WW LXXIX: Fall From Olympus

[the phantom]

Well, one lover down, one Seer down.

I'm surprised at two things. First, that Boro said "seer" three times in his opening post, as well as used the words "see", "watch", and "glasses". I know Boro is bold and likes baiting the other side, but that's a bit much even for him. My leading suspicion of why he would make such remarks was that he was the lone Ordo and thought maybe he could attract a kill or better yet a Ranger save, or that he was cursed and wished to be turned.

The second thing that surprises me is that the Wolves did indeed shoot for him. Personally I would have been mighty paranoid that I was being tricked by old Boro.

Next question- which Seer was he, and who did he think had which role?

It's quite obvious that the beginning of his first post is full of hints (all of those buzzwords), and now we know that he wasn't kidding. But as far as naming his actual dream, the first post doesn't appear to fit the bill. The only player mentioned in the post is me, and he is quite noncommital with his placement of my loyalties-

Originally Posted by Boro

One thing I am quite certain of is phantom will come up with a plan that will best achieve victory for whoever he's allied with, be it wolves, lover, or the great Zeus.

If he be allied with the wolves, we will all object to his plan because we don't want to admit it's a good plan, and proceed to lynch one of the seers.

If he be allied with a lover, we will all object to his plan, because we don't want to admit it's a good plan, and proceed to lynch one of the seers.

If he be allied with the almighty Zeus, we will all object to his plan....oh you get the idea.

Best just go with what he counsels unless it's, "lynch the seer."

So, he says that I could be on the side of the WWs, on the side of the Lovers, or on the side of Zeus. The fact that Zeus is redundant he explained later-

Originally Posted by Boro

As for my Zeus remarks, I legit figured since he is my ultimate God of Gods (and sans the Disney version reviled the wench Hera) he was a defacto good guy. Wasn't thinking that indepth at 5:30 AM when I have important deliveries to run.

So what he was meaning was that I was either with the WWs, with the Lovers, or with the Village. Not particularly pointing in any direction. And in case it wasn't clear enough, later he said this-

Originally Posted by Boro

Zeus has absolutely nothing to do with those intentions, you're looking at the wrong part.

Which to me says that the main bit we are supposed to take away from that first post is simply "Hey guys, I'm the Seer", and that the role and alignment talk was meaningless.

So moving onto other posts, does he give anything definitive? He mentions several people in a post a bit later, giving various levels of innocence and suspicion. The one who looks the most innocent is Nog-

Originally Posted by Boro

I've got a fairly good feeling about Nog

Not terribly convincing I would say, but better than anything else in that post.

But then he makes a post later directed at Mira (aka Keeper) saying this-

Originally Posted by Boro

Rest assured you still know me quite well, thanks dear. Now, if I know you well, hopefully you read this ere the night ends, and hopefully it doesn't confuse you. Don't hestitate to pick me, sorry for any trouble, I gotta know.

Um... what? I have no clue what he's saying there, but it looks like he's up to something or other. Any thoughts Mira?

And finally there is his vote, which is the most definite negative thing he says about someone-

Originally Posted by Boro

I said Blind was about a 5 on the scale of 1 to 10. Eonwe's looking like a "neg" 4, so

++ Eonwe

All in all I'd have to say this is the best I can come up with for his dream choice, because earlier speaking to BG he said this-

Originally Posted by Boro

Anyone who's not a wolf, who dies will probably hurt us ya know. I can say the same about myself, the question in this will be the degree of hurt. Cus right now I'd venture to guess that on a scale of 1 to 10...if I were theoretically up to be lynched, and I was, it would probably hurt the village about a 7. You, I'm pegging at a 5 so far.

So, he defines his scale and says that anyone other than a WW would rate some level of hurt on the scale, and then when he votes against Eonwe he rates him at a negative four, meaning that it would not hurt us to lose him.

So, given those two facts-
1) Losing anyone other than a WW would rate somewhere 1 to 10
2) Losing Eonwe would NOT rate somewhere 1 to 10

Eonwe = Wolf

So, in the end, that's my best guess at his Seer dream. But of course we don't know if he's the real Seer or not.

[the phantom]

There. I've done my Boro read-through. Now can I finally go to bed?

[Nerwen]

20/20 hindsight says this was a hint to Hephaestus:

Originally Posted by Aphrodite, Goddess of Love and Beauty

I've drinken and I'm not 16. It's where I get my good looks from. Though I'm not French. Though I wouldn't drink that much, true. Dionyses doesn't have a lover. So is Eönwë hinting that he's Dionyses?

Question is, did Hephaestus pick it up?

Originally Posted by the phantom

Well, one lover down, one Seer down.

I'm surprised at two things. First, that Boro said "seer" three times in his opening post, as well as used the words "see", "watch", and "glasses". I know Boro is bold and likes baiting the other side, but that's a bit much even for him. My leading suspicion of why he would make such remarks was that he was the lone Ordo and thought maybe he could attract a kill or better yet a Ranger save, or that he was cursed and wished to be turned.

The second thing that surprises me is that the Wolves did indeed shoot for him. Personally I would have been mighty paranoid that I was being tricked by old Boro.

Maybe that's it: he hoped to double-bluff them into thinking "Oh, it's just Boro pulling our legs, as usual".

Alternatively, he might have been very confident of being protected last Night. You'd think he'd be afraid the Ranger and Hunting Guardian would assume he was bluffing too– as was the case, it seems.

Originally Posted by the phantom

But then he makes a post later directed at Mira (aka Keeper) saying this-

Um... what? I have no clue what he's saying there, but it looks like he's up to something or other. Any thoughts Mira?

Well, since you've drawn attention to it: it looks like he thought she had one of the protective roles– but if so, why put her in jeopardy like that? Or was he hoping to trick the wolves into thinking he was indeed a hinting Lover?

Originally Posted by the phantom

And finally there is his vote, which is the most definite negative thing he says about someone-

All in all I'd have to say this is the best I can come up with for his dream choice, because earlier speaking to BG he said this-

So, he defines his scale and says that anyone other than a WW would rate some level of hurt on the scale, and then when he votes against Eonwe he rates him at a negative four, meaning that it would not hurt us to lose him.

So, given those two facts-
1) Losing anyone other than a WW would rate somewhere 1 to 10
2) Losing Eonwe would NOT rate somewhere 1 to 10

Eonwe = Wolf

So, in the end, that's my best guess at his Seer dream. But of course we don't know if he's the real Seer or not.

He might have been simply talking about the Eonwe-Dionysus business.
The fact that the wolves went ahead and killed him doesn't look too good for Steve, however. (Although, I suppose it could also point to wolves who haven't played with Boro much before, and just took his double-bluff, if that's what it was, at face value.)

[Eönwë]

Originally Posted by the phantom

Eonwe = Wolf

So, in the end, that's my best guess at his Seer dream.

If this is true, then I have good news for the village: the True Seer is still alive. And if this is the case, we now we have the same situation as usual, which is good. But if I wasn't his Night 1 dream (which seems more likely to me), the remaining Seer may be false. But at least now they have time to come out openly about it. Of course, it may be complicated if the Mythomaniac chose to take Boro's role, because that would mean that we're in the same situation as before, with one true and one false Seer.

Originally Posted by Nerwen

Well, since you've drawn attention to it: it looks like he thought she had one of the protective roles– but if so, why put her in jeopardy like that? Or was he hoping to trick the wolves into thinking he was indeed a hinting Lover?

It doesn't actually matter. Whatever role she has (other than hunter), picking him would benefit the village.

Originally Posted by Nerwen

He might have been simply talking about the Eonwe-Dionysus business.
The fact that the wolves went ahead and killed him doesn't look too good for Steve, however.

So, are you saying that as a wolf you'd rather kill the seer than leave one of your own to get killed so early on?

Because Boro basically voted for me for no reason, so obviously if the wolves killed him it would point straight to me. Wouldn't that be more than a little risky?

Originally Posted by satansaloser2005

Also, here's a question (that I'll copy paste over to the admin thread). Let's say Boro was the true seer. Let's also say that Agan (picking her for obvious reasons, since she's not playing or anything) is the false seer. Mytho Mith (again, same reason) picks Agan. Does she become the false seer or another true seer? I assume the former, but that's not really fair to the village.

Are you thinking what I'm thinking?

edit: x-ed with after Sally's first.

[A Little Green]

Whoa. I kind of like coming here with a lot to say.. I'll start with Boro. Phantom's theory is interesting. The first thing that popped into my mind upon finding out that Boro was one of the Seers was that he dreamed Phantom was Hera. Why? I figured that "allied to the almighty Zeus" or however he phrased it would mean Hera, and he was talking about phantom at the time. (And please folks, don't club me in the head for thinking too simply. Not yet, at least.) But why would a Boroseer who has found a wolf a) make such obvious references to being a Seer and still b) leave such vague but obvious hints as to who the wolf is? Now if phantom indeed is Hera, the wolves will have spotted that immediately and done off with Boro (who they pretty much have now pinned down as the real Seer). But the thing is, Boro will have known this would happen if he makes such blatant hints and happens to be in fact the real Seer. So I'm thinking - maybe he did that on purpose, to see if the wolves attacked him - because if (or rather, when) they did, it would almost prove that they caught his hint, ergo phantom is proven to be a wolf.

Now, my theory, obviously, has a couple of flaws. The first and most obvious one is that Boro could have been the false seer (who still did the same or some different scheme), and the wolves just picked on the Seer hints. The second flaw is that I have no way of knowing exactly what Boro had in mind and could be way off the wall with this entire thing. Just something to think about. (I'm not even sure if I managed to write it in a way that makes the slightest bit of sense..)

I'll be back with some thoughts on yesterDay.


EDIT: x-ed with Nerwen

[Lalaith]

Interesting ideas about Boro. I missed the Mira/Keeper comment that phantom picked up on, it's ambiguous to say the least. As for my thoughts - reading over the thread yesterday, I thought I had picked up on Hunter hints from Boro.

Wilwa and Mac know better, if they're wolves to try and pick a fight and lynch me this early, because they know I wouldn't go down easily and in the veyr least if I died they would follow. Wilwa I like slightly more than Greenie in all of it.

In hindsight, it is of course good Seer tactics to pretend to be a Hunter. But would any of the above-named, if indeed they were wolves, seemingly being threatened, have risked a Boro kill?

[Nerwen]

Originally Posted by Lalaith

In hindsight, it is of course good Seer tactics to pretend to be a Hunter. But would any of the above-named, if indeed they were wolves, seemingly being threatened, have risked a Boro kill?

Yes, it's an interesting little knot. Normally, you'd think the wolves would be safe in assuming it was a bluff– but then it seems they took his equally blatant Seer-hints seriously.

EDIT:X'd with Greenie.

[A Little Green]

Now, the Eonwe-Dionysus-thing bothered me. For the first thing, I think people (namely Nog and Lottie, but also others) were/are over-eager to pin him down as Dionysus, based on arguments that don't hold water. Like Eonwe himself pointed out, the cursed is on the village's side until they are turned, ie. they should have no reason whatsoever to hint at the wolves in the first place, let alone as openly as Eonwe did if you read his posts as hints.

Originally Posted by Nog

And if the one knew it beforehand there would be no problem with the spirit of the game as the problem is in the rules...

I totally disagree with this, but I think we're slipping to general rules discussion again if I start ranting about it.. Just to be fair, though, I might not agree with Nog's logic but I don't agree with Eonwe's, either:

Originally Posted by Eonwe

Much too obvious, as I said. And because he's sticking to this so much, maybe Nogrod's a wolf who's trying to double-bluff by suggesting that I'm the Cursed so that if it turns out that I am, he could seem like he was trying to help the village, while totally distancing himself from the wolves (who would probably try to keep it quiet). In fact, maybe this whole thing is something Nogrod decided to latch onto because doing this would make him seem so un-wolvish.

I wouldn't pin Nog down as wolvish, but rather as staying up way too late. He was behaving in an illogical way and pursuing the Eonwe thing way too much, but I'm not convinced it points to furriness. Eonwe's jump on him is understandable but I'm not sure about the validity of the argument. I'll rant some more on Nogrod in posts to come, I think.

As for Eonwe being a wolf Boroseer hinted at - I'm not sure. Could be, of course, but he doesn't strike me as particularly suspicious. Of course Boro could have hinted at him and just been the false Seer, or then he was the real Seer, dreamed of Eonwe, and I'm off my rocker. Argh. I could reread Eonwe I suppose, but then again, if I have the time to reread someone I'd prefer to try someone who escapes the genreal notice and isn't talked about all that much.

A rant about the voting yesterDay coming up!


EDIT: x-ed with Lalaith

[A Little Green]

Since no one has done this yet, here's the total voting tally from yesterDay.

Folwren --> Eonwe
Greenie --> Mac
Kath --> BeiGei
Lalaith --> Boro
Zil --> BeiGei 2
Nienna --> Eonwe 2
Sally --> BeiGei 3
Nog --> Nerwen
Wilwa --> BeiGei 4
Mira --> BeiGei 5
Rikae --> the phantom
Mc --> Nerwen 2
BeiGei --> Zil
Shasta --> Eonwe 3
Lottie --> Eonwe 4
Tum --> BeiGei 6
Boro --> Eonwe 5
Eonwe --> BeiGei 7
Nerwen --> Nogrod

My thoughts? Two bandwagons, neither of which was actually based on who people find wolvish. (The main argument against BG, from what I saw, was that she doesn't participate, against Eonwe that people think he is the cursed.) I don't like that at all. I mean, what's wrong with the good old practise of lynching people we think might be wolves? Another thing I'll do if I have time: look through all the voting posts and check the reasons behind the votes. Not all BG voters voted her because they didn't approve of her style, and not all Eonwe voters voted him because they thought he was Dionysus. Also, there was some fishy stuff in the non-bandwagonish votes too.


EDIT: x-ed with Nerwen and phantom

[A Little Green]

Originally Posted by phantom

Greenie- your theory about Boro pointing to me as Hera has two major flaws.

I'll start with the obvious one- I'm not Hera. Now, you may say he is the false Seer and spotted me as Hera, or that I am lying, but that's where flaw number two comes in- the flaw that is the most obvious and provable to the rest of the village-

Boro himself negated the idea.

Boro made a point of saying that his "allied with Zeus" comment was a mistake (he had thought of Zeus as being allied with the good guys), plus he said later not to bother looking at the "Zeus" parts of his statement, as those parts were not important to his intentions.

I gave those quotes and examined them in my first post today if you'd like to read them.

Weren't you supposed to go to bed?

I did read those quotes. But 1) I stated, quite clearly I think, that the theory was "The first thing that popped into my mind upon finding out that Boro was one of the Seers", and at that point I didn't remember those quotes (and even after reading them I wanted to share what my initial thought was) 2) I'm not entirely convinced that he couldn't have negated the idea because of some scheme or other, 3) having once in my life created a theory of some kind I wanted to share it , 4) I thought the way you nicely skipped the idea that Boro was hinting at you was fishy, and 5) I wanted to see how you react to me presenting such a theory. Enough?


EDIT: x-ed with Nerwen

[A Little Green]

Just to finish commenting on stuff people said yesterDay after I went to sleep.

Originally Posted by Nog, about Nerwen

Also, if she is a wolf I doubt Rikae or/and Mac is one. And that would give us one or two people we could more or less trust, at least in the first Days.

Could you explain this? I don't follow your logic I'm afraid.

Originally Posted by Lottie

I really want Tum lynched; I'm fairly sure she's a wolf.

Originally Posted by Lottie

I want Mac lynched; he seems furry.

Do you have reasons for these, or are they just gut-feelings? The following is what I found for your suspicion of Mac:

Originally Posted by Lottie

Mac - feels slightly off in all his posts, and isn't really making many helpful posts. Might vote for him.

I don't like that logic (insofar as saying someone is "feeling slightly off" includes a logic), especially as I think it appeared only after I voiced some suspicion about Mac. The same goes for Nog, actually - the way he jumped on my suspicion of Mac was fishy and quite uncharacteristical of him. (Usually he doesn't trust a word I say!) It made me think worse of him and better of Mac, actually.


EDIT: x-ed with phantom and 2x Lal

[the phantom]

Quickly, on the voting-

BG was too obvious a target to lynch on Day 1 to actually hold it against anyone who did it. If it weren't for the fact that I'd never played with her before I imagine I would've voted that direction too. I mean, it was Day 1 after all. You know- the day that everyone complains is random. If you have a chance to off a player that is playing in a way that you feel won't help the village, Day 1 is the perfect time for it.

That isn't to say those voters are off my list of suspicion, just that the vote itself will not tip the scales in my book.

Unless I am correct about Boro dreaming Eonwe as a WW, in which case I would say Tum's vote is the one that might stand out (but obviously we would not want to lynch her on those grounds before deciding whether or not Steve is guilty).

[the phantom]

Originally Posted by Greenie

Weren't you supposed to go to bed?

Unfortunately I screwed myself up a bit to stay up to the deadline, and I guess I did too good a job. Bleh. I'm going to regret these hours tomorrow.

Originally Posted by Greenie

I thought the way you nicely skipped the idea that Boro was hinting at you was fishy

Up until this comment you were doing just fine, but this statement makes me suspect you're pushing a bit.

How can you possibly say I SKIPPED it when I fully examined his first post and his mention of me right from the beginning? Did you read my post? I said quite clearly that it was time to examine who he dreamed of, and stated that I am the only person mentioned in his first post, and then proceeded to quote his first post as well as two other statements he made regarding that post. I did not skip his mention of me. Not by a long shot, and you implying that I did seems like you're just trying to stir something up.

The fact is, given what he said in the post and his explanations about the post later he was definitely not giving a remotely clear idea of affiliation, and so I said so and moved on.

In a later post he mentions you, saying, "Greenie looks more or less ok". That statement I actually did skip. Why aren't you accusing me of skipping that quote?

Originally Posted by Lalaith

Ah, Phantom is still here, sorry for implying you were European.

It's okay. It's slightly better than being called a Canadian.

[Lalaith]

Is it just Europeans around right now?
Greenie, like you I was unimpressed by the BG voters - to me she was newbie-ish, not wolf-ish - but but there were seven of them and they can't all be wolves. It was an easy first-day option for innocents and wolves alike, I guess. The Eonwe bandwaggon I have more sympathy with, as there was some reasoning behind it.

My own rationale for voting Boro was that I thought that something was up with him, he was trying to attract attention to himself. For want of any better ideas about anyone else, I wanted to see if anyone would defend him. (His Hunteresque comment came after I went to bed)

Reading through the thread, I am finding Mac, Wilwa, Loslote and Nogrod (before it got too late, that is...!) looking helpful.
I am finding Keeper/Mira, Sally and autume rather strange.

In other news, I think these 7am (GMT) deadlines are going to be difficult for the handful of us on this side of the Atlantic. Most of the discussion/events of the Day seem to happen after we vote and go to bed...

[Lalaith]

Ah, Phantom is still here, sorry for implying you were European.

[the phantom]

Greenie- your theory about Boro pointing to me as Hera has two major flaws.

I'll start with the obvious one- I'm not Hera. Now, you may say he is the false Seer and spotted me as Hera, or that I am lying, but that's where flaw number two comes in- the flaw that is the most obvious and provable to the rest of the village-

Boro himself negated the idea.

Boro made a point of saying that his "allied with Zeus" comment was a mistake (he had thought of Zeus as being allied with the good guys), plus he said later not to bother looking at the "Zeus" parts of his statement, as those parts were not important to his intentions.

I gave those quotes and examined them in my first post today if you'd like to read them.

[Nerwen]

Originally Posted by A Little Green

Phantom's theory is interesting. The first thing that popped into my mind upon finding out that Boro was one of the Seers was that he dreamed Phantom was Hera. Why? I figured that "allied to the almighty Zeus" or however he phrased it would mean Hera, and he was talking about phantom at the time. (And please folks, don't club me in the head for thinking too simply. Not yet, at least.) But why would a Boroseer who has found a wolf a) make such obvious references to being a Seer and still b) leave such vague but obvious hints as to who the wolf is? Now if phantom indeed is Hera, the wolves will have spotted that immediately and done off with Boro (who they pretty much have now pinned down as the real Seer). But the thing is, Boro will have known this would happen if he makes such blatant hints and happens to be in fact the real Seer. So I'm thinking - maybe he did that on purpose, to see if the wolves attacked him - because if (or rather, when) they did, it would almost prove that they caught his hint, ergo phantom is proven to be a wolf.

I hadn't thought of that. It might explain Boro's odd phrasing, with all three "alliances" being basically the same thing.

However, against the possibility of Boro's having dreamed a wolf at all is this:

If you're the Seer, and you want to know whether you're the genuine article, you can find out by the death of someone you dreamed. Yes, there's a possibility you might still be the False Seer, right by chance, but that's very small at this stage. (It increases as the village shrinks, but that's all the more reason to get cracking). Therefore, if you dreamed a baddie, it makes sense for you to push hard for his-or-her lynching. Now, Boro made no real effort to get the phantom, or indeed anyone, lynched (his comments on Steve came very late in the Day). Therefore I should say that he probably didn't dream a wolf.

...Except that I so far haven't come up with any satisfying explanation for what Boro did yesterDay. So maybe I shouldn't be counting on him making sense, according to my lights.

EDIT:X'd since last post; added comment.

[Keeper of Dol Guldur]

Originally Posted by Boro

Rest assured you still know me quite well, thanks dear. Now, if I know you well, hopefully you read this ere the night ends, and hopefully it doesn't confuse you. Don't hestitate to pick me, sorry for any trouble, I gotta know.

Originally Posted by the phantom

Um... what? I have no clue what he's saying there, but it looks like he's up to something or other. Any thoughts Mira?

I somehow completely missed this.

Well as far as not confusing me, he did an awful job. As for the "ere the night ends" bit, if I didn't know any better I'd suspect he thought I had a role that would be able to protect him. Unfortunately he overestimated me.

Side note: I haven't actually read anything beyond phantom's Boro post yet. Once I shower and get some food in me I'll finish catching up before work.