Since I was mostly done when
Sally posted hers... here is just a different perspective and now I shall go read hers.
Quote:
Originally Posted by McCaber
All right, all right. I'll get up. You topsiders have no consideration for some people's schedules.
So my thoughts on the day this far: Dang, there are a lot of people. It's going to be touch and go for a while, what with these two kills a night business. But hopefully we can pull off a protect choice that limits the wolves.
Although we shouldn't be hasty to lynch someone we protected if there's only one kill. That seems to be a very easy way for the pack to manipulate the village. Granted, it would only work one time at most, but it could still backfire horribly.
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Warning us about how the wolves could manipulate the guarded with only sending in one Night kill. This looks as if it could be a wolf with insider knowledge.
Quote:
Originally Posted by McCaber
The miner's pretty sure who they're going to vote tonight, but I'm still not sure on who to protect.
So, just to get a viewpoint of suspicion across,
[lynch vote]++ wilwa[/lynch vote]
for silly discussion on the previous pages that could have an adverse effect to the village's safety.
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Seems reasonable.
Quote:
Originally Posted by McCaber
Well so far I don't have any more brilliant insights. Although for what it's worth I think we have time for a Legate lynch toDay, and be ready to sort things out later.
But much of my thought process is pending on what happens toDay yet.
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Says he’s willing to lynch Legate today and sort it out later but it will depend on the rest of the Day… even though the day before he warned us of this exact thing.
Quote:
Originally Posted by McCaber
Well, I'm back. And toDay has certainly been more interesting than I originally wanted. We have Legate arguing his innocence, and ... just about everyone but Legate wanting to lynch him.
Right now I'm not prepared to argue either way, but I'll stay connected and think about what this shows about the "everyone but Legate" crowd.
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The bolded part is notable… not sure why he didn’t want the Day to be interesting. He seems not sure whether or not to join against
Legate.
Quote:
Originally Posted by McCaber
Well, I am forced away beyond my control. A hurried vote to guard
++ Nogrod
mostly because he's been making a lot of sense, and I'd rather see him alive.
I cannot in good conscience vote Legate after I made a point yesterDay on what to do in this exact circumstance. So this right now is more of a look of suspicion than anything else:
[lynch vote]++ Inziladun[/lynch vote]
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This makes a little bit more sense considering how he did warn us of the possible wolf trap for lynching
Legate… but earlier in the day it seemed like he was feeling out how everyone would react to
Legate before voting him. I don’t know but it seems like he is trying to stay out of the wagon and then voting for wolf. Both of these things could be done by a wolf.
Quote:
Originally Posted by McCaber
Well, all that I can say is that I was right. The guarding was an extremely easy tactic for the wolves to manipulate. In fact, I would not be surprised if the Legate lynch was largely driven by the wolves to see how much they could get away with.
Considering how wide the margin was in favor of Legate, I can even see all four wolves voting him. I mean, Nilp and I were the only ones who didn't, and I'm having a hard time seeing a wolf in him.
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It is actually highly possible that one of the non-
Legate voters is a wolf because they would know
Legate was innocent and want to be able to claim innocence later.
Quote:
Originally Posted by McCaber
Well, I'm here, but I don't know for how long. Man, this is just not working with my schedule so far.
I am glad that Nogrod seems innocent, and no one is considering lynching him just because of the one kill. One thing that comes to mind is that the pack must want to draw the game out, rather than use the two kills to achieve a faster victory. Maybe it speaks of (over)confident wolves, or maybe of submarines who blend into the background.
And I will say that I still think The Plan was a bad idea. A revealed Seer is vulnerable, and we would have no real way of testing the veracity of such a claim.
EDIT: crossed with Brinn
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I’m not really sure why he brought up The Plan again. This was Day Three and it hadn’t been talked about in a while… really random.
Quote:
Originally Posted by McCaber
So it seems that the modfire+no kill was a one-time thing. Ah well.
Hakon is doing his level best to appear suspicious, while Pitchwife is doing the exact opposite. He's taking actions which look suspicious, but he explains himself well and seems genuine. I know, a rather simple analysis, but it works for me.
I am wary of joining the Hakon wagon, just because his actions scream "cobbler" or "confused" much more than wolf. Although, a wolf hiding in plain sight like that is possible, it's just not the read I'm getting.
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Even after this analysis I’m still confused by McCaber. He bears close watching though.