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#841 | |||
Wisest of the Noldor
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Besides, Lommy, if I'd been reacting more strongly from the first, are you sure you wouldn't now be saying, "Ooo! Defensive! Clearly a cornered wolf!" Quote:
EDIT:X'd with Lommy and our moddess.
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. Last edited by Nerwen; 04-18-2010 at 02:39 PM. |
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#842 |
Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
Posts: 2,832
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Honestly, I may be biased (considering Nerwen and I are royal consorts
![]() However, I did say the same thing about Sally... bah. I'm also reconsidering whether or not Agan was actually dreamed. Right now I think I'd like to vote Mira, but she hasn't said anything in response to my analysis yet.
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV Last edited by Shastanis Althreduin; 04-18-2010 at 02:35 PM. Reason: X'ed with Nerwen. |
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#843 | |||
Woman of Secret Shadow
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: in hollow halls beneath the fells
Posts: 4,511
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![]() And you can compare me to Nogwolf all you want, but this is how I play. And I know I can be horrible. And if you really are innocent, I'm sorry. Quote:
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As I said, you'll have my sincere apologies after the game if you're innocent. I never tried to annoy you on purpose. However at the moment I'm just rather convinced you're a wolf and I won't have peace until I know for sure so no, I'm not going to back away now.
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He bit me, and I was not gentle. Last edited by Aganzir; 04-18-2010 at 02:40 PM. Reason: xed since Lommy |
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#844 |
Wisest of the Noldor
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Well, you're wrong. That's all I can say.
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
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#845 | |||
Woman of Secret Shadow
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: in hollow halls beneath the fells
Posts: 4,511
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I don't think anyone's really claimed I was dreamed, yeah it's a possibility but I'm not even myself convinced Greenie did it. Quote:
I'm rather stubborn and take the risk of being wrong than change my mind and end up being wrong.
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He bit me, and I was not gentle. |
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#846 | |||
Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: In a far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 8,093
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![]() And no, seeing you angry doesn't definitely make me feel better, but worse, because this is supposed to be a fun game and I don't enjoy seeing anyone I like (regardless how much I suspect or don't suspect them in the current game) feeling bad. Quote:
edit: xed with Aganx2 and Nerwie
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Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
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#847 | |
Wisest of the Noldor
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Quote:
EDIT:X'd since last post.
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
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#848 |
Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: In a far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 8,093
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People in order from the most suspicious-looking to the least suspicious-looking (excluding myself and Lottie)
Nerwen Aganzir Mira Winty Legate Shasta Brinn Skip I'd prefer to vote one of the first two, but then again, I feel like I also have lots of reasons not to vote them (both of their few last posts look unwolvish). I guess I could be talked into voting Mira or Winty, but I would feel really useless if we lynched one of them and they turned out to be innocent. It would feel more of a waste of lynch than lynching innocent Agan or Nerwen, because it's such a shot in the dark. Could you puppies talk a bit more, please? Gah, this will be the most difficult Day vote-wise in this game this far. The previous Days felt much easier. Do you others have any ideas who you're going to vote (except that Agan is going to vote Nerwen ![]()
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Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
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#849 | |
Woman of Secret Shadow
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: in hollow halls beneath the fells
Posts: 4,511
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He bit me, and I was not gentle. Last edited by Aganzir; 04-18-2010 at 03:04 PM. Reason: xed with Lommy |
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#850 |
Woman of Secret Shadow
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: in hollow halls beneath the fells
Posts: 4,511
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I'd rather vote for Nerwen just to be on the safe side but I could vote for Mira too because Shasta did have good points against her... Plus of course I'd like it if my day 1 main suspect turned out a wolf, I wouldn't feel so useless.
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He bit me, and I was not gentle. |
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#851 |
A Voice That Gainsayeth
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: In that far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 7,431
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Okay, I am around, I have been reading but then wasn't around as I was feeling slightly unwell for a while, but I think it should be better now. Anyway, however, I think I will just prefer to vote soon and leave after that. I think I might just as well vote for some of my earlier suspects. I don't really see very much into Agan and Nerwen's dispute, as it starts to be hazy to me and since I am basically unable to follow it, it's all back and forth and not really giving me any contributive evidence for Nerwen or Agan's guilt or innocence. It has reached the stage where it has became totally untransparent.
And after re-reading some things, I don't really think I have that much suspicion for Nerwen based on what she said earlier or stuff like that. She of all people is somebody who could have such a nice voting record as she has even if she were a Wolf, but that is just a thing meaning that she does not need to be innocent because of that, so it's a neutral statement, but not making her guilty. I think the main thing is just something like with Agan, that basically I cannot say when she's a Wolf - but that's about it or a sheer paranoia. Shasta on the other hand has rather bad voting list, which is still the same thing as I said yesterDay. Another option might be Mira, however, I am not so keen on voting her right now given her previous long absence. That'll be it in short. I will probably go through my thoughts on everybody once again and then probably vote soon. EDIT: x-ed with Nerwen, Lommy and Agans
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"Should the story say 'he ate bread,' the dramatic producer can only show 'a piece of bread' according to his taste or fancy, but the hearer of the story will think of bread in general and picture it in some form of his own." -On Fairy-Stories |
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#852 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: CT/NY
Posts: 681
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Sorry about that, dear. Just had a nice romp through downtown Boston rush hour traffic to just barely make my bus. Responses coming.
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Rise and rise again until lambs become lions. |
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#853 |
Woman of Secret Shadow
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: in hollow halls beneath the fells
Posts: 4,511
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I'd like to go to sleep so I'm just going to vote now...
++Nerwen I suspect her the most. But regardless of your role, or mine, I'm sorry to have upset you. ![]() Oh and if somebody doesn't have anything to do (gah why did I remember this only now when I was thinking of it right before coming online?) they might go and see if they can draw any conclusions from Lommy's posts about Glirdy & sally's interactions with us and my post about Nog's...
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He bit me, and I was not gentle. |
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#854 | |
Wisest of the Noldor
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Quote:
![]() Besides, I'd rather have been spending this time looking for the fourth wolf. We've done so well– I don't want this to be one of those games where the village triumphs in the early days, then gets lazy and lynches people semi-randomly "because we can afford to"... and in the end the wolves win. And– apart from our known innocent, the make-up of the village is: several elite players, any of whom could pull off a lone-wolf victory, two complete newbies who are hard to read for that reason, and Mira who just pops up and says "hi guys" at random intervals. Add to that the fact that we don't know how many wolves we have... yeah, we could still manage to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. I've seen it before. EDIT:X'd since my last post.
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
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#855 | |
Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: In a far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 8,093
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Quote:
![]() edit: xed with Nerrr
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Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
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#856 |
Reflection of Darkness
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Polishing the stars. Well, somebody has to do it; they're looking a little bit dull.
Posts: 2,983
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I'm still suspicious of Nerwen. The way she analysed Glirdan and Nog on Days 3 and 4 just cry out wolfish to me. I don't feel quite as forceful about it toDay, but I still can't shake off the nagging feeling that she is a wolf. And while I'd feel bad if she really were innocent, if we lynched Nerwen, at least I wouldn't have to keep worrying about her.
My decision to vote Nerwen isn't set in stone, and I will have a quick look at others. But today it's more important I get going on my schoolwork so I don't have much time for analysing, and at this very moment Nerwen is my best choice for lynching. I will be around probably until deadline, but it'll be in and out from breaks working on my project, so don't expect heavy substance from me. EDIT: X-ed with a few posts above
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Nolite te bastardes carborundorum |
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#857 | |
Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: In a far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 8,093
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Okay, good, now you gave me the resolve to check Agan&my wolf analyses combined. ![]() edit: xed with Brinnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnn
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Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
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#858 | ||
Wisest of the Noldor
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Quote:
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EDIT:X'd since last post.
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
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#859 | ||||||
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: CT/NY
Posts: 681
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In response to Shasta
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[quote]#798 - This was the quote that prompted this analysis in the first place. It seems awfully quick to dismiss the fact of a Cursed change altogether, and that really bothers me.[quote] I didn't dismiss it (intentionally, at least though I can see where you would get that impression), I just think a Ranger save is more likely. The entire game has gone by without the Ranger successfully saving someone; it was bound to happen eventually. However, the likelihood of the cursed being turned is just as likely. Did I miss anything?
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Rise and rise again until lambs become lions. Last edited by Mirandir; 04-18-2010 at 03:31 PM. Reason: xed since my last |
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#860 | ||
shadow of a doubt
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Back on the streets
Posts: 1,125
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![]() Btw, this losing her temper-scheme Nerwen is up to just screams cornered wolf. (irony indended ![]() Quote:
Thing is, what made me react at first was how you on Day one made it seem like dumping the retractable is a good demonstration of ones honest intentions and succinctly got rid of yours. Sally quickly followed your lead. It almost seems like you are constructing some kind of defence or divergence, to take suspicion away from you and upon the people with the option to retract intact.
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"You can always come back, but you can't come back all the way" ~ Bob Dylan |
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#861 | ||
Reflection of Darkness
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Polishing the stars. Well, somebody has to do it; they're looking a little bit dull.
Posts: 2,983
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![]() (Sorry, I really should get back on topic...more from me in little bit.)
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Nolite te bastardes carborundorum |
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#862 | |
Reflection of Darkness
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Polishing the stars. Well, somebody has to do it; they're looking a little bit dull.
Posts: 2,983
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So basically, I'm saying we should simply disregard player emotions when it comes to figuring out roles. It could be real, it could be fake...it could be completely genuine and still go either way.
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Nolite te bastardes carborundorum |
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#863 |
shadow of a doubt
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Back on the streets
Posts: 1,125
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Got to go to bed now. Have had a very hard time deciding and frankly, what tipped the scales was probably Nerwen's little rant there. It would just be too brilliant if she was a wolf and made that defence, and I can't help wanting to find out.
++Nerwen
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"You can always come back, but you can't come back all the way" ~ Bob Dylan |
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#864 |
Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: In a far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 8,093
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First off, links.
My analyses of interactions with Sally and Glirdy. My conclusions. Agan's analysis of interactions with Nogrod. Her conclusions. I'm counting Agan as a likely fellow of Nogrod (they were mostly nice to each other, some suspicion here and there and she voted him on Day4 making quite a 180 degree turn which would've been a convenient before-hand planned wolf-on-wolf), making Skip an unlikely Nog-fellow (the chances of Wolfgrod telling his newbie fellow to vote him are just too high to be ignored) and excluding myself of the list. I'll give people + and - as for likely or unlikely fellowness and 0s for neutrality. Nerwen 0 Sally 0 Glirdy + Nog Winty 0 Sally - Glirdy 0 Nog Mira 0 Sally 0 Glirdy 0 Nog Agan 0 Sally + Glirdy + Nog Shasta - Sally + Glirdy - Nog Legate 0 Sally + Glirdy 0 Nog Skip + Sally 0 Glirdy - Nog Brinn + Sally 0 Glirdy - Nog So, wolf points 2 Agan 1 Nerwen Legate 0 Mira Skip Brinn -1 Winty Shasta Now, I would be extremely cautious in trusting this kind of list because it's an articifial classification based on various articifial classifications based on subjective conclusions based on subjective phrasings of events. The only conclusions that I dare concretely make is that since Winty seemed unlikely fellow with Glirdy and Shasta seemed unlikely fellow with Sally and Nog (but likely with Glirdy) I may feel a bit better about them. But there's really not much making difference between those who have 0, 1 or 2 wolf points, although I have to say I'm quite surprised to see Agan have the most points alone. edit: xed with skips and Brinns
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Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
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#865 |
Dead Serious
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Dear WWers:
I am not playing. I do not know the first thing about this game, except Wilwa is modding, and she's a dear. I do, however, have a message to pass on from on Mirandir, whose bus-internet is super-terrible. I quote: I'm trying to play WW but the internet on the bus is shoddy and decided it didn't want to let me view pages on the downs in a timely manner I was going to go through Lommy's posts regarding Glirdan and Sally's interactions as per Agan's request but currently find myself unable. Could you just post something in the game thread to that effect for me please? I was just there so it looks mighty suspicious that I disappeared. Oh, stick something in there about how I'll do it when i get home in ish 2 hours, definitely within 3. Dinner might happen in there Yours respectfully, Formendacil
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I prefer history, true or feigned.
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#866 |
Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: In a far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 8,093
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If the options were Nerwen and Agan, I would have hard time deciding.
But if the option for a Nerwen-lynch is lynching Shasta or Skip, or even Mira, I will really have to vote Nerwen. Nerwen, if you're innocent, I vote you and you get lynched, you may comfort yourself with the thought that I will go after Agan next (provided that I survive the Night). PS. I think that Nerwen's frustration is genuine, but it doesn't tell us anything about her role (sadly). edit: xed with Form *gasp*
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Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
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#867 | ||
Fluttering Enchantment
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Comme une étoile amarante Comme un papillon de nuit C'est la lumière qui m'attire La flamme qui m'éblouit Fenris Muffin
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#868 |
shadow of a doubt
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Back on the streets
Posts: 1,125
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Actually, I've changed my mind.
That vote on Nerwen was rather frivolous actually, not that it would be my first. The person I really think is the likeliest wolf at this point is actually Aganzir, come to think of it. This is based on voting behaviour, general attitude towards people and the contrived dumping the retraction-argument. I'm using mine now: --Nerwen ++Agan
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"You can always come back, but you can't come back all the way" ~ Bob Dylan |
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#869 | ||
Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: In a far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 8,093
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Quote:
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![]() edit: xed with Skip
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Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
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#870 |
Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: In a far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 8,093
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Wow that was pretty drastic... now I really wonder... (not about Skip though!)
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Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
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#871 |
Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
Posts: 2,832
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Well. Boo. Mira responded to most of my points, but just acknowledged a few, too, which makes me ponder. I think I'm going to not vote quite yet and see if she comes back.
If the votes are coming down to Nerwen and Agan, though, that means I've got some re-reading to do... ![]()
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
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#872 |
Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: In a far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 8,093
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Nerwen 2 votes, Aganzir 1? Whichever I vote, I will feel like an idiot if she turns out innocent...
![]() Currently leaning on Aganzir though, not because she seems any more guilty but because she has less votes atm so it'd be more balanced (and more interesting toMorrow in case the game continues). On the other hand, we can take for granted that Nerwen is going to vote Agan so it's kind of 2-2. Hmm...
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Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
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#873 | |||
The Werewolf's Companion
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: The Moon
Posts: 3,021
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![]() Would vote: Legate (he's acting differently toDay than in the past few Days. Maybe because he's sick; maybe because he was Cursed - and he'd definitely fit the profile of past kills.) Mira (has been suspicious and waaaay under the radar.) Might vote: WW (I have no read on him, but if there's a good case made against him...idk) Nerwen (her recent actions look furry.) Skip (I can't read him, either, but he does look a bit too capable.) Would not vote: Brinn (I don't think she's guilty.) Agan (I'm not sure about her exactly, but I don't get furry vibes from her.) Shasta (I have never thought him suspicious and I don't think he was Turned.) To conclude, I want to lynch Legate, would be happy to lynch Mira, and would not be mad if WW, Nerwen, or Skip were lynched. EDIT: xed since Formy
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I have loved the stars too fondly to be fearful of the night. Double Fenris
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#874 |
Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: In a far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 8,093
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Lottie, why are you so sure the cursed was turned last Night?
++Aganzir I'm sorry darling, but you know I hate you to fool me as a wolf. Are you a wolf, then? Not sure, but your horrible track record when it comes to lynching wolves isn't exactly convincing. And I do get creepy vibes from you. I'm especially sorry if Nerwen is the last wolf. But if it comforts you, if you're lynched and innocent, you can take my word that I won't fail to lynch Nerwen on the third time. That being said, I leave this village in your hands, friends. I don't really have a preference over which one we lynch, Agan or Nerwen, I'll be probably after the other one toMorrow (if there is a toMorrow which I can take part to). If someone else dies, though, I'll be quite unhappy. I trust you to make the right choice (whatever it is)... Good night!
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Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
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#875 |
Wisest of the Noldor
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If I go down toDay, I have a request to the village: don't just let it slide. People who voted me will say, "oh, but she looked so evil"– but watch that. I'm pretty sure I haven't, objectively, done anything suspicious. It seems one of those cases where people repeat something until everyone believes it.
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
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#876 | |
The Werewolf's Companion
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: The Moon
Posts: 3,021
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And, following up on the Legate theory, the people Night killed in order were: Boro (not suspected at all and probably a Shirriff [in the wolves' minds at the time]) Izzy (not suspected at all, and thus would be a good new packmate) Greenie (suspected, but gifted) Nienna (not suspected at all, and thus would be a good packmate) So, if we add Legate (not suspected at all, and thus would be a good packmate) We find that he fits perfectly. Also, his behavior has changed overNight. He's currently my top suspect. EDIT: xed with Nerwen
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I have loved the stars too fondly to be fearful of the night. Double Fenris
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#877 |
A Voice That Gainsayeth
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: In that far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 7,431
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Okay, so I have managed to clean my head (also literally), however the situation is basically the same as yesterDay.
So if I get down to elimination method. I am not going to vote Lottie, of course. Lommy now has made me slightly concerned given the emerging anti-Aganzir movement, however the concern is largely stemming from the fear of her being a likely target for a Wolf and thus, likely Cursed, but as there's no evidence of that, none can tell. I don't want to start to suspect Aganzir, because I know that once I will admit the possibility, I will basically have to lynch her, because there is no safety in a game she is in. Also her voting list does not help that much. However, I am trying to resist now and focus on others, as I still believe I have better grounds for suspecting other people. Brinn is in a way a case similar to Nerwen's, of all the people there I find her maybe the least suspicious, though. Now for the harder part. I don't think I have seen WW posting much toDay, I hope it's not like having a under-the-radar newbie WW here. He is a possibility, but then again, there are possibly more suspicious people and I don't like the idea of getting too distracted as I can see once starting to sway from my originally rather clear suspects one can easily go totally into darkness. skip - basically once again, him likely being a Seer dream is the reason not to suspect him, although otherwise he might be a good Wolf - then, however, sort of deserving the credit for being rather unsuspicious. So essentially it comes down to those three again. If Nerwen seems to be the only reasonable option to vote, I might just as well finish what would have been done yesterDay. It is true that knowing her role would be rather relieving. But then again, I feel less decided about it than yesterDay, and maybe seeing more from her now will make me get a fresh better picture of her. Shasta once again does not seem to get much of a support. If Mira does, then I might vote her (even though it would have been better if she posted more, too). EDIT: x-ed since Skip
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"Should the story say 'he ate bread,' the dramatic producer can only show 'a piece of bread' according to his taste or fancy, but the hearer of the story will think of bread in general and picture it in some form of his own." -On Fairy-Stories |
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#878 | |
Wisest of the Noldor
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Try "frustrated". You've never had to defend yourself against Agan, have you Lottie? There's a certain point when it dawns on you that she's never going to accept any counter-argument whatever... EDIT:X'd with Legate and Lottie.
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
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#879 | ||
The Werewolf's Companion
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: The Moon
Posts: 3,021
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I have loved the stars too fondly to be fearful of the night. Double Fenris
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#880 |
Wisest of the Noldor
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Anyway–
++Aganzir This is the second time I've had to vote someone I don't really suspect all that strongly. Or at least, I haven't had time to look through Agan's posts and make an informed opinion on her. But I have to go now, and this time I definitely won't be back before DL. So, good luck. Just remember what I said: we can't afford to get lazy.
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
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