Tol-in-Gaurhoth XIX: Ang Sagang Daga, bow. - The Barrow-Downs Discussion Forum

Gurthang · 03-25-2006, 11:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lalaith

Yes, that should be ok. We stay on GMT on the board, don't we? (Because the clocks are moving forward here tonight...)
I hope any innocent who is lynched won't take it personally.

Just to be sure, is this ok meaning you can stay for the deadline, or ok that we lynch Naria and Formendacil? As far as time for the boards is concerned, I don't have any idea. I'd guess they'd stay at GMT.

I really am beginning to think that Formendacil is the other wolf. I can't say that any of the evidence really points to him, but he has been acting strangely. I agree that Thin can be left until tomorrow.

So who should go with Formendawolf, Lalaith: Naria or Caran?

Lalaith · 03-25-2006, 11:53 AM

Yes I can come in for the end of voting, I mean. As long as voting does actually end at 8.30am, that is, and not too much earlier.
I can get online at about 8am GMT and stay until voting closes.

As for who to lynch with Form, I don't know. What do you think of my reasoning about Naria earlier? Do you have time to do a vote analysis on the four suspects?

Gurthang · 03-25-2006, 12:06 PM

First off, glancing back through Day 3, I found this:

Quote:

Originally Posted by Formendacil

Kath, I hate to say it- well, actually, I don't hate to say it, since I'm on your case anyway- but that vote of yours really looks like a Werewolf trying to save their neck rather than the reasoned vote for a Seer-confirmed candidate that you make it out to be.

Take from that what you will. I think we've decided he's gone toDay anyway.

Quick analysis. Looking back over the voting analysis I did yesterDay, I am again rethinking who we should lynch. I'll do up to Day 4, can't really count since it was pretty much organized after a certain point. Prior to that, voting was like this:

Who. . . . Day 1. . .Day 2. . . Day 3. . . Day 4

Caran.. . . Ang. . . Lhuna. . . Lhuna. . . None

Naria. . . . Guy. . . Eonwe. . . Kath. . . . None

Form . . . . Guy. . . Kath. . . . .Kath. . . . Naria

Thin. . . . Glirdan . Naria. . . . Kath. . . . Guy

Okay, Naria voted Kath to tie her with Lhuna. I'm gonna say that she's not a wolf, at least that's what I'll say for now.

Form, well, we already decided he's one for toDay.

Thin we've decided is not going toDay.

Which leaves Caran. Caran's Day 3 vote for Lhuna put the widest gap between them the two wolves. Looks suspiciously like a wolf trying to look good by voting for the lover-wolf and trying to save another at the same time. And you could say second Day vote was a ploy to look good, too.

Okay, Lalaith, I'll go with Caran and Formendacil. Do you want to pick voter's, or do I get that honor.

Lalaith · 03-25-2006, 12:17 PM

Oh, the honour is yours, sir.

Caranlondien · 03-25-2006, 12:22 PM

I hope Formendacil is the other werewolf. I'll get an exciting death scene

Once you guys come up with the vote list, I'll cast my vote (so you don't have one more "unknown" voter to worry about).

Gurthang · 03-25-2006, 12:25 PM

Okay, I'm gonna walk myself through this. I like to talk out loud as I think.

Voters:
Naria
Formendacil
Thinlomien
Caranlondien
Gurthang
Lalaith

Cailin is not voting.

So, we need to see votes go like this:

Voter - - - - - votes for
Formendacil --> Caran
Caranlondien --> Form
Thinlomien --> Caran
Naria --> Form

Those should go first. Lalaith and I will vote after the above have gone.

Caranlondien · 03-25-2006, 12:28 PM

As per Gurthang's request:

++ Formendacil

Good luck, my fellow villagers! May we lynch a werewolf!

Naria · 03-25-2006, 12:51 PM

I will do my part:

++Formendacil

One question, I'm assuming that Form is not going to 'go along' with this voting pattern, will it not effect the double lynch if he doesn't vote for Caran? Will either Gurthang or Lalaith have to withhold there vote to ensure the double lynch? I guess that was two questions

Gurthang · 03-25-2006, 12:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Naria

I will do my part:

++Formendacil

One question, I'm assuming that Form is not going to 'go along' with this voting pattern, will it not effect the double lynch if he doesn't vote for Caran? Will either Gurthang or Lalaith have to withhold there vote to ensure the double lynch? I guess that was two questions

Yes. If everyone votes as they should except for Formendacil, then the votes will read Caran: 1, Form: 2. If Form does not show, then I will vote for Caran, creating a tie, and Lalaith will hold her vote until Formendacil shows up and votes.

If he doesn't come, then Lalaith doesn't vote and it stays a tie. If he votes, then Lalaith will also and it's still a tie.

If something should go terribly wrong and he manages to screw things up, then there will easily be enough people left tomorrow to lynch him.

03-25-2006, 11:53 AM	#2
Lalaith Blithe Spirit Join Date: Jan 2003 Posts: 2,779	Yes I can come in for the end of voting, I mean. As long as voting does actually end at 8.30am, that is, and not too much earlier. I can get online at about 8am GMT and stay until voting closes. As for who to lynch with Form, I don't know. What do you think of my reasoning about Naria earlier? Do you have time to do a vote analysis on the four suspects? __________________ Out went the candle, and we were left darkling

03-25-2006, 12:17 PM	#4
Lalaith Blithe Spirit Join Date: Jan 2003 Posts: 2,779	Oh, the honour is yours, sir. __________________ Out went the candle, and we were left darkling

03-25-2006, 12:25 PM	#6
Gurthang Sword of Spirit Join Date: Aug 2003 Location: Oh, I'm around. Posts: 1,401	Okay, I'm gonna walk myself through this. I like to talk out loud as I think. Voters: Naria Formendacil Thinlomien Caranlondien Gurthang Lalaith Cailin is not voting. So, we need to see votes go like this: Voter - - - - - votes for Formendacil --> Caran Caranlondien --> Form Thinlomien --> Caran Naria --> Form Those should go first. Lalaith and I will vote after the above have gone. __________________ I'm on a Mission from God.

03-25-2006, 12:22 PM	#5
Caranlondien Shade of Carn Dûm Join Date: Mar 2006 Location: Bag-Endless-Fuel Posts: 339	I hope Formendacil is the other werewolf. I'll get an exciting death scene Once you guys come up with the vote list, I'll cast my vote (so you don't have one more "unknown" voter to worry about).

03-25-2006, 12:28 PM	#7
Caranlondien Shade of Carn Dûm Join Date: Mar 2006 Location: Bag-Endless-Fuel Posts: 339	As per Gurthang's request: ++ Formendacil Good luck, my fellow villagers! May we lynch a werewolf!

03-25-2006, 12:51 PM	#8
Naria Ghost Prince of Cardolan Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 500	I will do my part: ++Formendacil One question, I'm assuming that Form is not going to 'go along' with this voting pattern, will it not effect the double lynch if he doesn't vote for Caran? Will either Gurthang or Lalaith have to withhold there vote to ensure the double lynch? I guess that was two questions