WWJ III - Nan Qualinmerë: Death Wish Valley

[tar-ancalime]

Ooh, that's one naked Seer tonight.

I'd like to weigh in on the reasons for Eomer's death. I think that one of two things happened: Either the wolves picked up on Eomer's Ranger hint (as Fea, Anguirel, and I also did--why do people DO that so early in the game?), or they were simply trying to get rid of a vocal, perceptive villager who was likely to catch them out sooner or later. If that's the case, Fea, Anguirel, watch your backs!

Now, as to Shelob:

Several people have pointed out that there is something very askew about her post of earlier today. I'm going to copy the whole troublesome paragraph and highlight the relevant passages:

Finally, and while it's dangerous for me to suggest it, I'm going to assume that a wolf didn't vote for Eomer yesterday. I know, I know, you're all thinking "Well of course She'd say that, She voted for him." But if you'll take a moment to think about it (or read the rest of this paragraph, whatever works for you) it makes some sense. Our immediate reaction is going to be to think "Who wanted Eomer Dead?" or "Who was opposed to Eomer?" and the first names to come to mind would be those who voted for him. Now, for a wolf to voluntarily put themselves into that possition means they feel very confident that the Bluff/Double-Bluff will work and that suspicion will be cast upon an innocent who happens to also be an answer to those questions. Given that there are a limited number of people who voted for Eomer (namely 2, myself and Fea[even if she changed it later]) if one of us were a wolf there'd be pretty much a 50/50 chance of us persuading people to vote for the other. With one wolf down already 50/50 are not good odds for a remaining wolf. It, therefore, seems more likely that no wolf voted for Eomer yesterday and that Fea and I are being set up to look wolvish.

But Shelob, dear, you're just dead wrong! There were THREE votes for Eomer before Fea's retraction, not two, and the third one that you're inexplicably omitting from your analysis is THINLOMIEN!

I can't for the life of me figure out why you'd make such an argument, when in my mind the truth is so much more flattering to you! Thin voted for Eomer after you did. We know Thin was a wolf. With the field wide open on the first day, what wolf would hop on a bandwagon WITH ANOTHER WOLF? A bandwagonny vote like the one for Eomer yesterday stands out enough on the first day; killing him that very night makes it stand out more.

If I were you I'd be shouting far and wide that Thin's vote tends to exonerate you. But that's just me. And the fact that you're not shouting it REALLY worries me. Care to comment?

Anguirel, I don't think you're giving Thinlomien enough credit. But still, Shelob's vote for Eomer and her misinformation-laden post of earlier today do demand some explanation.