you please explain this?

I noticed people wanted to know why I am suspicious of TGWBS...it's comments like these.

Yes, yes...tgwbs also said it last Night. Sheesh, I'm such a leech.


Speaking of morm...perhaps I need to defend myself a little. After my ancestress's suicide in a village of the not-so-distant past, I want to make up and be a lot more helpful (at least in my perspective) this time. I hope there's nothing wrong with that. And there's no reason for me to be Lhoony since it's not a Full Moon.


Oh geesh, look at the time! I'll be back for a vote in a short while.