Tol-in-Gaurhoth LXVIII: A Full Moon Over Innsmouth

[Roa_Aoife]

Final thought before I head off to bed:

ToMorrow's kill should tell us a great deal- if they have the ability to kill the seer (because Hakon is the Ranger) I think they will, because even if it all goes bad toDay (we lynch an innocent) that will leave us with 11 players, two of whom we know the identity of, two of whom we know to have a 50/50 chance of being a wolf. Leaving 7 people standing a chance of being a wolf. If Pitch is alive and has dreamed of an innocent, that will leave 6, which means for each of the innocents only 5 people to look at. That would be considerably small numbers.

There is also the possibility the seer will dream of the last wolf, and with one already out in the open, that is something they can't afford. So if they don't kill Pitch tonight, and kill Nogrod instead, it will be because they can't, which would make Wilwa the Ranger.

Of course no matter what they do, that's still leaves 3 known people at least: If they don't kill Pitch, then it would be Pitch, Morsul, and whoever Pitch dreams of. If Pitch is dead, then it's Nogrod, Morsul, and Hakon. However, in the first scenario, we would still be certain of one of the wolves and known the other was hiding in a much lower number.

Nogrod, Pitch, what do you think?