Wait!
I checked the rules.
Durelin's pick might have been the bear (or the cobbler?) and she would still have died alone.
So, in fact, the bear who killed her needed not have been worried about dying in the process of eliminating her. In which case, there's no point in speculating who would have dared to kill her and who not. And even if we managed to figure out her pick, they could still be the bear or the cobbler.
Darn it.
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Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer
Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
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