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Old 08-21-2009, 01:42 PM   #1
autume98
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At this point in time I really feel like Form is suspicious along with Lommy. I don't have a lot of people I trust right now, but I do think that Mac and Nienna are innocent.
As for the rest, I know some of them aren't innocent. I just am not sure which ones. I'm leaning towards Nerwen and Sally as Cobblers. I'm just not sure which one is the cobbler. Since I'd rather nab a wolf or bear toDay they aren't high on my list right now.
The only thing I can remember about Nessa right now is her No-Vote on Day 3. I probably won't have time to go through and analyze her today.
The only thing I can say about Mira is that she's voted for me yesterDay, now she has voted for me toDay. However I'm not going to go after her for that. I wish I had the time to go do an analysis on her. She could possibly be the bear, but so could Lommy or Form.
So my list order right now is:
Form/Lommy
Nerwen
Sally
Mira
Nessa
Nienna
Mac


Edit xed with 3 sallys
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Old 08-21-2009, 02:15 PM   #2
Macalaure
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Macalaure is a guest of Elrond in Rivendell.Macalaure is a guest of Elrond in Rivendell.Macalaure is a guest of Elrond in Rivendell.
Mira, analysis is good, however, your analysis is almost exclusively summary (just like before) and altogether your approach is ridiculously narrowed-down. With so little time at hand, why is your prime focus to go after Autume instead of figuring out what was behind what happened yesterDay and what can be learned from it? You're not helpful (and that's the innocent interpretation of it. I could offer a suspicious one, but I didn't want to go after the non-morms toDay).

About the #619 comment, I read it as a newbie-ish thing to say. It felt and feels genuine, strange at it was.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sally
Also, I think Rikae might have been the failed Night kill. I'm not certain, but it's possible. What do you all think? And why would they want Rikae dead so badly?
1. What does this question matter now?
2. Why do you encourage people to talk about something which doesn't matter (when we really have better things to discuss)?
3. If so, it's obviously because Rikae was considered innocent.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Autume
I'm leaning towards Nerwen and Sally as Cobblers.
Unless Nerwen is trying a very extravagant strategy, she's the cobbler. I've seen cobblers losing the interest in their hide-and-seek game before the end of the game before. Then they settle down to throwing in an occasional confusing comment, have a tone of not caring anymore, and vote for who they think is innocent. They know that lynching them is as much of a mistake as letting them live.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Autume
Since I'd rather nab a wolf or bear toDay they aren't high on my list right now.
According to your list, they are high on it - they are second behind Lommy and Form - so that makes no sense. Assuming Sally is not the cobbler, what is your opinion of her?
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Old 08-21-2009, 02:41 PM   #3
autume98
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Macalaure;608561According to your list, they [I
are[/I] high on it - they are second behind Lommy and Form - so that makes no sense. Assuming Sally is not the cobbler, what is your opinion of her?
I am having a hard time getting a handle on her. I thought she was innocent, but now I am not so sure. I don't know what to make of her vote yesterday. I don't think she is a wolf, maybe a bear.
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