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Old 05-29-2009, 10:00 PM   #801
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Inzil
As I see it, it might also narrow the field enough for the Hunter to be easily picked off during the Night, with a decent chance still of missing a wolf. It might be advisable to hold off another day, when the choices have narrowed a bit. Could be a calculated risk though.
But do we want to risk the chance that we'll vote for Gretel and kill her?

Or what happens if we vote for her, she reveals to save herself, then we recast our votes for someone else and whoops, it's the Hunter! Or it could happen the other way around of course. The fact is, last minute reveals to save your skin can often lead to bad things. We saw what happened when Izzy revealed at the last moment. If she would've come out hours before and said, "I'm the Ranger and I know for a fact Fea is a baddie" we never would've had any of that mess.

Not only does Gretel help us vote today, and help the Hunter choose tonight, but Hansel can be sure to not use his power on her and take her vote away. Don't forget about the votes, people. Hansel and Gretel can add/subtract votes, and the more people we have revealed the better their chances of doing some good with their powers.

And you really think the baddies will take a blind shot at the Hunter with Hansel and Gretel revealed? No, no- their voting power along with their clear innocence is far too great for the baddies to risk leaving them alive on a chance they may hit the Hunter, especially seeing as a successful Hunter pick might lead to them dying as well.

In addition, waiting until tomorrow might allow one of the baddies time to set up a reveal of their own.

And don't forget this point- what if we're well on our way towards lynching a baddie today, and then they say, "No, I'm Gretel" near the deadline and we believe them and spare them? If Gretel would go ahead and step out now then the Baddies would have absolutely NO roles to hide behind. We know Hansel, we would know Gretel, and it's not viable to reveal as the Hunter, for the real Hunter can just challenge the claim and knows exactly who to hunt then AND more likely than that has some way to prove who they are (judging by Mira's talk of a coded message).

Anyway.... that's what I think.
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