Werewolf XLVIII: When Virtual Becomes Reality

[Nilpaurion Felagund]

As I said yesterday, target of opportunity.

Well, let's see the train wreck yesterday.

09:49pm Form - Nog (Nog - 1)

Because what would make a better cover for a hacker looking to overthrow the existing Mods than a pathetic wannabe-Mod? No one would suspect it.

Except I just did.

As close to calculated randomness as one can get that early.

12:50am Kit - N3rw3n (Nog - 1, N3rwen - 1)

Nerwen jumps out because she posts often and says little. Granted most of her posts were in character jargon and her most recent ones are serious and moving away from IC, but she makes a note to say those who make long lists, but say nothing are suspicious. I find people who make frequent short posts that say nothing equally suspicious. Which is why I now vote for Nerwen. Though she is only moderately suspicious in my eyes she stands out from the others on my list.

Previously she said of Nerwen:

Her short, IC posts obviously say little, but her more serious posts give little to go on as well.

Rather well-reasoned . . .

05:29am sally - VI (Nog - 1, N3rwen - 1, VI - 1)

Sarcastically, I'm the only one allowed to be a grammar Nazi on here, but we all know that's not the case. In reality, Sixth's post seems just....wrong. It's the first day and, as much as I hate to say it, at the moment there's not much we can get from toDay. Sixth is trying too hard to reason. Does that make sense? Blah.

Time to bring up this issue. This was from VI's only post:

Wow, Nerwen is making my brain hurt. I say we vote her because:

a) Reading that kind of text will be really annoying later in the game for everyone.

b) Nerwen knows this and if she really is a wolf and she survives, she will go under the radar later in the game. (I personally am NOT going to read that in a longer post than three lines, it hurts my head)

and

c) I've got nothing on anyone else.

Okay, reason b) is somewhat suspicious, but!

• it's his first post; and
• it's still page 1

so IC-based accusation is rather to be expected. Which was why I said we wait for him to defend himself (but he didn't get here in time . . . )
Tell me you didn't anticipate him attacking Nerwen rather fiercely on DAY 1, and I'll show you a liar. I've read more suspicious 1st post/1st page posts than this (z.B. he'd be too dangerous if he lives past DAY 1; he won't be of much help to the village anyway, usw.) A little more slack should have been given him.

05:51am Erenor - sally (Nog - 1, N3rwen - 1, VI - 1, sally - 1)

Really nearly asleep now - early morning in the pool and late nights in a cyber cafe are not a good combo! Anyway can't decide about Kitanna & Nerwen and Form .. but Sally's vote just seems a bit too parasitic... at least Kitanna and Form stuck their heads above the parapet.

I agree, mother.

06:18am Eomer - Mith (Nog - 1, N3rwen - 1, VI - 1, sally - 1, Mith - 1)

[ . . . ]Nerwen, Eonwe and Mithalwen are my three wolves at the moment. I'd bet my $8 frappuccino on Mith anyway.

Earlier he said:

[ . . . ]Mithalwen, you may think Sally is being opportunistic, with her vote for 6th, but I could equally well say it about you. Whatever Sally had it was gonna be weak, and this is another chance for you to step in with a righteous comment. She's taken the position of early-voter-with-bad-reason and you've matched her in becoming critic-of-early-voter.

Two sides, same coin.

Rather forced, it looks like . . .

06:25am Eönwë - Mith (Nog - 1, N3rwen - 1, VI - 1, sally - 1, Mith - 2)

Because of the way she posts, as if she's hiding behind hersef being IC but not at the same time. Hard to explain what I mean. Also, her attitude seems slightrly suspicious

"You should always sort out the problems nearby before you sort outt problems in the world", says me. And since we both live in "Beleriand" (accordinng to Nilp), she is definitely nearby.

Now this is eyebrow-raising.

06:28am Kath - Eönwë (Nog - 1, N3rwen - 1, VI - 1, sally - 1, Mith - 2, Eönwë - 1)

Alright, I'm giving up because I need to go to bed and I've people wanting to use the computer. Random vote because hey, it's Day 1. So truly random, I'm voting for the last person to post.

Random, but if she had evil intent I think she would have chosen someone with a vote already, perhaps even VI or Nerwen.

06:35am THE Ka - Rikae (Nog - 1, N3rwen - 1, VI - 1, sally - 1, Mith - 2, Eönwë - 1, Rikae - 1)

It seems like the post could be more, but the use of just a list with names appears like an insurance policy to protect oneself and act easily in aggreance. Like an effort to not ruffle too many feathers, but still contribute something.
Which, is suspicious and can fly under the radar during a first Day like this.

Makes sense . . .

06:37am Durelin - Kit (Nog - 1, N3rwen - 1, VI - 1, sally - 1, Mith - 2, Eönwë - 1, Rikae - 1, Kit - 1)

Kitanna bothers me. She picked up Nerwen's lovely conspiracy theory to stir that up, and then voted for Nerwen. Hmm.

06:42am Boro - VI (Nog - 1, N3rwen - 1, VI - 2, sally - 1, Mith - 2, Eönwë - 1, Rikae - 1, Kit - 1)

I don't know whether I want to vote for The Sixth, or The Elf-Warrior, those are the two who stick out the most. I have some feelings about sally and Mith, but they won't get answered today.

Previously, in another post:

The Sixth's reasoning is forced, since Nerwen is annoying, let's lynch her before she slips under the radar. And oh plus there's no one else.

06:48am Nilp - Eönwë (Nog - 1, N3rwen - 1, VI - 2, sally - 1, Mith - 2, Eönwë - 2, Rikae - 1, Kit - 1)

He was the first to start a bandwaggon, anyhow, and he votes out of thin air.

06:50am Rikae - Nerwen (Nog - 1, N3rwen - 2, VI - 2, sally - 1, Mith - 2, Eönwë - 2, Rikae - 1, Kit - 1)

for not answering my question, and for hyphenating names excessively.

(Really, I'm serious about that - placing the focus on a duo or trio is a time-honored wolf strategy, and here it really seems premature.)

Second eyebrow-raiser

06:54am EW - VI (Nog - 1, N3rwen - 2, VI - 3, sally - 1, Mith - 2, Eönwë - 2, Rikae - 1, Kit - 1)

If this is suspicious so be it.

Yes, it is, now that you mention it. No mention of suspecting VI before this, and not even bothering to explain your vote.

06:55am Nerwen - Eönwë (Nog - 1, N3rwen - 2, VI - 3, sally - 1, Mith - 2, Eönwë - 3, Rikae - 1, Kit - 1)

Self preservation, plus I think he's the most suspicious of the people who have two votes.

Somewhat understandable . . . She cross-posted with EW so she didn't see that she's already been saved.

06:56am Agan - VI (Nog - 1, N3rwen - 2, VI - 4, sally - 1, Mith - 2, Eönwë - 3, Rikae - 1, Kit - 1)

(in another post:)One post and speaks only of Nerwen, telling why we should vote for her.

06:59am Nogrod - VI (Nog - 1, N3rwen - 2, VI - 5, sally - 1, Mith - 2, Eönwë - 3, Rikae - 1, Kit - 1)

And Eönwë talks...

(Would you explain this?)

He said in another post:

I'm afraid that with The Sixth we get an easy wolf-victory - as well as with Nerwen.

Huh?

[T]he thing I've found them doing more often is waiting for any decent or half-decent suspicions to raise up and then go for it - stronger or milder eg. trying to turn it into a major suspicion or just going with the flow and getting an excuse for their vote.

Looking things from this anlgle would point at least to Eönwë and Kitanna and little less on The Sixth.

Double huh?

Have to prepare to move back into the aforementioned academic abomination, so more later . . .