Tol-in-Gaurhoth XX: Wereorc I: The elves cannot hide themselves much longer.

[Grendelien]

Oh, and as a quick follow-up, you can trust Celuien as well...That means we have three known innocents, and one (Nogrod) very likely innocent!

[Grendelien]

Ok, assuming Nogrod is innocent, which I believe, we have four unknowns: Roa, Naria, Caranlondien, and myself.

I was very suspicious of Roa at the time of my vote, but I must say that Nogrod's analysis of Roa caused my suspicions of her to dwindle. I went back and looked at some of her posts, and one particularly caught my eye that I hadn't considered before:

Originally Posted by Roa

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sleepy
This is very short and based entirely on one point, make of it what you will. Naria dreamed of Nogrod, told orc-friend Grendelien. Grendelien immediatly backs off Nogrod.


The problem with this is what Farael told us at the beginning- the dreams come at the very end of the Night, just as the Day starts. There would be no time for Naria to inform Grendelien.

This may not be a good reason for thinking her less suspicious...however, I was thinking that why would Roa, if she were an orc, make a post like this when suspicions of me were very high? If she and I were orcs, it would be understandable, but I am not an orc. I don't know if this is a significant quote to use, because anyone could have corrected Sleepy, but the fact that she responded first to his post gives evidence of sincerity...

I'm not going to rule out the possibility that Roa is an orc. Yet, my suspicions of her have dropped. That being said, Caranlondien and Naria are looking most suspicious to me at this point.

[Grendelien]

I found another post by Roa that could be interpretted as being sincere (please, anyone stop me if you think these posts are irrelevant):

Originally Posted by Nogrod

Does anyone know, whether Find and Jenny know each other? I'm getting also very wary about this "I doubt she would make this kind of move" and "given her skill" -stuff. She would know, if they had PM'd, otherwise - ragerding this game and Jenny's posts there... probably not being so sure about that - given her apparent intelligence.

Originally Posted by Roa

Nogrod, Fin only has 19 posts total on the downs. 17 of those are in this thread. Extended interaction with Jenny on the Down's isn't possible, and niether have ever mentioned knowing each other outside the downs.

Once again, Roa responds rather quickly to Nogrod's question. Even though she thought Findeasea was an orc and voted for her, she ruled out something that would shine more light on Findeasea's guilt. If Roa were an orc, would she respond to a question that could possibly be further reason to lynch an innocent? It seems, to me at least, that she is trying to answer as truthfully as possible. However, as Nogrod said, Roa could be playing very craftily. It's up for debate.