Quote:
Originally Posted by Nogrod
I did say she is Beren from the get-go quite openly and never claimed she was Lúthien.
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Because
I said I was Beren, and what reason would an innocent have to lie? I so regret not being able to predict
Nog's show... if I had said I was Lúthien, we wouldn't have to go through this now.
Remember I revealed before
Nog. Before that, he had no clue I was Beren. If he had had, he would have let me know - instead he told me off for not seeing his "hints", but there were
no hints whatsoever.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nogrod
although it would have required quite a bold act and a lot of luck to hit it right with Agan on D1 (remember that to a cobbler her role would have been a shot in the dark).
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It would require luck to say I was innocent? No. That was more likely than not, anyway (and if I had been a wolf, it would have served your cobbler purposes just as well because it would have led people to suspect me). You took pains to leave a coded seer hint but not a hint about my true role (or
the phantom's) which was the only thing that would have given your reveal credibility.
Nog is not stupid. It's not difficult to drop a gifted hint or two here and there - BUT HE DID NOTHING THAT WOULD HAVE PROVED HE KNEW MORE THAN THE REST OF US. Because he didn't.
He is not the seer. Repeat: he is not the seer. After being lynched as a cobbler there were two things he could do: give up and be totally useless, or try to keep his show up. He chose the latter. He's acting well but I don't care how good his arguments are, he's lying blatantly.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nogrod
I promise 100% accuracy on my dreams. I will not err with them like a cobbler eventually would.
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Hahaha.
Shasta and I were the only problem you might have had but that won't cause you any trouble, thanks to the wolves. The hunter's and the ranger's roles will be more or less obvious anyway. When a wolf or a cobbler dies and you call them innocent, they will know you for what you are and back you up. Sorry
Nogs but I see through this.
Hey I came up with something...
TO THE HUNTER AND HER VICTIM: when you die, whichever posts here first should say she was the hunter. The other will support her claim.
Nog will dream of the other and tell her role. Let's see who got it right.

(That can't prove he's the seer because he has a 50/50 chance of hitting it right, but it might at least prove he's lying).
This is all I'm going to say about
Nogrod. I think we all should just ignore him because while making long posts with lots of arguments for his innocence, he keeps distracting us. Good job, cobbler.
(As an aside, in the nearly impossible case
Nog really is the seer, I expect to
never hear any comments about
Shasta getting himself killed as a gifted.)
Quote:
Originally Posted by Feanor of the Peredhil
I am too, but since we have no way to tell the live 'uns that we've changed the plan, we can't go ahead and change the plan.
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Exactly. I know it was me who made the agreement with the village on behalf of us all, but being a known innocent I think I had the right to do it. I said we should check the first person to reach the highest number because it's unlikelier the baddies would intentionally push one of their own to be double lynched although I know it can happen by accident.
I just hope the village tells us what we should do with
Nessa & tomorrow's lynch...