Tol-in-Gaurhoth XLVII: Dueling Wizards Werewolf II

[mormegil]

Originally Posted by Gwathagor

But she also casts the vote that gets Aganzir killed, which means that either she is a wolf who decided to risk sacrificing her fellow in order to build her own reputation, an innocent who made some mistakes early on, or a wolf who got scried over somewhere in between Nerwen's death and Aganzir's death.

The Problem with this is it has the unfounded assumption that the wolves know each other. Normal rules don't apply here and those assumptions cannot be made. I prefer to think of the wolves not knowing each other and that means that, if Cailin is a wolf, then that vote means nothing. Personally, if I were a wolf, I would be going after the most suspicious people, it makes you look more credible and I wouldn't worry too much about killing one or two others.

Well this is where I have read to...there have been a lot of, ummmm useful posts and I'm glad that there's not a lot of drivel to sift through.

[Lhunardawen]

Originally Posted by mormegil

The Problem with this is it has the unfounded assumption that the wolves know each other. Normal rules don't apply here and those assumptions cannot be made. I prefer to think of the wolves not knowing each other and that means that, if Cailin is a wolf, then that vote means nothing. Personally, if I were a wolf, I would be going after the most suspicious people, it makes you look more credible and I wouldn't worry too much about killing one or two others.

Umm...I hope you're not trying to mislead us here, morm? Of course it's a valid assumption. It's a risky thing to do for the Evil Team, yes, but it's too much to say that we can't make any such assumption.

[Lalaith]

I said before and I still think its true...a sensible EW would give her wolves a shortlist of lynchables. There's no danger in that, because even if a wolf were turned and spilt the beans to the village, well, the list might not still be valid as she might in that case scry a new wolf off the shortlist.

[Lalaith]

thought them potentially the GW. Which strikes me as a very limited avenue of recruiting wolves. I don't know if you actually believe that the EW would be doing such a thing, but weird nonetheless.

Because the only way the EW can find the identity of the GW is by scrying. The GW on the other hand has two alternatives: her scrying or her Seer.
Of course, it could be that the EW just wants to sit back and wait to let the GW find her, but I don't think so - I think she would try to combine the two activities.

[the phantom]

Originally Posted by Izzy

Cailin, I wouldn't mind voting for her based on some actions yesterday of shopping her vote around. Though it does bring a new light that Eomer is there in - well haunting spirit sometimes.

Come on Izzy. Vote Cailin please. *gives puppy dog eyes*

The fact that Eomer is already involved only makes her more dangerous. We must oust her while we can, for soon between the two of them they will dominate the village!

[Isabellkya]

I could easily vote for you phantom, for trying to wile votes to your cause.


In any case,

++ Diamond

For reasons stated before, and I guess I had not been paying attention, she was on the Mac bandwagon yesterDay.

Ahh, I guess I had not really realized that Lalaith. Though I'm still not comfortable in thinking the EW is picking wolves based almost solely on their potential of being the GW. Nothing can be done about either until toMorrow - so very easily the EW could've picked some of her wolves based on something else/more than GW attributes.

Okay, I'm off now; *hopes for rain*

[Lalaith]

Actually, thinking about what I said just now....the EW can of course also use wolf-kills to discover the GW. Perhaps that was what was going on, on Night Two (Volo could have been a potential wizard) but probably not on Night Three.

[Eönwë]

tp, what's wroing with Cailin?:

Originally Posted by the phantom

Ah, excellent. Hey Gwath- we have a member recruited for our Lynch Cailin Club!

Legate, my good friend and business partner, what do you think? Interested in joining?

Originally Posted by the phantom

Come on Izzy. Vote Cailin please. *gives puppy dog eyes*

Originally Posted by the phantom

That's precisely why we should lynch Cailin rather than me.

Well oviuosly she would do a comeback.

Originally Posted by Cailín

Please everyone, vote for the phantom. I really, really think he's suspicious. Incidentally, be my friend.

I think one of them is (now, if not since the beginning), a werewolf.
But the thing is we don't know who yet.

[Gwathagor]

Originally Posted by Eönwë

tp, what's wroing with Cailin?

Read the really long post by me. The REALLY long one. Also, tp says that GW told him that Cailin is a wolf.

The single strongest point in tp's favor is that it wouldn't make sense for Rikae, if she were the GW, to reveal herself right now. So she likely isn't the GW.