Tol-in-Gaurhoth XIII: Enter Shamville

[wilwarin538]

My other dream was of Anguirel, he is innocent.

I've been thinking very hard about my next dream. I'm debating between Eonwe and Kitanna now. I'll be back right before voting is closed to explain why.

I have to go now though. Sorry for not giving any reasons.

Oh and LMP, Wayne's sig has been like that for quiet a while, way before this game started.

[Kitanna]

Looking back on the posts made after I went to bed I see some very interesting things floating around.

I'm not sure what to think of lmp's idea of the double-lynch of Glirdan and Wayne. I can see how it could help us if Wayne is a wolf and then so is Glirdan, but if we're wrong...I mean I feel Wayne is most likely a wolf, but if we're wrong about Glirdan, then what? If he's the ranger then we're out when it comes to protecting Wilwa and confusion is going to reign tomorrow. If he's the hunter he may just take down an innocent. But if he proves to be a wolf then we take down two and our chances greatly increase in finding wolf number three.

It is a very risky strategy to enact. If we do get a double lynching and Wayne turns out guilty and Glirdan innocent I suggest a dream about lmp. If we get a double lynch and both are wolves I suggest Lalaith. If neither are wolves I suggest the real seer dream of lmp or Firefoot (it'll be pretty clear at this point Wilwa is a wolf.).

But I really can't say I agree with this double-lynching. If we're wrong we have a lot to lose.

[Eonwe]

ok think on this:

these are the situations that arise when you have my knowledge (ei. that im innocnet).

lmp and lalaith are wolves.
either lmp or lalaith is a wolf, and their partner voted for wayne already.
neither are wolves but there are two wolves in the votes for wayne.

lmp, me, lalaith, firefoot adn ang have not voted for wayne yet.

ang and firefoot have been cleared. if we could clear lmp and lalaith, we would have two wolves left int eh voting for wayne. (well, i guess i would be the only one who could say that)

lmp: i'm not to sure of myself. he plays an awfully bold game for a wolf. that makes me lean toward thinking he is innocnet. though of all the unknowns, i would pick lmp to play a game like that. which makes me unsure. but when you throw the seer hints in, i think that would be too far for a wolf.


lalaith: i havn't really looked into her much. she gives a good acounting of lmp's plan and wilwa=seer situation. that lends some credability to her.

me: i know im innocnet, but nobody else does.

i suggest wilwa chooses the most suspicious of us three to dream of, and everyone else do their best to dig up whatever damnation the can on us. we will hopefully be able to agree that we are all innocent.

and that would lead us to two wolves hidden in Glirdan, Kittana, Tar, and Celuien. which would be very helpful.

maybe it would be time for teh hunter to come forth. that would narrow the dragnet still further.

so, tell me what you think of lmp, lalaith, and me.

[Lalaith]

Eonwe: Firefoot and Ang are only cleared if Wilwa really is the seer.
Ang: first day votes for Wayne are only relevant if Wayne is a wolf.

The answers to the second question will be revealed of course at the end of this Day and to the first either tomorrow DAY or the DAY after.

Of course, after Wayne's lynching, there will be no opportunity to discuss strategy so it's best to get that clear now.
Here's what I think.
If Wayne is a wolf, Ranger obviously protects Wilwa. Hunter does what s/he thinks best. Wilwa, if seer, dreams of who she thinks best. If someone else is Seer, don't bother dreaming about wilwa, she's obviously a wolf. In this scenario, Kitanna's Firefoot/Lmp suggestion isn't a bad one.

If Wayne turns out to be innocent, Ranger and Hunter must obviously think very hard about what to do, the wolves will be hunting madly for the real seer in the Night.

[Lalaith]

Ok, just seen LMP's post. The consensus seems to be against a double lynching, for which I am grateful.
++WAYNE