Tol-in-Gaurhoth IV (The Saga, erm, Still Continues...)

[the phantom]

I've been gone for a bit so I'm going to go back and respond to everything that has happened since I have been gone.

But anyway, I must admit I was slightly taken aback that the Phantom had voted for me, but then again I couldn't make it for the first Day so I suppose his decision will not bode ill with me. It was a 50/50 chance between Anguirel and myself, I can't really hold anything against him.

Thanks for understanding, Esgal.

I think that the most important thing is to figure out why the wolves picked Azaelia last night. I had my thoughts on who the various gifted villagers might have been and Azaelia wasn't on the list.

Here, Celuien makes the same observation that I made earlier. Why in the world did the wolves kill Azalia? I haven't spotted a good reason so far- not a good enough reason for the wolves to have lynched her over someone who was possibly the seer.

And why did Saurreg, knowing that three villagers stood to die, therefore think it was ok for him not to vote?

what made Saurreg say this: "I don't think I need even to vote today."

Saurreg's behaviour at the end of the last day was odd.

The more I think about it, the more suspicious I am of Saurreg. It doesn't make sense for an innocent not to vote once the tie was in place. Reading his post again, it looks like he expected not three but five villagers to die since we didn't know that Anguirel and Esgallhugwen had given notice of their absence yet.

Well, well- it seems that Saurreg is the flavor of the day. But I don't believe he is as suspicious as you are making him out to be.

The way I see it, only four votes had been cast and he assumed that there were more on the way, and that a decision would be made without his vote. I mean- is there anyone who thought that voter turnout would be as low as it was? I doubt it.

It is possible that the people he suspected the most already had a vote against them, and instead of casting a vote for one of them he wanted to leave them tied and then wait and see if anyone tried to come rescue them.

Plus, there were others who made an appearance but did not cast a vote. Many others. I don't really see anything within Saurreg's posts to place him as a suspect above all the others who sat on their votes, nor above those who did vote.

At this point, I might like to lynch Anguirel simply because he hasn't shown up.

As far as people who have been around, my eye is on Eomer.

Eomer, when speaking of why the wolves killed who they killed, said this-

No loudmouth would be killed

And yet, a couple lines later he said this-

I am much more interested in why the wolves didn't go after the phantom.

First he says that wolves would not kill a loudmouth (I am a loudmouth), and then he wonders why I wasn't killed. That seems very odd to me. Is he trying to give a reason for why he wasn't killed (because he is a loudmouth) but somehow not extend to me the same excuse he is using for himself.

Very suspicious.

And actually, I thought that I stood a good chance of getting killed last night. As I plainly said yesterday, I was trying my best to be a thorn in the wolves' side. I was hoping that they would perhaps try to kill me and the ranger would guard me and thus ruin their night. Once we lost our ranger I was expecting to be killed (well, I thought it likely anyway).

The way I saw it, the main reason for the wolves not to kill me would be if they were going to try and set me up the next day, which Eomer appears to be doing.

Once again, I am suspicous of him.

Either the wolves are not smart at all, or the phantom is one of them.

Oh really, Eomer?

Even if I was a wolf, that would not make their selection of Azalia smart.

The best defense I can offer as to why I am not a wolf- I would have made a much better kill last night.

Anyone who knows me well knows that to be true.

And don't even say it was some sort of trick. It is not advantageous for a wolf to pass on an opportunity to kill the seer simply to attempt some sort of trick which may or may not work.

There is no way that I would've killed Azalia and you know it.

I'm looking keenly at phantom and Saurreg as two of our wolves at the moment.

Really? I don't believe you.

I believe that you think Saurreg and I are the two sheriffs and you are hoping to kill one of us during the day and one tonight.

You were on my short list of possible seers, but you are not on it anymore since you are going after me and I am not a wolf.

EDIT: just saw Eomer's last post

He is basically coming out into the open, right at the start of the game, and telling everyone that he is a gifted villager or a werewolf.

That was one of the points of what I did. I am not the seer, but if I could make the wolves suspect me and go after me at night then that would ensure that the seer was not killed that night. I was doing my duty as a villager- protecting my seer.

But realise that if the phantom is innocent, the werewolves will kill him tonite if we don't lynch him.

Clever, Eomer. You are painting this as a "we might as well" sort of situation.

I think that we should lynch you instead.

You have done exactly what I figured the wolves would do today if they left me alive- try and set me up.