Werewolf XXX - Tol-in-Elendili - The Isle of the Were-Faithfuls

[Durelin]

So it was both obvious and true. Two done, two to go...can we do it in just two more Days I wonder?

Originally Posted by Lal

Today I will be voting for either Durelin or Mithalwen.

Okay, glad you already know for certain, less than half an hour after the start of the Day.

I think it quite probable that at least one if not both of the wolves voted for SPM...obviously, considering the consensus was against him the Day before as well. It's possible even that they voted fairly early on for him, but I think it's at least less likely. They can always leave things open to the possibility of another lynchee until they feel that it's pretty certain SPM was going to be lynched.

I think Gil should be looked at, as I do not think that the fact that TGWBS started going after him clears him of guilt. Gil has been in the background of suspicion for a while, but he was never in danger of lynching, so I believe it could have been a wolf trying to distance himself from his comrade. Kitanna's waffling is maybe of interest, but I don't like the feel of people who seem certain.

Lalaith's voting record when it comes to TGWBS and Sauce makes me think she isn't a wolf, and yet she is bothering me a lot. And no, not just because she has suspected me for some time now, but because she has basically only perpetually suspected me since Nogrod started on his tirade against me. It seems pretty possible to me that she could very well have decided that since TGWBS and Sauce had already been put under pressure by the only known innocent, she could at least make herself look good. It is crazy, though, so she's not my top suspect. The way she addressed Kitanna's waffling on myself and Sauce and her "gut feelings," she seemed to accuse Kitanna for not just voting for one of us, as if not doing so was just illogical or wrong. Then she posted again to say "oh, yeah, but you can vote for whoever you want." Doesn't really say anything, but it bothers me. I guess overall it's just how she's been playing off what Nogrod started. Though maybe she just assumes that if he was right about Sauce and TGWBS he's right about me.

She has been doing a good job remaining consistent...still going after Mith...

Speaking of Mith, her later vote may have been a wolf deciding that it was too late to try and save her comrade. Legate's definitely could be that, as well. Mith feels more innocent than Legate does. I feel like I have nothing on Legate, which makes me worry that he's been so careful and in such a safe position that he's just been the perfect wolf.

Hookbill is as much of a mystery to me now as Gil is. He obviously is short on time, and I suppose his vote yesterDay can be attributed to that, but...it does look very odd, and I made the mistake once before of ruling out a person just because they didn't have much time and when they did post they seemed as helpful as they could be. Hookbill's suspicions have all be "kindas" and he tends to apologize for suspecting and voting for people. He's playing it so safe it's a little astounding.

Lommy seems innocent to me. Her posting, though rare, has been extremely helpful, and she was spot on with SPM.

I have a feeling this is going to be a very quiet day... Lalaith was right about a quiet village. Of course for some reason I think it likely she won't be contributing much more than a vote for myself or Mith...

Time to consider doing some homework...

[Gil-Galad]

With the past events, i am inclined to take Durelin off my suspicous list, as i said earlier, faithfuls would know better then to risk their own kin to be lynched in this stage of the game

so we have 2 faithfuls, 2 gifted and 4 ordos...hmmm... interesting indeed... personally i am surprised i have survived this long already...


Suspicous:

Hookbill
Lalaith

Less Suspicous:

Legate
Durelin
Mithalwen

Proabably innocent:

Thinlomien

i want to look more of what Kitanna has to say, she has been way too quiet and way too much under the radar, possibly a silent wolf

[Lalaith]

My decision about who to vote for are based on my deductions as to the reason the wolves killed Kath.
However, as those deductions involve speculations as to the identity of the Hunter, I won't explain them openly, unless urged to by people I trust in this game.

[Lalaith]

By the way, I won't be able to post again until much later today. Nothing sinister there, my computer at work blocks the forum.

[Lalaith]

Sorry for this flood-posting...just spotted what Gil said...

er, Gil...if you absolve Durelin of wolvishness because

faithfuls would know better then to risk their own kin to be lynched in this stage of the game

then why do suspect me? I voted to lynch both guy and saucie, and indeed argued forcefully for their lynchings....

[Lalaith]

God, I can't believe I'm doing this, I'm going to be late for work....
but I also realised I should address this claim:

she has basically only perpetually suspected me since Nogrod started on his tirade against me

No, you were my top suspect the day before. Anyway, more later. Hope it doesn't stay this quiet.

[Thinlómien]

I've reached the paranoid stage of suspecting everyone. Whether that's good or bad I don't know. Well, at least I don't need to suspect Kath anymore.

Durelin... she's a difficult one. I was almost ready to exonerate her for this:

Originally Posted by Durelin

It almost seems too obvious to be right... Arrrghh this game can be so stressful sometimes...

But then again, I knwo she's very clever and well capable of making such move... (You may wonder what was the point of this paragraph. It was to point this comment out and stir discussion about it: I'd be glad to hear other people's opinions on it too....)

I disagree with Gil-Galad who says that the faithfuls are most probably sticking together at this phase. I'm almost sure that yesterDay (or even the Day before) there was at least one faithful-on-faithul -vote. That statment actually makes me slightly wary of Gil: it would be very convenient for him as a wolf to say that, remembering the spat between him and TGWBS...

I will check two things soon: 1) What Sauce said about everyone yesterDay since he knew he was under a serious lynch-threat. (I just think he didn't say very much just because of that. ) 2) Why was Kath killed? Did she say anything gifted-ish? Who did she suspect? Or was she just generally not very much suspected and the faithfuls decided to eliminate her since she certainly is a clever player?

[Thinlómien]

Okay, I did check. Sauce actually said quite a lot, but I've concluded that he could have used any tactic, bluff tactic or double-bluff tactic, so who he claimed to think innocent or guilty doesn't help us (or me at least).

Kath said nothing yesterday that would give me a clue why was she killed. Maybe that's in her earlier posts and I should check them too. This is the first wolf kill we can really analyse and I don't think we should waste the chance... but we should keep in mind that "to confuse" and "to avoid leaving tracks" are wolves' killing motives too...