Tol-in-Gaurhoth XXVII - Ballroom Blitz

[Folwren]

Yes, thank you, Farael. I am aware that this is the third dance and that there are probably a great many clues to be picked up on, but I regret to say that I have been too busy to read anything that has happened since the 22nd, except that Rikae was killed and that Celuien was guilty.

-- Folwren

[mormegil]

Farael, you belong on the X-files with all the conspiracy theorists . HEY EVERYBODY MORMEGIL INTELLIGENTLY SPOTTED THE WOLF...HE MUST BE GUILTY LET'S GET HIM! Now we've got you Mr. Mormegil, let's take off this mask and see who is really under there...Why it Old Man Withers "And I would have gotten away with it too if it weren't for you meddling kids"

I believe that you are sincere, if not a cobbler but I don't suspect you of lycanthropy. I really believe there is something with Naria and Valier. It seems that a good amount of us, at least Nogrod and I feel this way, though I believe there are others. Mac is also interesting, ergo my vote for him. I may switch it to Naria of Valier...actually that might make sense because they seem to be a bit of a team though Naria is more likely the wolf because my gut feeling was that Valier was the first to initiate the team work between the two. Honestly I'm going on straight instincts and feelings on this one, though I think I'm right because I did the same with Celuien and I nailed her.

[Naria]

Hmm, out of toDance's discussions so far Farael's argument against Morm is holding alot more water(in reflection of what I had stated about Morm yesterDance) than any others so far. I suspected him yesterDance and still do.

And to the Seer wannabe, for myself at least, I can say that you are barkin up the wrong tree. You are grasping at straws now and making a very feeble attempt for a double lynch.

I will cast my first vote. This may or may not change

++Morm

[Naria]

And what's up with your little rant there? I know you were trying to be humorous, but it came across like you just lost it there for a second

[Cailín]

I wonder at people so easily disregarding Rikae's death as another safe kill. She posted substantially, she had ideas, suspicions and contributed to all discussions. There may not be a lead there, but if a safe kill was in order, I can think of several candidates who fit the profile better than Rikae.

I'm also amazed at how easily suspicion has turned to Morm, whose instincts proved so right the last Dance. Would he have voted for his fellow wolf body in such a manner? Especially considering Celuien's vote for him during the first Dance, that was clearly not intended as a throwaway? I do not think so. I am not underestimating Mormegil here - but there are so many more likely wolf candidates.

The Valier - Naria thing… it is hard to say. My suspicions of Valier that led me to vote for her yesterDance have eased down a little, my suspicions of Naria have gone up. She sealed Celuien's death last Dance with her vote, but the vote was cast in a manner that - I believe - made everyone frown. And now with her vote for Mormegil… On the bright side, she has posted more than ever I remember.

I think Farael is displaying blatant cobblerish behaviour.

Nogrod, on the other hand, has made some very valid points and observations today.

Have to run - I will return later today with more thoughts.

[Nogrod]

I do agree with Cailín and would much prefer seeing Naria walking the plank than morm. That surely is understandable as the votes to morm have been given by one I somewhat suspect of cobblery and the other by one which I suspect could be our last wolf. 'nuff said.

So sad that no one has had time or will to go through Rikae's posting. I'm not having much time right now but will try to see at least her posts from the yesterDance.

[Nogrod]

Rikae's last Dance (this is a speedy one done in haste but I hope it reflects her points accurately enough)

#152 Gives the interpretation of Kitanna’s death to point towards her, Lal and morm. Suspects Valier. Thinks Farael might be a cobbler.

#158 Explains her suspicion on Farael being the cobbler.

#192 Restates her suspicion on Valier’s lycanthrophy and brings new arguments on Farael. Also brings forwards Folwren’s possible wolvishness based on my points about her not wishing to lie directly. Promises to look more closely on Holby and Celuien just because they are not making her suspicious. Thinks there is a connection between Farael’s possible guilt with that of Valier and Naria.

#209 Votes Macalaure after a short pondering of alternatives. Namely:

Well, it's down to the choice of Valier and Celuien; if I vote for Cel, it leaves the choice to Naria - which would be interesting.
Or I can vote for somebody else and leave Naria the choice of Valier or a double lynch.
Mac's case against Cel seems like a shot in the dark; sure, she's played it safe, but so have Holby, Cailin, Mac and Nogrod (who is his usual self, nothing more).
If Cel is innocent, Mac's your wolf.

#210 Seeing Naria’s vote on morm goes for a double-lynch by changing her vote to Celuien (Celuien and Valier).

#216 Says she is suspicious of Mac.

#217

And Naria saves Valier...remember that, folks.

So what to say?

She seemed to be heavily suspicious of Valier, Naria and Farael. A little less suspicious on Macalaure. Then she was killed. To lead us to these tracks then? Well, I must say that would be too elementary and obvious. But surely Rikae left tracks so it's not a trailless kill anyhow.

Celuien the wolf wished us to believe the kills were no tracks left behind ones (and so does Mac). Now how about they really point to just the thing they point to. It would have been quite a brilliant wolf-tactics to make that kind of "obvious" kills on those who were on the right tracks and then first trying to downplay that. And if suspected of that, they could always say they wouldn't be that stupid to leave this obvious trail to read.


Surely we have only one wolf left and all those indicated by Rikae can't be wolves. I'm also thinking that even as we would like to see the cobblers off, we should concentrate on the remaining wolf as killing her/him will end the game once and for all.

I hope to be back and believe I'll be able to do that. But just to make sure I will vote now.

++ Naria

After some thought I'm of the opinion that she might be the wolf more probably than Mac - and Mac would be very useful if innocent.

But as I said, this is subject to change as / if I come back.