Tol-in-Gaurhoth L: Battle of the Fandoms

[Boromir88]

Starting with the shorter one

McCaber

Day 1: He pretty much echoes the feelings of the village. He does say I look innocent, because he doesn't think a wolf would stir that much controversy in the beginning.

Brin seems a little off to me, as does the Captain. Gwath and Mac both look fine by me.

So, he notes CoD feels a little off. And in his other post for the day, he votes for CoD.

I have to go soon, so here's my semirandom vote:

++CaptainofDespair

for cryptic remarks and other general nonsense.

As others have noted, if there was a wolf-on-wolf vote, I think McCaber's looks to be the most likely. It's early enough, it would make a wolf look good, and there wasn't a strong reason (at that time) to believe CoD would be lynched.

Day 2:

Says Gwath looks innocent, and that he certainly talks a lot.

Says he doesn't know what to think about me.

Something possibly interesting:

On my "possibly, nay, probably a werewolf" list goes Nogrod, for an attempt to bandwagon away from a wolf, along with Sally.

Suspects Nogrod and Sally. So, McCaber picks up on CoD and sally, two known wolves...hmm

Yeah, I really don't like the way sally posted yesterDay, what with the "suspicion" of the Captain in quite a lot of posts but her vote trying to lead away from his death. (Old news, I know, but I just woke up. Give me a break.)

Agrees with the reasoning against sally, that her suspect and then defense of CoD looks strange. Later in the post, he said between Gwath and Nogrod, he would rather vote the latter, but believes both of them are innocent just looking for wolves in the wrong places.

Day 2, votes for sally

2 wolves in 2 days. Impressive instincts. Not unlikely, but as Mith would always caution me when we were both wolves, don't make it look like you're completely certain about everything. Plus with the focus on Nogrod and Gwath, perhaps McCaber felt safe about voting for wolf-partner sally, and again it would make him look good.

As another interesting observation, on Day 2 Rikae votes for McCaber.

Day 3:

I still think that the Day 1 voting record is the best to find a wolf. I'm going to take a closer look at those who tried to save the Captain at the last minutes. I know that includes sally, but I'm not sure who else.

Again mentions sally for her attempt to save CoD.

So I'm still convinced that sally is a wolf, but the only other late distracters were Nogrod for Gwath and Boro for Lal. And I'm pretty sure both of them are innocent.

If only sally gave me more to analyze. And I'm still not sure why Lal and Rikae have harped on me as a suspect. I just don't really get their arguments.

Continues to go after sally, if only she "gave me more to analyze." That looks strange, are you trying to find a reason to get out of voting for the wolf sally?

In post 360 he says Nogrod and I are probably innocent. Nerwen, Sally, or Rikae are probably wolves, and Lal is the cobbler.

remarks about Fea's seer revelation:

For some reason I am so tempted to contradict you, but it would serve no purpose. Ah well.

Either Fea is a wolf, or the last wolf didn't believe Fea's seer revelation (or maybe the last wolf thought Fea would get the ranger protection). Anyway, McCaber makes the point that he doesn't really believe Fea.

umm...

++sally

nothing if not consistent.

Ends up being the 2nd vote for sally (puts her in the early lead). Still, a rather safe, early vote. It would make McCaber look good, if sally is lynched, but with all the stir between myself, Mith, and Lal, maybe he thought sally was safe.

And this just doesn't sit right with me, today (from post 451)

So are we finally clear that Mac and Iare innocent? Good.

McCaber comes out and attaches himself to Mac. Both he and Mac voted for wolves twice (McCaber voted for sally two days in a row). But this just seems like he's trying to push the fact that he and Mac are finally "proven" innocent, when really neither of them are.

I'm not liking the look of McCaber, he could have extremely good instincts in this game, but this just looks like he's too certain about everything. Not just who the wolves are but who he thinks are innocent. He felt I was "likely" innocent, he pointed out Gwath and Nogrod going after eachother, but felt both were two innocents looking for wolves in the wrong place.

Now, he comes out and forces the opinion that he's a "known" innocent (and Mac in the process). He's not a known innocent, and I don't like the look of it. I don't know what the wolf strategy was, but maybe with McCaber's style of being more quiet and reserved, plus a good voting record (3 wolves, 3 votes!) this was a strategy to make McCaber look as innocent as possible, and then he could slip into the background.