Tol-in-Gaurhoth CXV: On the Borders of Mirkwood - Dead Thread

[Loslote]

Looks like Rikae picked up on my being way too certain about Huin, which probably means they aren't a wolf OR the Ranger or BH. Kath claims she didn't notice anything, which might be kind of suspicious or might just mean she's not in a Seer-hunting frame of mind.

[Loslote]

Hmm. Maybe he's playing in an older style, but I don't like Form actively talking about people giving off "Gifted/Wolf" vibes. Also, the way he talked about Kath and Pitch felt to me like wolf-on-wolf with bonus implicating an innocent, where Pitch is the innocent he's tying packmate Kath to. Feeling less good about Form.

[Loslote]

Originally Posted by Brinniel

If I were to guess, the wolves picked Lottie because they thought she was a seer who dreamt of Hui.

THANK YOU. I don't know how no one else figured that one out.

[Huinesoron]

Here's something I don't like at all:

Originally Posted by "Form"

The flip-flop on me mid-post, resulting in his vote for me, was weird, but the real value there is in how it got leapt on and became the driving factor for his lynching.

Only one person actually voted for me because of that overly-contracted post: Nog. Rikae and Kath both seem to have been acting on their earlier suspicions. So why is Form trying to pin the blame on my final post?

Also this from earlier in the same post:

Originally Posted by "Form"

My records of who mentioned/quoted seem a bit less useful here, since he turned out to be ordinary

I turned out to be ordinary... unlike... you, Lottie? Because he just got done comparing the same information for you. That really looks like a non--removed line from a pre-written post analysing you as the Seer.

Originally Posted by "Lottie"

THANK YOU. I don't know how no one else figured that one out

I like the general point Brinn makes that Seers get innocent reads more often than guilty ones. Since the wolves probably killed you for an innocent 'read', it's in their interests to keep people thinking you had a wolf down. That maybe clears Legate? I think it also makes Brinn look pretty good that they said it.

I'm still not overly keen on Brinn's vote, but that's the only thing I'm worried over, and as Mac pointed out, it's easy to lose track of the count.

hS

[Huinesoron]

Nilp at #230 seems to be either arguing that you're not the Seer, or that the Wolves couldn't have thought you were the Seer, or that the Wolves were stupid for thinking you were. I'm really not sure where he's aiming with this.

hS

[Huinesoron]

Greenie and Pitch have the same reasoning as me re Nog and Kath. As usual, being agreed with makes me very suspicious.

And Form wandered off down a weird blind alley where you could be the Cobbler and ???somehow??? this speculation is useful. He weirdly doesn't mention the Dead Thread, which is the only place the idea could be of any use.

Also, my memory of the rules discussion is that we touched on no roles being revealed, but never on just the Cobbler not being revealed, which makes this a really odd idea to get.

hS

[Huinesoron]

I would be happy to Mediumize either Rikae or Brinniel today. If you've got a different suggestion, I'm willing to be convinced.

hS