Werewolf IX: the Saga Owns You and You Know It - The Barrow-Downs Discussion Forum

**The Saucepan Man** · 09-08-2005, 10:28 AM

Since Kath remains highly suspicious of him, some further thoughts on Meneltarmacil.

When he voted yesterday, the votes then cast stood as follows:

Alcarillo - 6
Azaelia - 2
Wilwarin - 1
Menel - 3

At that stage, there were still (as far as he knew) four votes left to be cast (after his).

He voted for Azaelia.

That is useful in two respects:

1. It tells us that, if Azaelia is a Wolf, Menel almost certainly is not. His vote increased her chances of being lynched instead of Alcarillo. It's a risk that a Wolf would be unwilling to take.

2. It also tells us that Menel is unlikely to be a beast of any description. He was in danger of being lynched himself, something that each of our furry fiends want to avoid at all costs (moreso than an ordinary villager). To reduce that risk, his best option would have been to vote for Alcarillo and put him further ahead. Yet he did not do so. He voted for Azaelia, bringing her level with him. That seems a very non-Lycanthropic vote to me.

Neither proposition is certain, since Menel could be playing it outrageously boldly, or he might have thought that a vote for Alcarillo would look too suspicious.

Any thoughts?

09-08-2005, 10:28 AM	#11
The Saucepan Man Corpus Cacophonous Join Date: Jan 2003 Location: A green and pleasant land Posts: 8,390	Since Kath remains highly suspicious of him, some further thoughts on Meneltarmacil. When he voted yesterday, the votes then cast stood as follows: Alcarillo - 6 Azaelia - 2 Wilwarin - 1 Menel - 3 At that stage, there were still (as far as he knew) four votes left to be cast (after his). He voted for Azaelia. That is useful in two respects: 1. It tells us that, if Azaelia is a Wolf, Menel almost certainly is not. His vote increased her chances of being lynched instead of Alcarillo. It's a risk that a Wolf would be unwilling to take. 2. It also tells us that Menel is unlikely to be a beast of any description. He was in danger of being lynched himself, something that each of our furry fiends want to avoid at all costs (moreso than an ordinary villager). To reduce that risk, his best option would have been to vote for Alcarillo and put him further ahead. Yet he did not do so. He voted for Azaelia, bringing her level with him. That seems a very non-Lycanthropic vote to me. Neither proposition is certain, since Menel could be playing it outrageously boldly, or he might have thought that a vote for Alcarillo would look too suspicious. Any thoughts? __________________ Do you mind? I'm busy doing the fishstick. It's a very delicate state of mind!