WW XXIX Dor-en-Gaur

[Anguirel]

I'm here now on and off, Mith. As I intimated towards the end of yesterday, I'm also leaning towards thinking Rikae innocent. I don't subscribe to the view that either Rikae or Firefoot must be guilty...who was it who suggested things lay in that direction? I'll go back and check.

At the moment I think the best bet for victory today is to kill, through stabbing and/or lynching, Lommy and Kath. I'd be flabbergasted if neither proved to be wolves.

In such a worst case scenario - if two innocents died today and one tonight - three villagers would face two wolves, but I would hope some unity might yet prevail. I might even risk having another kill tonight in such a situation, so narrowed down would my suspect list then be...though the risk would be total failure.

To be honest, I've stayed my hand for some time and am feeling really quite bloodthirsty...

[Anguirel]

Discount most of my post above - if we mess up spectacularly today and kill two innocents the wolves win unless I succeed in transfixing one tonight.

[Anguirel]

Argh...I forgot to count myself...my first scenario was right after all.

I shall post examining the voting records of my main suspects - Lommy, Kath and Rikae. Oh, and, blast it all, I'll examine Farael as well. Don't want to lose to Nilp-esque tactics again!

[Mithalwen]

Oh good ..... I think we would be spectaculary unlucky to get that..... I mean they can only kill one of us tonight. They are unlikely to go for Boro sinceIf I understand correctly he would be almost certain to hit at least one wolf among his 3. They are more likely to go for you or me - and since I hope you can be protected I think it would be me tonight..... so finishing this today would be good!
I am sure in worst case scenario you and boro could find the wrongun..... it owuld be like when I rumbled you that time .... so much easier when you have a very limited choice and read back thinking which is more likely...

[Anguirel]

If I lived to the end, my dagger could also stop any finnicky vote tricksiness.

Ha. I am so not an Athenian radical democrat...

I'm going to count Firefoot into my vote analysis too. For two long I've been deliberately refusing to consider her because she was clearly the object of a death-campaign by the wolves. I still think her guilt is very unlikely, but I will not rule it out.

Oh, and would anyone mind if I skewered Kath? Nowish? Some medium rare wolf steak for supper?

[Boromir88]

The thing that gets me worried about Rikae is there was very little interaction between her and Lal until yesterday. The distancing between the two definitely looks quite wolvish...as the only comment I found between the two was the one I noted in the first post of the day. Which I find as a rather awkward defense of Lal. Until yesterday there it looked like Rikae and Lal were trying to stay distant from eachother, and I would surely call that wolvish.

That got me thinking of would a wolf make such an ardent defense of another wolf? And I think so if they believed that was their best chance of winning. With Lal going down, it would be much better for a wolf to passionately defend her, than to switch and join everyone else. That's what worries me about Rikae...but I definitely think Kath is the one I will vote for today, as I feel more confident that Kath is a wolf.

Lommy is also really worrying me today, it's like she is forcing the fact that both Kath and Rikae must be wolves and who else could it be? That worries me.

[Rikae]

I guess I'll cast my vote now. I still think Lommy and Kath are most likely the wolves; since Ang is planning to deal with Kath, I'll vote for:

++Lommy

... and we may just win this today!

EDIT: X'd with Boro.

[Mithalwen]

Originally Posted by Anguirel

Oh, and would anyone mind if I skewered Kath? Nowish? Some medium rare wolf steak for supper?

Well if you are peckish....

[Anguirel]

All this role reversal, villagers dining on wolves, is very much in keeping with the spirit of my own modded extravaganza...

I need to kill an hour before the deadline, for Nogrod's ease. The most widely assumed candidate is Kath. Sorry, Boro, to deprive you of your favourite lynchee.

I'm as perplexed by the Lommy/Rikae puzzle as anyone, but I think the answer lies with one of them. Vote as your inclinations lead you. I found Rikae's last post startlingly suspicious; but then Lommy's every move has been the model of an alpha-wolf.

Kath the Weaver, in the name of the good Elvenking Finrod Felagund I slay you now.

++I choose to assassinate Kath.

She is now slain, come the deadline, and there is no point lynching her...

[Mithalwen]

Oh so we have to wait? Bother ....

[Mithalwen]

Only htought is we have a ranger unaccounted for.... can be hard to distinguish wolvishness from giftedness - I had thought farael.. but ..

[Boromir88]

Ang, ya make my job harder, I get it. Well, that does take Kath out of the equation.

Another thing that's strange about Lommy, I found was this:

Anyway, I'll go now.

Choose well, it'd be nice to lynch a wolf toDay.
But it's alright as long as you don't lynch the last remaining ranger.
We can afford lynching an ordo, even though that would not be very wise.

I don't like this tone of we can afford to lynch a few innocents if we're wrong sort of thing, just so we don't lynch teh last ranger.

Then her constant insistance that she knows she's innocent. That's another strange thing, and it's a rather ambigious thing. As a wolf I would make those comments, and it's not really a lie, because a wolf (from their perspective) will say they're innocent...as from the wolves perspective they are innocent. The constant insistance that she knows she's innocent is another suspicious looking thing. It's like she's trying to force feed it to us, and force feed it to us that Kath and Rikae must be the last two wolves.

I'm curious too that Thinlo wanted Morm lynched so badly, and it was Morm (as well as Firefoot) who commented that Thinlo was just looking way too confident this time. One thing which I now definitely agree with, Thinlo is looking very confident.

Or maybe I'm just thinking too much and Lommy is right...gah. Oh Rikae, curious how do you feel about Kath?

[Rikae]

As I said earlier, I've found her suspicious since finding out Lal was a wolf. From the beginning, her posts seemed to be designed to protect Lal without overtly defending her, plus her very early vote for Firefoot; before I even noticed that slip, looks premeditated. I now tend to trust Firefoot because of her vote yesterday.

[Anguirel]

My vote for Lommy will stand - I shan't be back tonight. I suspect I was guarded last night, and that I shall die this eve if we do not choose extremely wisely, but I hope to take a beast with me. Perhaps the last one.

Goodbye, my friends! I am merry to the end...I think...

[Mithalwen]

The thing that gets me about lommy is that although I picked up her suggestion about Lal ..she didn't really follow when I tried to run with it ... much later in the day she said Lal seemed odd for something else but no consideration of voting for her .....