Tol-in-Gaurhoth XVIII: The Play’s The Thing…

[Aiwendil]

Dancing Spawn wrote:

The only way we can indentify a wolf if s/he's playing a Seer is if one of the Seers is already dead. Neither of the real Seers know which is the false one and therefore can't step forward and question if the wolf in a Seer's costume really is the other Seer.

Well, if a wolf claimed to be a Seer, then both Seers could come forward. It still could cause a good deal of confusion, though. I, for one, will be rather skeptical about anyone who claims to be a Seer.

[Aiwendil]

Farael: It seems to be almost a moot point, but:

If the False seer finds a wolf, there's a 97.5% chance that it's actually an innocent or gifted.... if the False Seer finds a Gifted, there's a 97.5% chance it's actually a wolf or innocent... and for the first days, that's a heck of a good chance.

Yes, but this has nothing to do with him/her being the False Seer. Anyone could accomplish just as much on his/her own by picking a person and rolling some dice to determine a random "dream".

But I'm not even sure what the point of this argument is anymore . . .

[dancing spawn of ungoliant]

Originally Posted by Celuien

Arrgh, I would have to get drawn back into this, wouldn't I?

Sorry.

Originally Posted by Aiwendil

Well, if a wolf claimed to be a Seer, then both Seers could come forward. It still could cause a good deal of confusion, though. I, for one, will be rather skeptical about anyone who claims to be a Seer.

But the Seers don't know that it's not one of the actual Seers who's revealing him/herself but a wolf unless the real Seer has dreamed of the false one and knows who s/he is. Then there's what Celuien said, but I don't think that there's anything we can do about it, so let's use our energy for catching the wolves.

Quite a few votes were cast while I wrote my last post. If Anguirel's list is correct, we already have eight lynching candidates:

Gil
Farael (Who voted for him? I can't see the vote, but maybe I'm not looking carefully enough)
Glirdan
Eomer
Lhuna
Boromir
Aiwendil
tar-ancalime

There's no point to add another person on the list, I think.

Oh, well,

++Lhunardawen

for the reasons that other people have already stated & also my post #57.

[Garin]

Starts to type + + G-I......
Then B-O-R-

Taps fingers. L-H....

++Boromir.

I guess I'm going with my first instinct.

[Boromir88]

It's funny how a man who has a life and job outside Werewolf and can't always be fulltime committment to check up every hour is the one that's get's everyone's accusations. Sorry if I'm not vocal enough, but that's due to time constraints as I do have other work that must get done. But now I am back and I fully plan to go through everything and give my input if it serves anyone well.

I thought the concensus was it's not how many posts but what's in the posts? From what I've read it seems like the main gripe on me is that I haven't posted a lot, but you all think what I've said is sensible...funny than how I am guilty. Oh well, prepare to hear a bunch more from me now.

[Anguirel]

Originally Posted by Boromir88

From what I've read it seems like the main gripe on me is that I haven't posted a lot, but you all think what I've said is sensible...

No, our main gripe is that what you've said looks constructed to appear sensible, but isn't particularly...compared to your usual form anyway.